By Ron Raymond – ATS STATS
Welcome back, baseball investors! It’s Saturday, July 19th, and the first full board since the All-Star Break is bringing the heat 🔥. Whether you’re looking to ride a hot team, fade a cold streak, or sniff out a value edge in today’s matchups, the Raymond Report has you covered. Let’s dive into today’s MLB Fun Facts, built for sharp bettors who love smart data.
🧊 Cold Streak Alert: San Francisco Slumps in Toronto
The San Francisco Giants have dropped 3 straight and face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre today. Not only are the Giants cold (0-3 SU), but the UNDER has hit in their last 3 as well. Logan Webb gets the call, but with a C.O.W. (Chances of Winning) of just 47.15%, the value may lie north of the border.
🔹 Fun Fact: When the Giants are on a 3-game skid and face a team off a win, their COGO (Chance of Game Going Over) jumps to 76% — high OVER radar!
🐻 Market Correction Brewing? Mets Overdue?
The New York Mets are -180 favorites vs. the Cincinnati Reds, but the Reds have won 3 straight. The Mets are 5-5 SU in their last 10 and their DMVI (Daily Market Value Index) sits at +129.71, showing they might be overpriced. With a total of 9.39, sharp bettors will keep an eye on how Nick Martinez holds up.
🔹 Sharp Stat: Reds are just 2-7-1 O/U last 10, but today’s projected runs from both sides point to an OVER.
📉 Fade the Public Favorite? Dodgers Reeling
The Los Angeles Dodgers are -143 favorites vs. a red-hot Milwaukee Brewers squad that’s won 8 straight. The Dodgers have dropped 2 straight and are just 2-8 SU last 10. Don’t let the brand name fool you — the Brew Crew is a value play with momentum and the market sentiment tipping bullish.
🔹 Fun Fact: Brewers are 9-1 SU L10 and catching plus money? That’s candy for contrarians.
🚨 Over Machine: Yankees vs. Braves
The New York Yankees face the Atlanta Braves with a sizzling O/U run of 8-2-0 in their last 10. Today’s total sits at 9.5, and both teams are coming off games that sailed OVER. Will Warren gets the nod for New York, but the public eye is on the OVER once again.
🔹 Betting Tip: This matchup is a prime “steam chaser” game — monitor line movement before first pitch.
🔥 Underdog Watch: Royals Bounce Back Spot
After blowing a lead vs. the Marlins, the Kansas City Royals are -123 favorites in a rematch. Both teams are trending UNDER in their last 10, but KC’s 6-4 SU stretch and a soft SOS (Strength of Schedule) may present a bounce-back spot.
🔹 Key Stat: Royals’ VI (Value Index) of -129.38 suggests they’re undervalued in today’s market.
🧮 Raymond Report Betting Angle of the Day
Law of Average Play: When a team like the Detroit Tigers (5-game losing streak) faces a team off back-to-back wins like Texas, the play leans toward Detroit as a “correction” play — especially with the Tigers still 59-39 SU overall.
🔍 Quick Hit Market Watch:
- Bullish Teams: Milwaukee (8W), Cubs (3W), Seattle (4W)
- Bearish Teams: Dodgers, Nationals, Pirates
- Hot Totals Trend: OVER is 8-2 in Yankees’ last 10
- Watch for Correction: UNDER is 59-41-2 for Marlins; today’s line is 8.5
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