Sports Betting Value Report- MVC Tourney & NBA

Sports Betting Value Report


What is the Sports Betting Value Report?

The Sports Betting Value Report is a sports betting publication which identifies the best valued money line underdog plays on the betting board. Only games with an opening line of +150 or less are posted.

To view the Sports Betting Value Report for all sports visit us at:

Value Play Opening Line Value Rating Win/Loss Margin Premium/Discount Projected Win% Current Line Optimal Line
Thunder-A +115 41 (2.48) (4%) 49% +110 +124

College Basketball

Bradley +120 53.50 (1.04) Even 46% +120 +129
Northern Iowa +145 51.50 (3.10) 3% 41% +150 +158
Illinois State +145 44 (3.49) (7%) 41% +135 +158



Key Indicator= Considered a positive indicator for the Value Play for which it is assigned.

Value Play: Any Money Line Underdog with an opening betting line of +150 or lower. H=Home, A=Away

Opening Line: All opening lines are from the Las Vegas Westgate Super book.

Value Rating:  Our Value Rating is based on our team ranking system, our projected win/loss margin and the odds of the Underdog Money Line.  The Value Rating is based on the current line.  Key Indicator= 50 or greater

Win/Loss Margin: Our Projected win/loss margin by the underdog versus the favorite.  Key Indicator= (3 Points or less, one possession)

Note: The underdog does not have to have a winning margin in order for it to be considered a good value play

Premium/Discount: The percentage increase/decrease from the opening line to the current line. (For example, Dallas opens at +120 and currently stands at +140.  This would signify a 17% premium for the bettor.)  Key Indicator= 5% premium or greater. 

Projected Win %: This number represents how likely the Value Play is to win the game outright based on the OPENING money line assigned by the Las Vegas bookmakers.

Current Line: Where the line currently stands at the time our report was released.  All lines are from Key Indicator= Green Highlight indicates the line is currently posted above the optimal line.

Optimal Line: This line represents the “optimal” premium we believe the money line would be adjusted to.