Raymond Report CFL Game Preview for Thursday, July 31st, 2025, as the Calgary Stampeders (-4.5) head to Ottawa to take on the struggling RedBlacks (+180 ML). The Total sits at 52.5.
🏈 Game Forecast
Projected Score:
Calgary: 28.41
Ottawa: 23.92
Edge: Calgary by 4.49 points (Line: -4.5)
Total Forecast: 52.33 (very close to posted total of 52.5)
🔥 Current Form & Momentum
| Category | Calgary | Ottawa |
|---|---|---|
| SU Record | 5-2 (3-0 Road) | 1-6 (0-3 Home) |
| ATS Record | 5-2 ATS | 2-5 ATS |
| Streaks | 1 SU Loss, 1 ATS Loss | 4 SU Losses, 1 ATS Loss |
| Last Game | Lost 23-21 vs MTL | Lost 30-15 vs HAM |
| Confidence Index | 66% – Neutral | 0% – Bearish |
| Last 3 Games | 2-1 SU (Avg PF: 28.67, PA: 17.67) | 0-3 SU (PF: 22.67, PA: 30.67) |
📊 Market Indicators
- DMVI (Value Index):
Calgary: -6 (Fading slightly)
Ottawa: +3.56 (False hope?) - C.O.W. (Chance of Winning):
Calgary: 56.76%
Ottawa: 43.24% - C.O.G.O. (Chances of Game Going Over):
Both at 62%, suggesting the Over may be live if Ottawa can chip in enough points.
🧠 Situational Insights
- Calgary is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS on the road, averaging 31.33 PPG and only allowing 16.33 PAPG.
- Ottawa is winless at home (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS), scoring just 16 PPG and allowing 29 PAPG.
- Ottawa has played 10 days rest while Calgary is on a typical 6-day cycle.
📈 Historical Angles
- Calgary vs Ottawa (Last 10): 5-5 SU | 6-4 ATS
- Unders dominate:
🔻 Under is 11-5-1 lifetime in Ottawa-Calgary matchups.
🔻 Ottawa is 4-6 O/U this season.
🔻 Calgary is 3-4 O/U this season.
🛠️ Raymond Report Tools Say…
- Power Rating & SOS:
Calgary has played a softer recent schedule (44.45% SOS last 3), while Ottawa has faced tougher competition (77.78%).
Still, Calgary handled their business while Ottawa collapsed. - Performance Margins (Last 3):
🔺 Calgary: +11 P/M
🔻 Ottawa: -8 P/M
💰 Investor Angle
This is a classic “buy the dip” on a good team (Calgary off a 2-point loss) and “fade the noise” on a sinking asset (Ottawa, 1-6, low morale, QB instability). Calgary has consistently covered as a road favorite, while Ottawa hasn’t protected home field or bettors’ bankrolls.
Recommendation:
- Side: Calgary -4.5 ✅
- Lean: UNDER 52.5 ✅
- If you trust Raymond Report data and trends, Calgary should bounce back and cash as a confident road investment.
🔎 Read the Full Report & More CFL Insights:
👉 www.atsstats.com
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