This article highlights the most powerful historical NBA trends (those winning 80% or more) for today’s games, based on Ron’s 80% Club data.
We break down the strongest straight-up (SU), Against The Spread (ATS), and Over/Under (O/U) leans for a quick read.
Game 1: Washington Wizards @ Philadelphia 76ers
(76ers are -12.5 favorites)
👑 76ers SU & ATS Trends
The 76ers are historically dominant in this spot:
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85.7% SU Win: When PHILADELPHIA plays as a Home Favorite against WASHINGTON. (30-5-0 SU Record)
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80.0% SU Win: When PHILADELPHIA plays as a Home Team in the Month of December. (12-3-0 SU Record)
✅ Strong Lean: PHILADELPHIA (76ers) SU
Game 2: Portland Trail Blazers @ Toronto Raptors
(Raptors are -5.5 favorites)
🦖 Raptors SU Trend
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83.3% SU Win: When TORONTO plays as a Home Favorite on a Tuesday, coming off back-to-back games scoring 120 points or less. (20-4-0 SU Record)
✅ Strong Lean: TORONTO (Raptors) SU
Game 3: Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs
(Spurs are -4.5 favorites)
🐴 Spurs SU & Under Trends
San Antonio has an overwhelming historical edge, especially on Tuesdays after a loss:
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83.3% SU Win: Spurs as a Home Favorite on a Tuesday after a loss to a Western Northwest opponent. (10-2-0 SU Record)
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81.8% SU Win: Spurs as a Home Favorite (-3.5 to -6.0) after a non-division game where they scored 115 or less points. (18-4-0 SU Record)
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Note: This specific trend also favors the Under (7-15-0 O/U, or 68.2% Under rate).
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✅ Strong Lean: SAN ANTONIO (Spurs) SU
✅ Secondary Lean: UNDER
Game 4: Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
(Pelicans are +10 underdogs)
🐦 Pelicans ATS & Over Trends
This trend suggests the Pelicans cover the large spread and the game goes high:
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83.3% ATS Win: When NEW ORLEANS plays as a Home Underdog in the last two years and lost their previous game by 12 points or less. (10-2-1 ATS Record)
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84.6% Over Hit: The O/U record for this exact scenario is 11-2-0.
✅ Strong Lean: NEW ORLEANS (Pelicans) ATS
✅ Secondary Lean: OVER
Game 5: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Golden State Warriors
(Warriors are +12.5 underdogs)
💰 Warriors ATS & SU Trend
This is the day’s most reliable two-way trend:
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81.8% ATS & SU Win: When GOLDEN STATE plays as a Home Underdog in the last five years, coming off two “Under” results. (9-2-0 ATS & SU Record)
✅ Top Lean of the Day: GOLDEN STATE (Warriors) ATS & SU
📊 Summary of Top 80%+ Plays
| Game | Predicted Outcome | Reason (80%+ Trend) |
| Wizards @ 76ers | 76ers SU | H2H Success (85.7% SU) |
| Blazers @ Raptors | Raptors SU | Team System (83.3% SU) |
| Grizzlies @ Spurs | Spurs SU | Multiple Team Systems (80.8%-83.3% SU) |
| Timberwolves @ Pelicans | Pelicans ATS & OVER | Smart Stats (83.3% ATS, 84.6% Over) |
| Thunder @ Warriors | Warriors ATS & SU | Smart Stats (81.8% ATS & SU) |
