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Stanley Cup Finals Game #1 Predictions and Previews

Monday, May 29th, 2017

 The bookmakers have made the Pittsburgh Penguins a PK-165 favorite vs. the Nashville Predators in Game #1 of the Stanley Cup Finals.

If you watched the Nashville vs. Anaheim series, it was one of the most physical series of the entire NHL playoffs and if Nashville comes into the finals with that same type of physical and mental approach, it could be a very short final!

It’s obvious the bookmakers have included the star power names with Crosby and Malkin into the opening Game #1 line, whereas when you look at the Predators, the only names that really bring some type of line value is P.K. Subban and maybe Pekka Rinne between the pipes.

In fact, the Penguins played a bit of goaltending roulette in the Senators series, as Marc Andre Fleury was the starter at the beginning of the series, then Matt Murray came in the later rounds and won the coaches confidence to win the series in double overtime in Game #7 vs. Ottawa.

Nashville is coming into Game #1 on 6 days’ rest, while the Penguins will be coming on 3 days, big advantage for the Predators. I can see the Predators coming out of the gate flying and really crashing and banging their way out of Game #1!

Furthermore, with a PK +145 underdog lines; that’s great value on the Predators.

Stanley Cup Game #1 prediction: Nashville 5 Pittsburgh 2

 

Game Date – 2017-05-29
Road Team :- (1) NASHVILLE
Home Team :- (2 )PITTSBURGH

 

NASHVILLETeam Name: NASHVILLE(Road Team)
Money Line: NASHVILLE +145 vs PITTSBURGH -165
Spread Line: NASHVILLE +1.5 -230 —– PITTSBURGH -1.5 +190
O/U: NASHVILLE 5.5 +115 —– PITTSBURGH 5.5 -135
Game Date: Monday,May 29 2017 7:00 PM
Last Game: Won 3 – 6 vs Anaheim Ducks
Current Game: Pittsburgh Penguins
Next Game: Vs.
Stats & Trends: NASHVILLE vs. PITTSBURGH
PVI Rating on Winning: 54.08%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 48.84%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Streaks: 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams % of winning this game: 46%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 51%
Road Teams Predicted Goals For: 2.92
Road Teams Predicted Goals Against: 2.62
Road Team
(NASHVILLE)
When NASHVILLE is a Road Team When Any NHL Team is a Road Team Differential % When NASHVILLE is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 13-15-0 305-359-3 46.08 15-13-0 311-356-0 49.9
vs Non-Division opponent 13-17-0 357-460-7 43.33 14-14-2 353-378-93 50.86
vs Non-Conference opponent 8-8-0 207-241-2 48 10-6-0 206-201-43 43.45
Playing in the month of May 2-2-0 10-19-0 42.24 1-2-1 11-12-6 59.42
Playing on Monday 2-0-0 40-53-4 70.62 0-2-0 38-52-7 78.89
Weekdays game 16-16-0 388-481-10 47.07 16-13-3 369-405-105 48.58
Played as road Team 22-27-0 581-730-10 44.44 23-21-5 559-596-166 49.67
After a Non-Division Game 14-14-0 378-477-5 46.98 15-12-1 371-378-111 47.46
After a Conference Game 16-19-0 366-434-8 45.51 15-15-5 332-366-110 51.22
vs Southeast Division Opponent 5-3-0 140-213-3 50.92 5-3-0 158-157-41 43.67
vs Eastern Conference Opponent 8-8-0 309-390-4 46.98 10-6-0 306-326-71 44.54
Coming off vs Northwest Division Opponent 8-6-0 136-170-4 50.51 7-6-1 128-137-45 48.93
Coming off vs Western Conference Opponent 16-19-0 267-327-8 45.03 15-15-5 246-273-83 51.3
Coming off a 2 winning streak 3-2-0 73-73-1 54.83 2-3-0 65-68-14 55.57
Coming off 1 over 4-7-0 145-165-3 41.35 3-7-1 133-140-40 60.64
Coming off a win 10-20-0 294-358-7 38.97 13-13-4 288-301-70 50.55
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 4-9-0 120-131-3 39.01 7-4-2 108-115-31 43.97
With 6 days off (since 1996) 1-1-0 3-2-0 55 2-0-0 1-3-1 37.5
Coming off a 3 goals win 1-1-0 68-67-1 50 1-0-1 71-55-10 21.83
Coming off a score 6 goals FOR in last game 0-1-0 25-23-1 25.51 0-1-0 18-28-3 80.44
Coming off a score 3 goals AGAINST in last game 5-6-0 121-159-0 44.33 4-6-1 118-126-36 55.82
After Playing ANAHEIM (last 3 years) 3-5-0 17-30-3 35.75 3-4-1 17-24-9 57.84
Coming off 2 non-division games 10-10-0 272-333-3 47.37 9-11-0 254-271-83 53.31
Coming off 2 conference games 15-10-0 272-298-7 53.57 9-12-4 241-262-74 54.62
vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % 3-1-0 68-89-0 59.16 2-2-0 67-74-16 51.24
vs PITTSBURGH (last 3 years) 1-2-0 13-38-0 29.41 2-1-0 29-17-5 35.15
Last 30 days 2-2-0 12-21-0 43.18 1-2-1 14-13-6 57.41
Last 45 days 4-3-0 34-39-0 51.86 2-2-3 30-30-13 50
Last 60 days 6-5-0 76-95-0 49.5 3-4-4 70-78-23 54.92
Last 90 days 10-10-0 174-217-1 47.2 6-9-5 159-187-46 57.03

