Welcome to another edition of the Raymond Report Double Dutch System, where smart money means betting Win & Place on one key horse in each race. This approach balances upside with consistency and protects your bankroll like a stop-loss order on Wall Street. Let’s dive into tonight’s Churchill Downs card.
🏇 Race 1 – $45,000 Claiming (1 Mile Dirt – 5:00 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (10) Noahs Ark – 30/1
Yes, he’s a longshot. But at Churchill, chaos often strikes early. With Y. Correa riding at a sneaky 42% clip in spots like this, Noahs Ark fits the value play mold for Win & Place. If he even grabs Place money, you’re ahead of the game.
🏇 Race 2 – $36,000 Claiming (1 1/16 Miles Dirt – 5:29 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (3) Johnson – 3/1
Reliable rider T. Gaffalione teams up with a horse who fits the grinder profile. Not flashy, but steady. Ideal DD candidate when looking for that balance of form and price.
🏇 Race 3 – $62,000 Starter Allowance (1 Mile Dirt – 6:00 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (8) Colonial Rose – 5/2
The chalk you don’t overthink. J. L. Ortiz on the mile dirt is usually a green light. Colonial Rose profiles as your anchor play on today’s card.
🏇 Race 4 – $127,000 Allowance (6 Furlongs Dirt – 6:30 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (5) Cinnamon Sugar – 10/1
This is where the DD system shines—mixing value with coverage. At 10/1, Cinnamon Sugar gives you upside if he wins, but the Place money alone may fund multiple races.
🏇 Race 5 – $134,000 Allowance Optional Claiming (1 1/16 Miles Turf – 6:59 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (8) Depiction – 3/1
Turf racing often punishes favorites, but Ortiz aboard Depiction makes this the safest DD option in the field. Should sit a perfect trip.
🏇 Race 6 – $120,000 Maiden Special Weight (6 Furlongs Dirt – 7:28 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (11) Measure – 8/1
A sneaky outside post runner with Ortiz up. Strong DD value: if he grabs Place, you get paid; if he shocks with a Win, you’re laughing.
🏇 Race 7 – $141,000 Allowance Optional Claiming (6½ Furlongs Dirt – 7:57 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (4) Fibber – 4/1
Consistency is the name of the game. Fibber is the “meat-and-potatoes” DD play here—nothing fancy, just solid chance to hit the board.
🏇 Race 8 – $64,000 Claiming (6 Furlongs Dirt – 8:26 PM)
- Double Dutch Play: (3) American Xperiment – 9/2
This one screams bounce-back potential. With Ortiz in the irons and a fair ML price, he’s an automatic DD inclusion.
📝 Final Thoughts
The Double Dutch System is about stacking probabilities—not swinging for the fences. By betting Win & Place on one horse per race, you smooth out volatility and give yourself a chance to build the bankroll gradually.
🔥 Best Value DD Play: (10) Noahs Ark in Race 1 (30/1 longshot with a live rider)
🔥 Best Anchor DD Play: (8) Colonial Rose in Race 3 (chalk consistency)
For the full card, including Exacta/Trifecta recommendations and trackside insights, visit 👉 ATSStats.com
