⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
San Francisco 49ers ($S.F.) — Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: BULLISH (22 Days)
🏈 Team Overview
Record: 10–4–0
O/U Record: 7–5–2
Current Streak: 4 ATS Wins
Last 7 Games: 5–2
DMVI: −4.86
Confidence Index: 100%
Market Sentiment: BULLISH (22 Days)
Current Game: at Indianapolis Colts (−6 / 46)
Next Game: vs Chicago
San Francisco is operating at peak efficiency. This is a fully priced A-grade asset in a sustained bullish cycle, driven by dominant two-way play and relentless consistency against the number. The market isn’t speculating here — it’s confirming.
Translation: $S.F. is commanding respect, not chasing it.
📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)
DMVI: −4.86
A modestly negative DMVI indicates controlled appreciation:
- The market has adjusted without overheating
- Numbers remain efficient, not bloated
- San Francisco still clears spreads through execution
This is healthy pricing in a mature uptrend.
Confidence Index: 100%
Maximum confidence reflects:
- Elite defensive suppression
- Reliable scoring in favored roles
- Strong close-out ability late in games
This is institutional trust, not public hype.
🔍 PVI–SOS System Read
A-Type Road Team vs B-Type Team (Off SU Win)
San Francisco sample (Last 10):
- SU: 0–0
- ATS: 0–0
- O/U: 0–0
League-wide A-Type results (Current Season):
- SU: 7–5
- ATS: 8–4
- O/U: 4–7
System Read:
This profile favors road A-types against the number, while totals lean Under. San Francisco fits the structural side edge cleanly.
👉 ATS STATS view: System-aligned for the side; totals require discipline.
🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)
| Role | Record | PF | PA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Favorite | 2–0 | 28.5 | 16.5 | Dominant |
| Home Underdog | 2–2 | 20.8 | 23.3 | Neutral |
| Road Favorite | 6–1 | 27.0 | 20.1 | Elite |
| Road Underdog | 0–1 | 15.0 | 26.0 | Avoid |
Key Takeaway:
San Francisco is elite as a road favorite — efficient scoring, disciplined defense, and minimal variance.
🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown
| Span | PF | PA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 27.7 | 13.7 | Locked in |
| Last 5 | 30.0 | 21.0 | Strong |
| Last 7 | 28.4 | 22.1 | Reliable |
| Last 10 | 26.4 | 21.8 | Consistent |
| Last 15 | 24.6 | 20.9 | Sustainable |
This is controlled dominance. Defense anchors the floor; offense raises the ceiling.
🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)
Professionals are tracking:
- 9–1 SU as 3.5–6.5 road favorites before a conference game
- 13–2–1 ATS as −3.5 to −6.5 favorites with 7 days rest allowing ≤24 last game
- 10–3 SU as favorites after winning by 13+
- 20–9 SU league-wide in December for −3.5 to −6.5 favorites vs non-division opponents
- 16–1 SU historically as 3.5–6.5 away favorites after a non-conference game (since 1996)
These trends reinforce win probability and ATS reliability.
⭐ Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (High-Confidence Favorite)
Best Uses:
- Road favorites in the −3.5 to −6.5 range
- ATS plays with rest advantage
- Unders when protecting a lead profile
Avoid:
- Overexposure at inflated late-week prices
- Totals without pace confirmation
📝 Final Report Card + Verdict
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | A | Elite |
| Cycle Strength | A | Sustained |
| DMVI | A- | Efficient pricing |
| Situational Edge | A | Road favorite |
| PVI–SOS | A- | System aligned |
| Betting Value | A- | Discipline required |
⭐ Final Verdict: BUY / HOLD
San Francisco remains a blue-chip contender with repeatable edges.
You don’t guess with the 49ers — you align with them.
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