Thoroughbred Racing Tipsheet powered by ATSstats.com
Smart money deserves smart picks, and today’s Aqueduct card delivers a juicy lineup of maiden specials, allowances, and two stakes events. Pace dynamics, surface pedigree, and jockey efficiency are key edges today, along with identifying closers vs. early burners in races loaded with speed.
RACE 1 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $48,000 – 1 Mile (Dirt) – 11:40 AM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (7) Cathedral Aisle – F. Prat (32%) | Tactical stalker who should sit just off the early speed and pounce late. Improving form and top jock up. |
| PLACE | (2) Ivy Girl – M. Franco (28%) | Early foot, projects to control tempo if not pressured. Dangerous on the lead. |
| SHOW | (4) Catholic Vice – R. Santana Jr. (25%) | Stretching out, late-running style could pick up tired rivals. |
| JOKER | (1) Delver – L. R. Rivera Jr. | Rail draw and potential pace meltdown plays to his closer profile. |
Exacta: 7/2 BOX, 2/4 BOX, 4/1 BOX
Trifecta: 7/2/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
RACE 2 – CLAIMING – $31,000 – 6.5 Furlongs (Dirt) – 12:10 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (3) Take Me to Londyn – F. Prat | Stalker who should sit behind a fast projected early duel and slingshot off the turn. |
| PLACE | (7) Ragtime Sizzle – S. Civaci | Closer who will love a pace collapse. Bullet work signals readiness. |
| SHOW | (5) Tough Love Torres – K. Carmouche | Strong early speed, but risk of tiring late. |
| JOKER | (4) Auroralinna – C. Hiraldo | Lightly raced filly improving each start. Upset potential. |
Exacta: 3/7 BOX, 7/5 BOX, 5/4 BOX
Trifecta: 3/7/5 BOX, 4/7/5 BOX
RACE 3 – ALLOWANCE – $88,000 – 7 Furlongs (Dirt) – 12:40 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) Ican – F. Prat | Big late kick, perfect for setup with multiple need-the-lead types here. |
| PLACE | (4) Pass the Hat – S. Civaci | Tactical runner who keeps grinding; always in the frame. |
| SHOW | (5) Buttah – K. Carmouche | Sharp early pace, could take them a long way. |
| JOKER | (6) My Mitole – R. Santana Jr. | Wild card with improving figures. |
Exacta: 2/4 BOX, 4/5 BOX, 5/6 BOX
Trifecta: 2/4/5 BOX, 6/4/5 BOX
RACE 7 – STAKES – $350,000 – 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) – 2:39 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) Fionn – F. Prat | Powerful closer with the best finishing kick in the field. Loves distance. |
| PLACE | (1) Scythian – S. Civaci | Going gate-to-wire is the blueprint. Lone speed threat. |
| SHOW | (2) Hereforagoodtime – J. Velazquez | Stalker getting perfect trip behind pace. |
| JOKER | (3) National Archive – M. Franco | Late closer who could light up the board if pace melts. |
Exacta: 4/1 BOX, 1/2 BOX, 2/3 BOX
Trifecta: 4/1/2 BOX, 3/1/2 BOX
RACE 9 – STAKES – $150,000 – 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) – 3:39 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) Ohana Honor – F. Prat | Class edge and closing kick built for finishing stretch drive. |
| PLACE | (6) Signator – J. Hernandez | Versatile and improving. Stalking style fits perfect. |
| SHOW | (3) Trikari – J. Velazquez | Consistent speed figure runner always around the money. |
| JOKER | (8) Naptown – M. Franco | If the pace blows up, he is the live bomb. |
Exacta: 4/6 BOX, 6/3 BOX, 3/8 BOX
Trifecta: 4/6/3 BOX, 8/6/3 BOX
Best Bet of the Day
Race 7 – (4) Fionn
Deep closer in a race projected with hot early fractions. Ideal setup.
Value Play
Race 1 – (4) Catholic Vice at 10-1
Perfect setup to clunk up into the exacta or trifecta.
Final Note
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