SIGN UP TODAY!!
We accept PayPal or Credit Cards!

Los Angeles Angels (Wilson) vs. Houston Astros (Peacock) – Preview for September 2nd, 2014

WorldSeriesOfHandicapping.com

Also join us on our Facebook page:
facebook.com/WorldSeriesOfHandicapping

 

Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels 
SIDE :-157

3.47

Vs.

Date: 2014-09-02
Time: 19:10:00

Generated from 11 Previous Games

Houston Astros
Houston Astros
O/U :9

2.95 = 6.42

 

Pick: Los Angeles Angels ML -157

 

Today we’re looking at Peacock’s splits as the deciding factor.

On the surface, Peacock is 5.13 ERA all season and is 4.30 ERA last 3 games.

The statistic that we’re really interested in is actually his 5.66 ERA vs Right Handed Hitters.

Los Angeles is a RHH team because they have the following roster hitting over 2.75AVG and or .700OPS predicted for today’s lineup:

1  Trout, M LAA .374 .934
2  Iannetta, C LAA .380 .811
3  Pujols, A LAA .332 .801
4  Cowgill, C LAA .340 .716
5  Kendrick, H LAA .334 .699

 

  • Los Angeles has 4.7 RPG in their last seven outings.
  • Los Angeles has only 2.0 RAPG in their last seven outings.

LAA with very solid RF/RA numbers.

  • Houston has 3.6 RPG in their last seven.
  • Houston has 4.6 RAPG in their last seven.

HOU with very poor RF/RA numbers.

 

  • Angels have the better pen at 3.29 ERA.
  • Astros have their pen throwing 4.97 ERA.
  • Angels do their best hitting on the road all season. (4.9 RPG).
  • Astros are hitting only 3.8 RPG at home.

 

Lastly, Wilson also looks like he’s on his game. He pitched against one of the hardest hitting teams, Oakland, on the 28th and on the 23rd. He allowed only 1 run on the 23rd but allowed 3 on the 28th. Nonetheless, Wilson is 2.60 ERA across his last three games and should be on his game here tonight.

  • Peacock is 5.13 ERA all season, and is 4.30 ERA last 3 games.

So although this is not the biggest pitching advantage we ever saw, we feel that the split stats are going to be the deciding factor today.

The Angels should have the lead headed into the last 3 innings, and their bullpen should protect it.

 

ATS MATCHUPS

Picks to historically support the Angels in this position:

 

 

When WILSON CRAIG ‘s Team played as Favourite- Vs HOUSTON 8-3-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS played as Road Team- Vs HOUSTON 6-4-0
When WILSON CRAIG ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- in the month of September 15-8-0
When WILSON CRAIG ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- Vs HOUSTON 8-3-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS played as Favourite- in the month of September 6-4-0
When WILSON CRAIG ‘s Team played as Road Team- in the month of September 9-4-0

 

 

When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a Road team – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Vs Division Opponent – Allowed 1 runs AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Win vs. AL WEST opponent 16-10-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – Last 3 years – Scored 8 or less runs FOR in their last game – Coming off a Win vs. AL WEST opponent 13-6-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a Road team – After a conference game – During the month of September – Scored 8 or less runs FOR in their last game – Coming off 1 over 10-5-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as road team as a Favorite – Total is 8.5 – During the month of September 10-6-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as road team as a Favorite – Total is 8.5 – Vs. Right handed pitchers 37-21-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as road team as a Favorite – Total is 8.5 – During a night game 32-18-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as road team as a Favorite – Vs. Right handed pitchers – During the month of September 40-26-0
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team Played as road team as a Favorite – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Total is 8.5 49-25-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team – During the month of September – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Vs Conference Opponent – Coming off a series win – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 10-6-0

 

When B Peacock ‘s Team played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 8.5 and 9.0 7-17-0
When B Peacock ‘s Team played as Home Underdog- With Total between 8.5 and 9.0 3-7-0
When B Peacock ‘s Team played as Underdog- With Total between 8.5 and 9.0 6-16-0

 

When HOUSTON team played as a Home team – During a night game – After a non division game – Coming off a series loss – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game 5-10-0
When HOUSTON team Played as Home team as a Underdog – With 1 day off – During a night game – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a series loss 5-12-0
When HOUSTON team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Coming off vs. American League opponent – After a non division game – Coming off a double header – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game 5-20-0
When HOUSTON team Played as home team as a Underdog – Last 2 years – Playing on Tuesday 11-21-0
When HOUSTON team Played as home team as a Underdog – After a non conference game – Total is 8.5 14-31-0
When HOUSTON team Played as home team as a Underdog – After a non conference game – Before a division game 2-10-0
When HOUSTON team Played as home team as a Underdog – Total is 8.5 – Vs AL WEST opponent 6-13-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a 160 to 180 Home Underdog – With 1 day off – Vs. Left handed pitchers – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a day game 1-14-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Underdog – With 1 day off – Coming off a series loss – Coming off a 4 game under – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 5-12-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 4 years – After a non conference game – Coming off a series loss – Allowed 0 runs AGAINST in their last game 4-15-0
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 – Vs AL WEST opponent – Coming off a Home double header – Coming off a double header 5-12-0
When HOUSTON Played as home team as a Underdog – During Last 4 Years – With 4 Under or Less – With SU Record of 2 Win 5 Lost in L7G 11 – 26 – 0
When HOUSTON played as any home/road team – During Last 3 Years – With 4 Under or More – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G 4 – 8 – 0

