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ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The Phoenix SUNS – 12/26/25

Phoenix Suns Grading

ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Phoenix Suns ($PHX)Market Grade: B | Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (8 Days)


🏀 Team Overview

Record: 16–13
O/U Record: 14–14–1
Current Streak: 2 Overs
Last 7 Games: 3–4
DMVI: −2.5
Confidence Index: 42%
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (8 Days)

Current Game: @ New Orleans Pelicans (−5 / 240)
Next Game: at New Orleans

Phoenix remains a mid-cycle B-type asset — capable of strong bursts, but lacking sustained momentum. The market is no longer fading them aggressively, yet it’s not rewarding them either. This is a classic range-bound team living between buy and sell.

Translation: $PHX is tradable — not investable.


📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)

DMVI: −2.5
This near-flat DMVI suggests:

  • Minor market deflation, not a selloff

  • Oddsmakers holding steady expectations

  • No urgency from sharp or public money

Phoenix is priced accurately — which is usually bad news for bettors hunting edges.

Confidence Index: 42%
Low-to-moderate confidence reflects:

  • Inconsistent defensive effort

  • Poor recent ATS rhythm

  • Heavy reliance on game script (pace + shooting)

This is not a conviction profile.


🔍 PVI–SOS System Read

B-Type Road Team vs C-Type Opponent (Off SU Win)

Phoenix-specific sample:

  • SU: 0–0

  • ATS: 0–0

  • O/U: 0–0

League-wide (Current Season):

  • SU: 12–9

  • ATS: 12–9

  • O/U: 10–10

System Read:
This is a neutral-to-slightly-positive structure, offering opportunity only if pricing misaligns. No automatic edge.

👉 ATS STATS view: Situational playable, not a system lock.


🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)

Role Record PF PA Read
Home Favorite N/A No sample
Home Underdog 10–5 116.4 109.8 Competitive
Road Favorite 6–8 113.2 118.2 Weak
Road Underdog N/A No sample

Key Takeaway:
Phoenix struggles defensively on the road when favored. This is where market expectations exceed execution.


🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown

Span PF PA Read
Last 3 115.7 108.3 Short pop
Last 5 110.0 115.8 Slipping
Last 7 108.0 114.4 Negative
Last 10 111.2 116.2 Declining
Last 15 111.2 113.4 Soft

Offense flashes — defense leaks. That combo keeps Phoenix stuck in neutral.


🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)

Professionals are monitoring:

  • 14–3 SU as 3.5–6 road favorites vs conference opponents (last 4 years)

  • 9–3 SU as road favorites after division games vs West opponents

  • 8–2 SU as road favorites after 24+ point wins

  • Over 11–1 when playing at New Orleans (last 5 years)

These trends lean situational Over, not side dominance.


⭐ Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: ⭐⭐½☆☆ (Situational Only)

Best Uses:

  • Totals when pace aligns

  • Short road favorite spots vs weak defenses

  • Over plays tied to opponent profile

Avoid:

  • Blind ATS trust

  • Road favorite spots vs disciplined teams

  • Long holding periods


📝 Final Report Card + Verdict

Category Grade Notes
Market Grade B Accurate pricing
Cycle Strength C+ Flat
DMVI B Neutral
Situational Edge B- Matchup driven
PVI–SOS B League-average
Betting Value C+ Timing sensitive

Final Verdict: HOLD / TRADE

Phoenix is not broken — but it’s not building value either.
They reward timing and context, not loyalty.

That’s why serious players don’t bet teams —
they trade them.

ATSStats.com
Where bettors become investors.

author avatar
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.