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horse racing picks

Thursday Horse Racing Picks β€” October 23, 2025

Belmont at the Big A β€’ Keeneland β€’ Woodbine
Practical plays, simple tickets, and a little dad-joke energy to keep the mojo going. πŸ‡


πŸ—½ Belmont at the Big A (First post 1:10 ET)

R1 β€” Claiming, 6f dirt
Rail + speed = a good banker. Secured Lender (1) looks β€œfunded,” Turn and Count (3) keeps him honest, and Sir Kartrite (4) grinds for a share. Price pop is Tapwrits Temper (6) if they melt late.
Betting: Exacta 1/3 box; backup 3/4 box. Tri 1/3/4 box; saver 6/3/4.

R2 β€” MSW, 1 1/16m turf
Trip race. Team of Rivals (6) has the upside to finish the job; Up for an Oscar (2) is your logical co-star; Wicked Improbable (5) belongs in every vertical. Atomic Age (4) spices up exotics.
Betting: Exacta 6/2 box, 2/5 box. Tri 6/2/5 box; saver 4/2/5.

R3 β€” Claiming, 1m dirt
Value vibes. It Takes Heart (5) can out-finish them, Pistol Liz Ablazen (3) is the pace/key, Echo in Eternity (6) sits the trip. Coquito (2) is the hedge if speed rules.
Betting: Exacta 5/3 box, 3/6 box. Tri 5/3/6 box; saver 2/3/6.

R4 β€” Claiming, 1m dirt
Chaos potential, but I’ll get cute at a price. Rodeo Star (1) draws perfectly, Sight to See (10) is consistent, Stress Reliever (7) can clunk up. Brooklyn Dantz (5) is the bomb on savers.
Betting: Exacta 1/10 box, 10/7 box. Tri 1/10/7 box; saver 5/10/7.

R5 β€” Md Opt Clm, 6f outer turf
Turf sprint with options. Helmet of Will (4) = speed + stick; Escape Hall (7) is the trip horse; Diliello (5) offers value. Raging Sea Captain (10) is your late exotics stir.
Betting: Exacta 4/7 box, 7/5 box. Tri 4/7/5 box; saver 10/7/5.

R6 β€” MSW, 1 1/16m turf
Deep field; trust the draw and kick. Starship Ava (12) can swoop if she clears traffic, Jetties (7) is live, Atenea (8) is the price for the tri. Amicus Curiae (2) is the moonshot.
Betting: Exacta 12/7 box, 7/8 box. Tri 12/7/8 box; saver 2/7/8.

R7 β€” Allowance, 1 1/8m dirt
Stamina test. Capital Gal (6) gets first run, Purpose (2) stalks, Backcheck (4) is the grinding third. Grace and Grit (5) is the backup if the fave trips out.
Betting: Exacta 6/2 box, 2/4 box. Tri 6/2/4 box; saver 5/2/4.

R8 β€” Claiming, 6f outer turf
Inside matters. Kyla’s Kause (1) gets the jump, Gold Stamp (3) is the price to include, Bembridge Ledge (12) closes. Parade Ring (10) is your insurance.
Betting: Exacta 1/3 box, 3/12 box. Tri 1/3/12 box; saver 10/3/12.


🐎 Keeneland (First post 1:00 ET)

R1 β€” Claiming, 1β…›m dirt
Grinder’s route. Shortstop (4) can leg it out, Strummin (3) tracks, Sprint Out Pass (7) holds chalky appeal. Farm Team (2) is the saver if the pace softens.
Betting: Exacta 4/3 box, 3/7 box. Tri 4/3/7 box; saver 2/3/7.

R2 β€” MSW, 7f dirt
Let’s zig. Like Water (2) at a number, Time for Music (1) is ready to move, and Leading Change (6) is logical. Refined Design (4) is the safety valve.
Betting: Exacta 2/1 box, 1/6 box. Tri 2/1/6 box; saver 4/1/6.

R3 β€” Allowance, 5Β½f turf
Speed + class. Ms. Tart (2) offers value vs. chalk Oujda (6); Crown Imperial (1) floats into the frame. Twirling Queen (3) on backups.
Betting: Exacta 2/6 box, 6/1 box. Tri 2/6/1 box; saver 3/6/1.

R4 β€” Starter Alw, 1 1/16m dirt
Solid single candidate: Sweetalkingbourbon (6). Googol Joke (1) is the price underneath, Mission Improbable (7) keeps improving. Weaponized (8) is the saver.
Betting: Exacta 6/1 box, 1/7 box. Tri 6/1/7 box; saver 8/1/7.

