By Des Boodam
Just like Vegas lines, daily fantasy sites like FanDuel and DraftKings really start to tighten the screws on how they price players by about Week 3.
There aren’t as many glaring pricing errors that generate such great value that ownership is through the roof. It happens though, and I’m always confused how that happens, but like Vegas, most of these DFS get it right. Last week was one of my more successful weeks in recent memory to in large part to monster games from the Chicago defense, and Melvin Gordon, and decent games from James Connor, Tyreek Hill and JuJu Smith-Shuster.
Alvin Kamara was still useful but churned out less value than several RBs (the big dollar play was Gurley) and Alex Smith was an absolute disaster… I stink choosing cash game QBs – but I have a remedy…. Help me help you gamers – here’s to another good week.
Week 1: 149.30 points – EASY MONEY – CASHED
Week 2: 133.98 points – Escaped – CASHED
QB – Blake Bortles $6700
I’m thoroughly dumbfounded by this price point. Bortles goes up against a Tennessee secondary that just gave up two passing TDs to Ryan Tannehill, and another two to a rusty DeShaun Watson while averaging 290 yards given up in the last two games. Bortles just torched the New England secondary and now goes up against Tennessee who wasn’t able to shut down either Watson or Tannehill. I went Alex Smith last week for way more money and got nothing, so going bargain bin with Bortles in Week 3 –
RB – Latavius Murray $5,200
He’s my cheapest position player this week, and with good reason. Dalvin Cook is out and Murray who averaged 17 touches per game last season as the feature doesn’t have Jerrick McKinnon to contend with. I don’t think the Vikings are going to whip out the play book in this one, with an easy victory over the Bills upcoming. 20 touches should yield just the right amount of value.
RB – Chris Thompson $6,500
His volume has been amazing the last two games and he is the feature back in a game where the over/under is 47.5. Whether on the ground or in the passing game Alex Smith is sure to dip and dunk the ball into Thompson’s hands at least 20 times.
WR – Mike Evans $8,000
He’s a little low for a guy averaging better than 8/115/1. He’ll be in line for another heavy workload in this week’s Monday night shootout.
WR – Kenny Golladay $5,800
All Day Kenny is up against one of the friendliest fantasy defenses in the last 19 weeks of football. He’s at home in a game where the Lions will be behind and still has a gunslinger as a QB. Garbage time is a real thing, and can be calculated.
WR – Antonio Brown $8,800
I love Ju-Ju Smith-Shuster every week – but Brown has been running his big mouth in the media and on social media. I think he backs it up in this game with a monster effort, and the Bucs don’t have the pieces in their secondary to double team him effectively. Ju-Ju is cheaper – but this is Brown’s game.
FLEX – Alvin Kamara $8,700
See Christian McCaffery’s stats last week in Atlanta – especially in the passing game…. Welcome back – now add in a better athlete, better route runner, and better hands be thrown to by a better QB and that’s what Kamara is. Gurley has a higher ceiling but Kamara is way cheaper.
DEF – Chicago Bears $4,300
Listen, Minnesota has the higher ceiling. They are at home playing a worse team, but the Bears have been a better fantasy defense – they’ve pressured the QB more effectively and scored two defensive TDs… both play bad offenses, and the Bears have been scored against more, but those counting stats add up – thank you Khalil Mack.
Good Luck Gamers.!!