Raymond Report Forecast | Saturday, Dec 13, 2025 – 3:00 PM ET
Army +6.5 (+195) vs Navy -6.5 (-233) | Total: 38.5
There are rivalry games… and then there’s Army–Navy.
No transfers. No opt-outs. No TikTok playbooks. Just discipline, trench warfare, and 60 minutes of football that makes Vegas nervous every single year.
This is the 126th edition, and as always, the market is tight, emotional, and loaded with traps. Good news? That’s exactly where the Raymond Report shines.
📊 Market Snapshot (Raymond Report)
- Forecast: Navy 22.6 – Army 17.6
- Projected Total: 40.2 (slightly above market 38.5)
- Line: Navy -6.5
- C.O.W: Navy 66.3% | Army 43.8%
- C.O.C (Cover): Army 61% | Navy 48%
- C.O.G.O: 39% (leans UNDER)
Translation:
👉 Navy is more likely to win.
👉 Army is more likely to cover.
👉 The total? Classic Army–Navy grind.
⚔️ Army Black Knights Breakdown
- Season: 6–5 SU | 5–6 ATS | 4–7 O/U
- Away ATS: 4–2
- Last 7 Games: 5–2 SU
- ATS vs Navy (since ’96): 11–10
- Chance of Cover: 61% (edge)
Army is doing what Army always does—shortening games, bleeding clock, and turning every drive into a 12-play thesis on discipline. They’ve covered 7 of the last 10 in this rivalry as a road team, and their L.O.A (Law of Average) flag is flashing YES here.
Underdogs + service academies + low total = sportsbook heartburn.
⚓ Navy Midshipmen Breakdown
- Season: 9–2 SU | 4–7 ATS | 8–3 O/U
- Home SU: 6–0
- Last 10 Games: 8–2 SU
- ATS as Home Favorite: shaky
- Chance of Cover: 48%
Navy deserves respect—they’re the better team on paper and more explosive offensively. But here’s the catch:
📉 They win games… they don’t always cover them.
As a home favorite, Navy has historically been more about salutes than spreads. Asking them to separate by a touchdown in this rivalry is like asking a drill sergeant for a hug.
🔢 Total (38.5) — The Real Battle
Let’s keep this simple:
- Army last 10 vs Navy O/U: 1–9 UNDER
- Situational totals scream UNDER
- December + Saturday + rivalry = clock abuse
- Both teams rank low in C.O.G.O (39%)
This total is low for a reason—and still might not be low enough.
⭐ Raymond Report Value Plays
Primary Value:
⭐ Army +6.5 (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
The math, history, and market psychology all align. Ugly wins and “respectable losses” are Army’s specialty.
Secondary Lean:
⭐ UNDER 38.5 (⭐️⭐️⭐️)
If this game hits 40+, someone broke tradition.
Moneyline Sprinkle (Small):
Army +195 — Only for investors who like chaos with discipline.
🧠 Final Betting Take
Army–Navy is not about who’s better.
It’s about who makes fewer mistakes, who controls tempo, and who forces Vegas to sweat late.
The Raymond Report says:
- Navy wins
- Army covers
- The clock wins MVP
If you’re betting this game emotionally, good luck.
If you’re betting it professionally, this is a classic Army + points spot.
And if you want these edges before the market tightens?
You already know where to go.
👉 ATSStats.com — where numbers outrank narratives.
