Generated from 0 Previous Games
2.68 = 5.15
Pick: Arizona Coyotes -185 SU (1 unit)
Pick: Arizona Coyotes O5.5 (2 units)
Tonight’s contest between the Oilers and Coyotes won’t be so much about why the Coyotes are so great, the point here is more where the Oilers are suffering.
Quite frankly the Coyotes are a little bit of a hot-cold team. They allowed the Jets 6 goals and then turn around and hand out a 3-2 whipping to last year’s champions, the LA Kings. Trying to analyze or predict a team’s performance with this kind of an MO is hit and miss.
So it’s really a good thing that we don’t have to.
That said, if we absolutely had to analyze the Coyotes’ performance so far this season, we would look at what has worked consistently:
- 1. They’ve converted 2 of their 7 powerplays for a PP% of 28.6%. Not too shabby at all.
- 2. They’ve successfully fended off 8 out of 8 penalties for a PK% of 0.0%. That’s perfection.
So if we’re to say anything about the Coyotes, it’s that so long as their frontmen are healthy and active in the special teams, they have a chance to win on any given night. For all you fantasy players out there, an ace in their hole is definitely their 4th line which has had some surprising results from C Kyle Chichura who boasts a +/- of +3 so far in the ’14-’15 season.
So far in his one start, G Mike Smith is definitely a liability headed into tonight’s contest with an abysmal .776 SV%. With that said, however, he has an established career record vs. the Yotes that sits at .915 SV%.
So obviously there is some room for trouble in the Coyotes’ side of things and they’ll have to make good on what they do best, their PP and their PK. This is where tonight’s key lies for them.
(A small gambling tip: Given the state of Arizona’s netminding, if things go sideways for the Coyotes tonight, it would be almost impossible to see how this could stay under the 5.5 total. This is why we recommend 1 unit on Arizona SU and 2 units on the Over.)
When we look at the Oilers, on the other hand, it makes the Yotes’ issues seem trivial in comparison.
The Oilers are awaiting news on two of their injured front-line front-men. C Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is out with an injury as well as is RW Jordan Eberle.
For all of you ‘total’ bettors out there, should neither of these elements play tonight, all is not lost as far as this game reaching over the total. Of the 7 goals that Edmonton’s scored this season, only 1 of them has come from their front line, and that was by the ‘still healthy’, LW Taylor Hall who will lead the 1st line tonight.
(THIS JUST IN…according to the Oilers’ website, they will be dressing Mark Arcobello and Teddy Purcell to accompany Taylor Hall on the front line tonight.)
Where these injuries will really hurt the Oilers will be on the Penalty Kill. Considering that communication, fluidity, and trust are key aspects to the successful PK, mixing and matching the PK units due to injuries is never a good idea and could result in a very high Arizona PP%.
Which leads us to Ben Scrivens.
Scrivens has a .926 SV% vs the Coyotes, but has had severe issues in his first showings where he gave up 5 GA vs Calgary and then 3 vs LA in a span of one period. So according to what we see in real-time, Scrivens could prove to allow some severe difficulties for Edmonton. The fact the books haven’t moved this line to 6 is a tiny bit worrysome, but this early in the season, it’s very rare to see Vegas move the total from 5.5.
All in all, we have a Yotes squad that is read to rumble and we have a discombobulated Edmonton squad that might come together and prove effective late in the game, but will likely need a few periods to get their wheels under them.
This is all Yotes. The market-movement confirms that Arizona has the nod from the sharps, and we can definitely see why.
- When EDMONTON team played as a road team coming off a score 6 goals AGAINST in last game: 5-22-2 SU.
Good Luck out there, and as always, bet responsibly!