 

TEAM: NASHVILLE
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 2.93 2.58
Home Games Avg 3.18 2.37
Road Games Avg 2.67 2.8
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 2.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3.2 2.6
Last 10 Games Avg 2.8 2
vs. Division Games Avg 3.1 2.46
vs. Conference Games Avg 3 2.52
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 2.78 2.72
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 2.83 2.48
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.87 2.47
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.11 2.86
After a Win Games Avg 2.81 2.83
After a Lost Games Avg 3.07 2.31
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 2.68 2.95
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 2.81 2.33
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 2.9 2.73
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 3.44 2.28
After an Over Games Avg 2.72 3.02
After an Under Games Avg 3.14 2.17
After a Push Games Avg 2.92 2.5
After 0 day off Avg 3.15 2.77
After 1 day off Avg 3 2.5
After 2 day off Avg 2.85 2.31
After 3 day off Avg 2 4.33
After 4 or more days off Avg 2.33 2.83
2.92 2.62

 

PITTSBURGHTeam Name: PITTSBURGH(Home Team)
Money Line: PITTSBURGH -165 vs NASHVILLE +145
Spread Line: PITTSBURGH -1.5 +190 —– NASHVILLE +1.5 -230
O/U: PITTSBURGH 5.5 -135 —– NASHVILLE 5.5 +115
Game Date: Monday,May 29 2017 7:00 PM
Last Game: Won 2 – 3 vs Ottawa Senators
Current Game: Nashville Predators
Next Game: Vs.
Stats & Trends: PITTSBURGH vs. NASHVILLE
PVI Rating on Winning: 61.39%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 41.49%
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Streaks: 1 SU Win – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Push
Home Teams % of winning this game: 64%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 64%
Home Teams Predicted Goals For: 3.35
Home Teams Predicted Goals Against: 2.62
Home Team
(PITTSBURGH)
When PITTSBURGH is a Home Team When Any NHL Team is a Home Team Differential % When PITTSBURGH is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NHL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Current Season Current Season Differential % Current Season Current Season Differential %
SU SU O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 5.5 27-10-0 359-305-3 63.4 23-14-0 311-356-0 45.61
vs Non-Division opponent 22-8-0 460-357-7 64.58 17-9-4 353-378-93 43.17
vs Non-Conference opponent 8-6-0 241-207-2 55.35 7-5-2 206-201-43 45.53
Playing in the month of May 4-3-0 19-10-0 61.33 2-4-1 11-12-6 59.42
Playing on Monday 4-4-0 53-40-4 52.32 6-2-0 38-52-7 41.39
Weekdays game 26-10-0 481-388-10 63.47 19-13-4 369-405-105 46.48
Played as home Team 38-13-0 730-581-10 64.89 29-17-5 559-596-166 44.28