Picks to historically threaten the Angels in this position:

When HOUSTON team played as a Home team – Vs. Left handed pitchers – During the month of September – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher – Coming off a series loss 6-4-0
When HOUSTON team played as a Home team – 1st game of a series – During a night game – Coming off a 4 game under – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 6-4-0
When HOUSTON team played as a home team – After a non conference game – Vs Division Opponent 8-5-0
When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team – After a division game – Vs AL WEST opponent – Vs Conference Opponent – Allowed 1 runs or more AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 7 Game Home Stand 5-13-0

31 stats to support.
4 stats to threaten.

 

ATS RAYMOND REPORT

LOS ANGELES ANGELSTeam Name: LOS ANGELES ANGELS(Road Team)
Money Line: LOS ANGELES ANGELS -190 vs HOUSTON +174
Spread Line: LOS ANGELES ANGELS -1.5 -120 —– HOUSTON +1.5 +100
O/U: LOS ANGELES ANGELS 8.5 -120 —– HOUSTON 8.5 +100
Pitchers: LOS ANGELES ANGELS – C Wilson (L) vs HOUSTON – B Peacock (R)
Game Date: Tuesday,September 02 2014 7:10 PM
Last Game: win 1 – 8 vs Oakland Athletics
Current Game: Houston Astros
Next Game: At HOUSTON
Stats & Trends: LOS ANGELES ANGELS vs. HOUSTON
PVI Rating on Winning: 60.74%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 51.94%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 34.69%
Streaks: 6 SU Win – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 47%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 53%
Road Teams Predicted Runs For: 4.62
Road Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.49

 

Road Team
(LOS ANGELES ANGELS)
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS is a Road Team When Any MLB Team is a Road Team Differential % When LOS ANGELES ANGELS is a Road Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 5-6 164-177 46.77 6-5-0 154-187-0 50.15
vs Non-Division opponent 25-23 584-801 47.13 23-25-0 570-727-88 54.07
vs Non-Conference opponent 10-7 173-268 49.03 10-7-0 184-233-24 48.53
Playing in the month of September (since 1996) 111-112 4-9 40.28 93-118-12 7-6-0 51.04
Playing on Tuesday 6-5 146-193 48.81 8-3-0 142-174-23 41.17
Played as road Favorite 22-16 358-335 54.78 14-24-0 288-356-49 59.22
After a Division Game 11-8 367-463 51.06 10-9-0 370-406-54 49.85
After a Conference Game 18-17 430-562 47.39 14-21-0 399-527-66 58.46
vs AL WEST Division Opponent 10-10 123-188 44.78 10-10-0 116-175-20 55.07
vs AL Conference Opponent 25-26 447-581 46.25 23-28-0 423-557-48 55.87
Coming off vs AL WEST Division Opponent 11-8 138-182 50.51 10-9-0 123-172-25 52.84
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 27-25 467-591 48.03 23-29-0 439-564-55 56
Coming off a 6 winning streak 0-1 2-7 11.11 1-0-0 5-3-1 18.75
Coming off 1 over 4-11 236-282 36.12 8-7-0 221-259-38 50.32
Coming off a win 17-21 422-525 44.65 20-18-0 429-459-59 49.53
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 3-4 59-64 45.42 4-3-0 56-63-4 47.9
With 1 days off 5-4 99-130 49.4 5-4-0 96-119-14 49.9
During a night game 28-23 650-864 48.92 25-26-0 639-774-101 52.88
Coming off a 7 home stand 2-1 23-33 53.87 1-2-0 22-30-4 62.18
Coming off a 7 runs win (since 1996) 18-9 16-17 57.58 10-16-1 16-16-1 55.77
Coming off a score 8 runs FOR in last game 2-0 36-44 72.5 1-1-0 44-31-5 45.67
Coming off a score 1 runs AGAINST in last game 1-4 95-122 31.89 3-2-0 94-110-13 46.96
vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % 20-9 417-538 56.32 14-15-0 389-505-61 54.11
vs HOUSTON (since 1996) 11-8 40-57 49.57 9-8-2 36-54-7 53.53
Coming off a Win over AL WEST division opponent 5-3 57-59 55.82 3-5-0 53-59-4 57.59
Coming off a game that went over 4-11 236-282 36.12 8-7-0 221-259-38 50.32
Coming off a day game 7-11 333-416 41.68 10-8-0 322-384-43 49.42
Coming off a series win 4-7 68-87 40.12 7-4-0 84-62-9 39.42
Last 30 days 9-5 174-279 51.35 5-9-0 178-248-27 61.26
Last 45 days 11-8 272-399 49.22 8-11-0 265-365-41 57.92
Last 60 days 15-8 346-502 53.01 10-13-0 348-450-50 56.46
Last 90 days 20-19 548-744 46.85 17-22-0 531-681-80 56.3
Vs. Right handed pitchers 28-22 690-932 49.27 22-28-0 694-831-97 55.25
Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher 13-13 251-340 46.24 14-12-0 273-281-37 48.44
Coming off win vs. Left handed pitcher 3-4 122-145 44.28 3-4-0 135-114-18 51.46

