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Raymond Track Report – Belmont at the Big A (Thu, Oct 2, 2025)

horse racing picks

Eight-pack at Belmont with a little of everything: dirt sprints, two-turn turf, and a $175K dash that could get goofy. Below are our Win/Place/Show picks, a Joker (price/chaos horse), plus Exacta/Trifecta boxes and a sharp bettor’s tip for each race. If you want the full buffet (and every other major track), that’s in our Premium Horse Racing section at ATSSTATS.com. Let’s eat. 😎


🔹 Race 1 — Maiden Claiming $43,000 — 6F Dirt — 1:10 PM

Win: (6) Coola Boola — M. Franco (8-5)
Place: (2) Tapit Back — R. Silvera (5-1)
Show: (1) Peace of Gold — L. R. Rivera Jr. (12-1)
Joker: (4) Caitlins Threes — D. Davis (5-2)
Tip: Pace says 6 controls early. Use 1 underneath—rail draw + price screams “juice the tri.”
Exacta: 6/2 • 2/1 • 1/4
Trifecta: 6/2/1 • 4/2/1


🔹 Race 2 — Maiden Special Weight $85,000 — 1 1/16M Outer Turf — 1:40 PM

Win: (10) Glavine — R. Santana Jr. (5-2)
Place: (7) Underbidder — F. Prat (3-1)
Show: (9) Kaz Brio — R. Silvera (30-1)
Joker: (5) Bellamy — K. Carmouche (15-1)
Tip: 10’s outside draw = clear trip into the far turn. Sprinkle 9 in tris—30-1 with legit late gears.
Exacta: 10/7 • 7/9 • 9/5
Trifecta: 10/7/9 • 5/7/9


🔹 Race 3 — Claiming $58,000 — 7F Dirt — 2:10 PM

Win: (2) Tarpaulin — R. Santana Jr. (9-2)
Place: (8) Free Dance — M. Franco (12-1)
Show: (6) Notah — F. Prat (6-1)
Joker: (4) Crushed It — D. Davis (5-2)
Tip: Trip race: 2 sits the pocket while 4/6 soften each other. 8 is your tote-board bomb.
Exacta: 2/8 • 8/6 • 6/4
Trifecta: 2/8/6 • 4/8/6


🔹 Race 4 — Maiden Special Weight $85,000 — 1 1/16M Turf — 2:40 PM

Win: (2) Special Envoy — F. Prat (5-2)
Place: (1) Fleet N Ready — C. Elliott (20-1)
Show: (6) Behold the King — L. R. Rivera Jr. (4-1)
Joker: (8) Oban — K. Carmouche (6-1)
Tip: Class + rider = 2 gets first run; 1 is a massive price for exactas from the rail.
Exacta: 2/1 • 1/6 • 6/8
Trifecta: 2/1/6 • 8/1/6


🔹 Race 5 — Stakes $175,000 — 6F Outer Turf — 3:10 PM

Win: (3) Just Philtored — M. J. Sanchez (8-1)
Place: (7) Valala — R. Santana Jr. (20-1)
Show: (10) Catalonia — L. Saez (12-1)
Joker: (12) Bella Knows — M. Franco (15-1)
Tip: Chaos alert. Spread deep; play against a short fave and lean on 3 over the two bombs (7,10).
Exacta: 3/7 • 7/10 • 10/12
Trifecta: 3/7/10 • 12/7/10


🔹 Race 6 — Claiming $38,000 — 6F Dirt — 3:40 PM

Win: (1) Fitzpatrick — M. J. Sanchez (15-1)
Place: (2) Gatsby — M. Franco (3-1)
Show: (4) Manta Rey — C. Elliott (6-1)
Joker: (5) Graywing — R. Silvera (8-1)
Tip: Price swing. 1’s inside speed is dangerous if he leaves clean—press the win bet if >10-1.
Exacta: 1/2 • 2/4 • 4/5
Trifecta: 1/2/4 • 5/2/4


🔹 Race 7 — Allowance Optional Claiming $90,000 — 1 1/16M Turf — 4:10 PM

Win: (4) Avenue Niel — M. J. Sanchez (8-1)
Place: (1) Fantasy Performer — R. Santana Jr. (10-1)
Show: (5) Allamericanbeauty — S. Marin (12-1)
Joker: (2) Fun With Flags — M. Franco (9-2)
Tip: Value sandwich. 4 has the punch; 1 saves ground at a number. Fade short chalks; spread for score.
Exacta: 4/1 • 1/5 • 5/2
Trifecta: 4/1/5 • 2/1/5


🔹 Race 8 — Maiden Claiming $48,000 — 6F Outer Turf — 4:40 PM

Win: (7) Amelia — R. Santana Jr. (10-1)
Place: (2) Tahila — M. Franco (5-1)
Show: (3) Fifi La Fume — R. Silvera (8-1)
Joker: (5) Five Dozen Roses — D. Davis (9-2)
Tip: Late-day price play: 7 has the right outside flow. Use 2 as a saver and 5 as your chaos hook.
Exacta: 7/2 • 2/3 • 3/5
Trifecta: 7/2/3 • 5/2/3


Bankroll Notes (clip this)

  • Singles: R1 #6 Coola Boola (chalk you can key), R4 #2 Special Envoy.
  • Value Keys: R5 #3 Just Philtored, R6 #1 Fitzpatrick, R7 #4 Avenue Niel, R8 #7 Amelia.
  • Exacta approach: Key our Win pick over the Place/Show + Joker (1×3).
  • Trifectas: Box our top three; add the Joker in second/third if the race looks chaotic.

 

author avatar
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.