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Today’s Aqueduct card features a strong mix of maidens, allowances, and two competitive turf stakes. Several races project honest to fast early pace setups, which sets up beautifully for late-running closers and tactical stalkers. Identifying race shape is half the battle, and today’s ticket leans into that advantage.
RACE 1 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $43,000 – 1 Mile Dirt – 12:10 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (1) Momentum Files – K. Carmouche (32%) | Expected lone early speed. If he clears uncontested, he wires this group. |
| PLACE | (4) Quiet Moon – S. Civaci (28%) | Stalker who sits right behind Momentum Files and gets first run. |
| SHOW | (3) Dr. Insel – M. Franco (28%) | Strong late kick, will rally if pace gets hot. |
| JOKER | (5) Party With Smarty – J. Rodriguez | Has closing ability and could blow up the trifecta board at 10-1. |
Exacta: 1/4 BOX, 4/3 BOX, 3/5 BOX
Trifecta: 1/4/3 BOX, 5/4/3 BOX
RACE 2 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $38,000 – 1 Mile Dirt – 12:40 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (8) Good Cop – K. Carmouche | Tactical stalker with speed figures better than this field. |
| PLACE | (6) Metatron – R. Santana Jr. | Stretching out should help; grinding style fits well. |
| SHOW | (3) Solo Jim – J. Velazquez | Front-running threat who must be caught late. |
| JOKER | (1) Smallchangegeep – D. Davis | Sneaky rail-runner who could trip his way into money. |
Exacta: 8/6 BOX, 6/3 BOX, 3/1 BOX
Trifecta: 8/6/3 BOX, 1/6/3 BOX
RACE 3 – STAKES – $175,000 – 1 Mile Turf – 1:10 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (1) Paradise City – M. Franco | Big turn of foot, best late closer in a paceless race. |
| PLACE | (6) Peak Hype – R. Santana Jr. | Consistent stalker always in striking range. |
| SHOW | (2) It Ain’t Two – J. Velazquez | Improving and well spotted for a top 3 finish. |
| JOKER | (5) Fast Market – D. Davis | Early burner who could steal it if he gets loose. |
Exacta: 1/6 BOX, 6/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX
Trifecta: 1/6/2 BOX, 5/6/2 BOX
RACE 4 – ALLOWANCE OC – $90,000 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf – 1:40 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (4) Starship Titan – K. Carmouche | Stalker who draws perfect mid-pack trip. |
| PLACE | (7) Spirit Prince – M. Franco | Late closer who will be flying late. |
| SHOW | (5) Exact Estimate – R. Santana Jr. | Versatile and consistent, fits well. |
| JOKER | (8) V Cruizer – J. Velazquez | Turf specialist with upset potential. |
Exacta: 4/7 BOX, 7/5 BOX, 5/8 BOX
Trifecta: 4/7/5 BOX, 8/7/5 BOX
RACE 7 – STAKES – $150,000 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf – 3:09 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (7) Oversubscribed – M. Franco | Best closer in the field, pace scenario sets up perfectly. |
| PLACE | (2) Nice as Pie – R. Santana Jr. | Stalker with strong finishing fractions. |
| SHOW | (5) Spinning Colors – J. Velazquez | Honest runner who always gives effort. |
| JOKER | (4) Malleymoo – D. Davis | Pace meltdown specialist with big trifecta value. |
Exacta: 7/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX, 5/4 BOX
Trifecta: 7/2/5 BOX, 4/2/5 BOX
RACE 9 – ALLOWANCE OC – $88,000 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf – 4:09 PM
| PICK | HORSE & JOCKEY | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| WIN | (11) Racing Colors – T. Simpson (61%) | Deep closer with a monster stretch kick; pace meltdown play at 30-1. |
| PLACE | (8) Bobby Jean – K. Carmouche | Strong tactical speed to sit a perfect stalking trip. |
| SHOW | (12) Curlin’s Girl – S. Civaci | Late-runner who fits well with today’s pace shape. |
| JOKER | (10) Miss Beethoven – M. Franco | Can sneak into tri at a price. |
Exacta: 11/8 BOX, 8/12 BOX, 12/10 BOX
Trifecta: 11/8/12 BOX, 10/8/12 BOX
BEST BET OF THE DAY
Race 7 – (7) Oversubscribed
Perfect pace setup and class edge.
LONGSHOT VALUE PLAY
Race 9 – (11) Racing Colors at 30-1
Closer in a race loaded with early speed. Right trip can shock the pool.
CLOSING NOTE
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