 

HOUSTONTeam Name: HOUSTON(Home Team)
Money Line: HOUSTON +174 vs LOS ANGELES ANGELS -190
Spread Line: HOUSTON +1.5 +100 —– LOS ANGELES ANGELS -1.5 -120
O/U: HOUSTON 8.5 +100 —– LOS ANGELES ANGELS 8.5 -120
Pitchers: HOUSTON – B Peacock (R) vs LOS ANGELES ANGELS – C Wilson (L)
Game Date: Tuesday,September 02 2014 7:10 PM
Last Game: 0 – 0 vs Texas Rangers
Current Game: Los Angeles Angels
Next Game: Vs. LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Stats & Trends: HOUSTON vs. LOS ANGELES ANGELS
PVI Rating on Winning: 42.14%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 50.74%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 28.57%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 2 Under
Home Teams % of winning this game: 41%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 41%
Home Teams Predicted Runs For: 2.7
Home Teams Predicted Runs Against: 3.17

 

Home Team
(HOUSTON)
When HOUSTON is a Home Team When Any MLB Team is a Home Team Differential % When HOUSTON is a Home Team,the O/U When Any MLB Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 8.5 12-17 161-180 44.3 13-16-0 154-187-0 55.01
vs Non-Division opponent 33-64 673-712 41.31 36-54-7 570-727-88 58.03
vs Non-Conference opponent 30-51 207-234 41.99 34-43-4 184-233-24 55.86
Playing in the month of September (since 1996) 121-93 8-5 59.04 92-112-10 7-6-0 50.53
Playing on Tuesday 5-8 151-188 41.5 4-7-2 142-174-23 59.35
Played as home Underdog 24-51 277-464 34.69 29-41-5 288-402-51 58.42
After a Non-Division Game 32-64 662-704 40.9 36-53-7 572-708-86 57.43
After a Non-Conference Game 25-53 196-249 38.05 32-42-4 190-227-28 55.6
vs AL WEST Division Opponent 16-32 135-186 37.7 22-24-2 129-172-20 54.66
vs AL Conference Opponent 30-51 480-565 41.49 34-43-4 447-546-52 55.41
Coming off vs AL WEST Division Opponent 12-34 136-167 35.49 19-25-2 130-155-18 55.61
Coming off vs American Conference Opponent 25-53 463-541 39.09 32-42-4 425-528-51 56.08
Coming off 4 under (since 1996) 21-16 41-38 54.33 17-20-0 35-41-3 54
Coming off a lost 25-45 589-643 41.76 26-37-7 504-644-84 57.42
Coming off a Home Lost as a Underdog 20-27 190-241 43.32 18-24-5 151-238-42 59.16
With 1 days off 2-7 104-111 35.3 4-4-1 96-103-16 50.88
During a night game 22-43 713-801 40.47 24-37-4 639-774-101 57.72
Coming off a 11 home stand (since 1996) 0-3 2-0 50 0-3-0 1-1-0 75
vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % 4-2 66-76 56.58 5-1-0 68-63-11 32.38
vs LOS ANGELES ANGELS (since 1996) 8-11 29-39 42.38 9-8-2 33-35-0 49.27
Coming off a Lost over AL WEST division opponent 11-24 78-111 36.35 13-20-2 78-104-7 58.88
Coming off a Home double header 9-27 74-145 29.4 9-22-5 68-130-21 68.32
Coming off a day game 7-24 328-373 34.69 13-15-3 296-362-43 54.3
Coming off a series loss 9-20 197-232 38.48 9-17-3 195-199-35 57.95
Coming off back to back Shutouts offense 6-17 53-106 29.71 5-15-3 52-93-14 69.57
Last 30 days 8-13 226-227 44 5-15-1 178-248-27 66.61
Last 45 days 12-21 338-333 43.37 11-20-2 265-365-41 61.23
Last 60 days 13-25 425-423 42.17 13-23-2 348-450-50 60.14
Last 90 days 20-42 632-660 40.59 20-36-6 531-681-80 60.24
Vs. Left handed pitchers 11-16 293-297 45.2 10-16-1 227-314-49 59.79
Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 23-37 770-850 42.93 19-37-4 661-856-103 61.25
Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher 16-34 417-490 38.99 16-28-6 352-493-62 60.99

 

So between the real-time statistical indicators of today’s pitching and hitting matchups, as well as the ATS STATS, we see that there is a solid edge with the Angels that should be worth a try.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Be the first to comment on "Los Angeles Angels (Wilson) vs. Houston Astros (Peacock) – Preview for September 2nd, 2014"

Leave a comment