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Generated from 21 Previous Games
1.84 = 7.34
Pick: Atlanta Braves ML -152 (1 unit)
Only 21 games sampled, that said, +3.66 is no joke either. With any practical chances to win, Braves should chalk the win.
Stats to SUPPORT Atlanta:
|When ATLANTA Played as a Favorite – During Last 3 Years – With SU Record of 4 Win 1 Lost in L5G||50 – 31 – 0|
|When CINCINNATI played as Home Underdog- in the month of August||12-28-0|
|When CINCINNATI played as Underdog- in the month of August||10-19-1|
|When CINCINNATI team played as a 120 to 140 home Underdog – After a conference game – During the month of August||4-11-0|
Stats to THREATEN Cincinnati:
|When CINCINNATI played as Home or Away Team- With a spread between 140 and 160||15-7-3|
|When CINCINNATI played as Home Team- Vs ATLANTA||24-16-0|
|When CINCINNATI team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – During a night game – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Coming off a Loss vs. NL CENTRAL opponent||18-9-0|
|When ANY MLB Team played as a Home team – Vs NL Conference – After a conference game – 1st game of a series – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series – Allowed 7 runs or more AGAINST in their last game||68-40-0|
|When CINCINNATI played as a home team – During Last 2 Years – With SU Record of 0 Win 3 Lost in L3G||6 – 4 – 0|
|When CINCINNATI played as a home team – During Current Season – With 5 Over or Less||15 – 7 – 1|
While Cincinnati has been getting edged out and should be frustrated and ready to win, Atlanta has been completely outperforming their own standards of late and they’re on fire.
The market leads us to believe that the sharp money may be on Atlanta, but at any rate the Braves have fair chances to win.
Atlanta dominates Cincinnati in the RF/RA column and there is no question that their bullpen is slightly better as well.
Teheran has good history vs CIN (what little there is) but he’s been underperforming L3G with a 6.05 ERA.