R5 β€” MSW, 1m turf
Big, bettable field. Core Memories (4) at a price, Amberglen (9) the obvious β€˜A,’ Temple Goddess (7) for value. Sugar Doll (14) scares me from the parking lotβ€”use defensively.
Betting: Exacta 4/9 box, 9/7 box. Tri 4/9/7 box; saver 14/9/7.

R6 β€” Md Clm, 1 1/16m dirt
Bombs away? Legend of Bobby C (9) is the swing, Wizard of Yester (2) has the right placement, Antietam (3) is chalk insurance. Voulezvous (10) is the β€œdon’t yell at me” saver.
Betting: Exacta 9/2 box, 2/3 box. Tri 9/2/3 box; saver 10/2/3.

R7 β€” Allowance, 1 1/16m turf
Pace looks honest. East Village (6) trips out, Fulleffort (7) finishes, Longhi (3) fits the number. Expressway (9) for backups.
Betting: Exacta 6/7 box, 7/3 box. Tri 6/7/3 box; saver 9/7/3.

R8 β€” AOC, 6f dirt
Two-horse race on paper. Tanya Showers (2) is the value vs. Sam’s Treasure (4). Xtreme Smoke Show (1) rounds the tri; Ervadean (6) on saver tix.
Betting: Exacta 2/4 box, 4/1 box. Tri 2/4/1 box; saver 6/4/1.

R9 β€” MSW, 1m turf
Spread and smile. Pretty Tapit (9) offers a price pop, Rethink (6) is your steady β€˜A,’ Smokin Hot Blonde (5) wakes up at a number. Theravada (7) is your chaos button.
Betting: Exacta 9/6 box, 6/5 box. Tri 9/6/5 box; saver 7/6/5.


🍁 Woodbine (First post 5:30 ET)

R1 β€” Claiming, 1m inner turf
Inside advantage. Fish Mooney (1) the pick, Twisting Pistons (4) chases, Foxy Diva (3) for value; Retail Therapist (6) is the saver.
Betting: Exacta 1/4 box, 4/3 box. Tri 1/4/3 box; saver 6/4/3.

R2 β€” Claiming, 7f AW
Numbers say price. Pickford Sweet (3) on the rise, My Cash Factor (12) next best, Cinnamon Bits (2) can outrun odds. No Visor (11) on backups.
Betting: Exacta 3/12 box, 12/2 box. Tri 3/12/2 box; saver 11/12/2.

R3 β€” Md Clm, 1 1/16m AW
Tote watch, but I’ll swing. Crumlin Mission (5) upside at a price, Conquer the Storm (3) reliable, Almasty’s Lust (6) sneaky. Black Goddess (9) is saver spice.
Betting: Exacta 5/3 box, 3/6 box. Tri 5/3/6 box; saver 9/3/6.

R4 β€” AOC, 7Β½f inner turf
Class + trip. Speedy Freeze (5) the one to beat, Bessie Abott (3) the danger, Determined First (9) for tri value. Ella It Is (6) underneath.
Betting: Exacta 5/3 box, 3/9 box. Tri 5/3/9 box; saver 6/3/9.

R5 β€” Md Opt Clm, 6Β½f AW
Reliable profile. Tanzanite Lily (3) over Spikephil (1) with Alfred Bellows (6) rounding. Total Sensation (7) is chalk insurance.
Betting: Exacta 3/1 box, 1/6 box. Tri 3/1/6 box; saver 7/1/6.

R6 β€” Claiming, 6f AW
Tight little sprint. Souper Iconic (4) vs. Go Jimmy Go (2), with Diva’s Ghost (1) for price. Irish Deputy (7) is the hail-mary.
Betting: Exacta 4/2 box, 2/1 box. Tri 4/2/1 box; saver 7/2/1.

R7 β€” Claiming, 1 1/16m inner turf
Formful finale. Nikita’s Gem (2) sits the trip, Design Diva (5) is the obvious foil, Juicy Hanna (3) fills it out. Reload Eh (8) on saver slips.
Betting: Exacta 2/5 box, 5/3 box. Tri 2/5/3 box; saver 8/5/3.


Bankroll & sanity check

  • Box small, single smart: Box your exactas/tris in the big fields; pick one best bet per track to press.
  • Use the Joker wisely: Add exactly one price horse (the β€œJoker”) to tri/super ticketsβ€”cheap leverage.
  • Weather/paddock = tiebreakers: If turf gets soft, bump late kickers; if dirt’s playing fast, upgrade speed.