MARKET VALUE INDEX (MVI) REPORT
Sunday Games + Monday Night Football
Framework: ATS STATS | Raymond REPORT Card
Objective: Read the market, not the scoreboard
By Week 17, the betting market isn’t reacting to football anymore — it’s reacting to narratives, desperation, and playoff math. That’s where MVI does its best work.
🔥 STRONG MARKET OPINIONS (NOT PICKS)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts
- JAX: A-Grade | BULLISH (28)
- IND: B-Grade | BEARISH (21)
Jacksonville is one of the cleanest A-type profiles on the board. Strong COW%, reliable vs weaker competition, and still undervalued relative to public perception.
Indianapolis is the opposite: 9–1 vs C teams, but completely unreliable against real competition (0–9 vs A). This is a classic inflated underdog résumé.
Market Truth: This line is about Jacksonville’s consistency — not Indianapolis’ upside.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets
- NE: A-Grade | NEUTRAL (14)
- NYJ: C-Grade | BEARISH (7)
This is a spread optics game. New England checks every efficiency box, but the market has already priced in the mismatch.
Jets remain one of the worst vs-A profiles in football (0–9).
Market Truth: Blowout risk exists — but so does overconfidence.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns
- PIT: A-Grade | BULLISH (7)
- CLE: C-Grade | BEARISH (14)
Pittsburgh isn’t explosive — they’re predictable, and that’s gold in December.
Cleveland? One of the weakest structural profiles on the slate (1–9 vs B teams, 1–8 vs A).
Market Truth: This is discipline vs dysfunction.
Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers
- SEA: A-Grade | BULLISH (21)
- CAR: B-Grade | NEUTRAL (63)
Seattle is quietly one of the best Week-17 market teams:
- 10–0 vs C teams
- 7–2 vs B teams
Carolina’s numbers look better than their game film, and the market is starting to over-credit them.
Market Truth: Seattle’s edge is consistency, not hype.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins
- TB: C-Grade | BEARISH (7)
- MIA: C-Grade | NEUTRAL (13)
This is a brand-name trap. Tampa’s BEARISH tag reflects volatility, not talent. Miami continues to struggle against structured defenses.
Market Truth: This game screams variance — not confidence.
New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans
- NO: C-Grade | BULLISH (7)
- TEN: C-Grade | NEUTRAL (21)
New Orleans is quietly improving in situational spots. Tennessee is 0–10 vs A teams and still priced like a threat.
Market Truth: One team is stabilizing, the other is drifting.
New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders
- NYG: C-Grade | BEARISH (56)
- LV: C-Grade | BEARISH (52)
This is a dead-zone game. Both teams rank near the bottom in market confidence, execution, and opponent resistance.
Market Truth: If you must bet this, you’re not betting — you’re guessing.
🧠 ELITE MATCHUPS (A vs A)
Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills
Two legitimate A-grade teams.
Buffalo carries a BULLISH (14) tag, Philly remains structurally sound.
Market Truth: This is pricing efficiency at work — not value hunting.
Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco’s BULLISH (28) rating reflects market trust.
Chicago’s growth is real — but still situational.
Market Truth: Respect both teams, but understand who sets the market tone.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons
- LAR: A-Grade | NEUTRAL (28)
- ATL: C-Grade | NEUTRAL (35)
The Rams are reliable but fully priced. Atlanta remains one of the most misleading C-grade teams — competitive but inefficient.
Market Truth: This line exists because bettors trust the Rams, not because Atlanta earned respect.
🏁 FINAL WEEK 17 MARKET TAKE
- A-Grade teams are still outperforming
- C-Grade teams are leaking value
- Totals are inflated
- Brand names are overpriced
- Discipline beats desperation
No picks needed.
The Raymond REPORT Card already told the story.
📊 Full MVI breakdowns, daily NFL market reports, and investor-level tools are live at ATSStats.com — where we don’t chase wins, we manage risk.
Week 17 isn’t about being right.
It’s about not being fooled.