After a Non-Division Game 22-7-0 429-339-6 65.65 20-7-2 328-348-98 38.71
After a Conference Game 27-10-0 497-399-5 64.07 20-14-3 389-405-107 46.1
vs Northeast Division Opponent 3-4-0 172-133-3 49.35 5-1-1 137-138-33 33.43
vs Western Conference Opponent 8-6-0 349-263-6 56.81 7-5-2 249-283-86 47.44
Coming off vs Atlantic Division Opponent 12-4-0 183-155-2 64.41 11-4-1 145-156-39 39.25
Coming off vs Eastern Conference Opponent 27-10-0 371-310-5 63.53 20-14-3 296-321-69 46.61
Coming off 1 push 4-0-0 92-57-1 80.67 3-0-1 64-56-30 23.34
Coming off a win 20-7-0 354-294-6 64.1 16-10-1 266-301-87 45.78
Coming off a Home Win as a Favorite 12-4-0 179-128-3 66.37 11-5-0 132-132-46 40.63
With 3 days off 1-0-0 26-29-2 72.81 1-0-0 26-27-4 25.47
Coming off two 1-goal game lost 2-3-0 115-98-4 46.5 5-0-0 94-99-24 25.65
Coming off a 1 goals win 8-3-0 179-142-4 63.91 7-3-1 140-135-50 39.55
Coming off a score 3 goals FOR in last game 11-2-0 158-127-6 69.46 9-3-1 125-131-35 38.09
Coming off a score 2 goals AGAINST in last game 12-5-0 166-134-3 62.69 11-4-2 127-138-38 39.38
After Playing OTTAWA (last 3 years) 1-1-0 33-21-0 55.56 0-2-0 19-25-10 78.41
Coming off 2 non-division games 18-3-0 284-232-2 70.27 15-4-2 218-235-65 36.47
Coming off 2 conference games 18-8-0 364-298-4 61.94 13-11-2 289-301-76 48.43
vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 11-4-0 230-191-2 63.85 8-5-2 171-186-66 45.28
vs NASHVILLE (last 3 years) 2-1-0 27-22-0 60.89 2-1-0 23-21-5 40.53
Last 30 days 4-3-0 21-12-0 60.39 2-4-1 14-13-6 57.41
Last 45 days 6-3-0 39-34-0 60.05 3-5-1 30-30-13 56.25
Last 60 days 9-3-0 95-76-0 65.28 3-8-1 70-78-23 62.72
Last 90 days 13-6-0 217-174-1 61.89 8-9-2 159-187-46 53.5

 

TEAM: PITTSBURGH
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 3.36 2.75
Home Games Avg 3.69 2.51
Road Games Avg 3.02 3
Last 3 Games Avg 3.67 1.33
Last 5 Games Avg 3 2.2
Last 10 Games Avg 2.3 2.2
vs. Division Games Avg 3.62 3.05
vs. Conference Games Avg 3.44 2.82
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 3.14 2.57
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 3.33 3.05
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 2.97 2.69
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 3.8 2.43
After a Win Games Avg 3.44 2.79
After a Lost Games Avg 3.23 2.72
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 3.54 2.42
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 3.54 2.92
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 3.38 3.03
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 2.62 2.31
After an Over Games Avg 3.35 2.8
After an Under Games Avg 3.26 2.77
After a Push Games Avg 4.17 2.33
After 0 day off Avg 2.4 2.47
After 1 day off Avg 3.52 2.82
After 2 day off Avg 3.4 2.73
After 3 day off Avg 3.6 3.4
After 4 or more days off Avg 4.33 2
3.35 2.62