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Raymond Track Report — Belmont at the Big A (10/11/25)

horse racing picks belmont

We’ve got an 11-race card that mixes maiden puzzles, salty claimers, and three stakes. Below you’ll find an easy read for each race: top picks, a quick angle (“Why we like it”), and ready-to-bet Exacta/Trifecta boxes. Have fun, bet within your comfort zone, and let’s try to stack a few tickets. 🙌


Race 1 — $80,000 MSW • 7f Dirt • 12:10 PM

Picks: 1) Pride of the Union (5) • 2) Hurricane Kaz (3) • 3) Mission Critical (1) • Joker: Top Player (4)
Why we like it: Debuters & light runners—7f rewards tactical speed and a clean break. Franco’s mount (#5) projects the best trip; #3 offers value if pace cooks.
Exacta Box: 5/3 • 3/1 • 1/4
Trifecta Box: 5/3/1 • 4/3/1


Race 2 — $60,000 Claiming • 6.5f Dirt • 12:41 PM

Picks: 1) Gatsby (6) • 2) Looms Boldly (1) • 3) Riyadh Moon (2) • Joker: Ten Cent Town (3)
Why we like it: Cutback + class relief for #6; rail speed from #1 keeps him honest; #2 is the late ticket-saver.
Exacta Box: 6/1 • 1/2 • 2/3
Trifecta Box: 6/1/2 • 3/1/2


Race 3 — $80,000 MSW • 6f Outer Turf • 1:12 PM

Picks: 1) True Legend (3) • 2) Kid Rich (8) • 3) Baby Meanie (2) • Joker: Thirsted (5)
Why we like it: Turf sprint profiles: proven turf foot + outside draw = win equity. #3 is the standard; #8’s post helps; #2 is the chaos key at a price.
Exacta Box: 3/8 • 8/2 • 2/5
Trifecta Box: 3/8/2 • 5/8/2


Race 4 — $150,000 Stakes • 1m Turf • 1:43 PM

Picks: 1) Big Everest (6) • 2) Sand Pipes (3) • 3) Otago (4) • Joker: Lucky Score (1)
Why we like it: Class plus tactical pace for #6; #3 is your value stalker; #4’s consistency keeps him in all exotics.
Exacta Box: 6/3 • 3/4 • 4/1
Trifecta Box: 6/3/4 • 1/3/4


Race 5 — $35,000 Mdn Claiming • 6f Dirt • 2:16 PM

Picks: 1) Shadow Surge (4) • 2) Volunteer Fireman (8) • 3) Noguchi (5) • Joker: Seeker’s Hope (3)
Why we like it: Maiden claimers = look for drop + speed. #4 fits both; #8 has upside; #5 is the safety favorite underneath.
Exacta Box: 4/8 • 8/5 • 5/3
Trifecta Box: 4/8/5 • 3/8/5


Race 6 — $82,000 AOC • 1m Dirt • 2:49 PM

Picks: 1) Aggregation (4) • 2) Land d’Oro (7) • 3) Refuah (2) • Joker: Shared Success (5)
Why we like it: Mile on dirt rewards pace control; #4 projects best trip. #7 is the live press; #2 a fair-priced grinder.
Exacta Box: 4/7 • 7/2 • 2/5
Trifecta Box: 4/7/2 • 5/7/2


Race 7 — $82,000 AOC • 1 1/16m Turf • 3:21 PM

Picks: 1) Miztertonic (4) • 2) Dear Chairman (6) • 3) Cable Ready (3) • Joker: Sounds Like a Plan (2)
Why we like it: Turf routes = relax early, quick late. #4 has the turn of foot; #6 trips out; #3 reliable for tri.
Exacta Box: 4/6 • 6/3 • 3/2
Trifecta Box: 4/6/3 • 2/6/3


Race 8 — $32,000 Claiming • 1m Dirt • 3:53 PM

Picks: 1) Laughing Boy (1) • 2) He’s Got This (8) • 3) Quiet Wisdom (3) • Joker: Beachwalker (4)
Why we like it: Rail + pace helps #1 control the race. #8 is the main danger; #3 runs on.
Exacta Box: 1/8 • 8/3 • 3/4
Trifecta Box: 1/8/3 • 4/8/3


Race 9 — $88,000 Allowance • 1m Dirt • 4:24 PM

Picks: 1) Tuscan Gold (3) • 2) Burning Glory (8) • 3) Buttah (6) • Joker: Brazenly (9)
Why we like it: Middle moves win miles—#3 profiles perfectly. #8 keeps him honest; #6 finishes the frame.
Exacta Box: 3/8 • 8/6 • 6/9
Trifecta Box: 3/8/6 • 9/8/6


Race 10 — $175,000 Stakes • 6f Outer Turf • 4:53 PM

Picks: 1) Love Cervere (2) • 2) Italian Soiree (1) • 3) Annascaul (10) • Joker: Army Gal (12)
Why we like it: High-end turf dash—post & turn time matter. #2 gets first run; #1 trips cozy; #10 floats into perfect stalk.
Exacta Box: 2/1 • 1/10 • 10/12
Trifecta Box: 2/1/10 • 12/1/10


Race 11 — $81,000 Allowance • 1m Turf • 5:22 PM

Picks: 1) Annexperience (7) • 2) Coach Case (10) • 3) Terminal Velocity (4) • Joker: Mo Kreesa (1)
Why we like it: Late turf mile often flips to the best closer with a lane—#7 fits; #10 is the value; #4 is your exacta anchor.
Exacta Box: 7/10 • 10/4 • 4/1
Trifecta Box: 7/10/4 • 1/10/4


Raymond’s Three Fun Rules for Recreational Bettors

  1. Dirt = Pace: Favor horses who can sit 1st–3rd into the far turn.
  2. Turf = Trip: Save ground early, quicken late—closers need a clean lane.
  3. Boxes for Balance: Exacta/Trifecta boxes protect you when 2–3 picks run well.

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Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.