⭐ ATS STATS — Team Grading Report
Vancouver Canucks ($VAN) — Market Grade: C | Market Sentiment: BEARISH (10 Days)
🏒 Team Overview
This is what a full market breakdown looks like when confidence collapses and results confirm it.
Vancouver is no longer in a slump — they are in a structural downturn. A seven-game winless stretch, zero momentum, and one of the lowest confidence readings in the league places the Canucks firmly in C-grade territory, where volatility replaces reliability.
Record: 16–29–0
O/U Record: 25–19–1
Current Streak: 6 SU Losses
Last 7 Games: 0–7
Current Game: @ Ottawa Senators (+200 / 6)
Next Game: at Columbus
Translation: this is not a “buy the dip” team — this is a capital preservation environment.
📉 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)
DMVI: +138.71
A DMVI this high is not bullish — it’s a distress signal.
- Market is aggressively pricing risk
- Oddsmakers are forcing premium just to hold Vancouver positions
- This reflects defensive breakdowns and poor puck control cycles
Confidence Index: 14%
That’s not just low — that’s near market abandonment.
Confidence is collapsing due to:
- Goal prevention failure
- Poor first-period starts
- No late-game stabilization
This is a team bettors are fading, not following.
🔍 PVI–SOS System Read
C-Type Road Team vs C-Type Team (Off SU Loss)
Vancouver-specific:
- SU: 0–0
- ATS: 0–0
- O/U: 0–0
League-wide (Current Season):
- SU: 37–40
- ATS: 42–35
- O/U: 38–36
System Read:
These matchups are coin-flip environments, but Vancouver brings negative execution bias into neutral systems — meaning system balance doesn’t help poor teams play better.
👉 ATS STATS view: The edge does not lie on Vancouver’s side of the number.
🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)
| Role | Record | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Favorite | 2–5 | 3.00 | 4.14 | Weak |
| Home Underdog | 2–10 | 2.33 | 3.75 | Poor |
| Road Favorite | 2–3 | 2.00 | 2.80 | Limited |
| Road Underdog | 10–11 | 3.10 | 3.62 | Chaotic |
Key Takeaway:
Vancouver lacks a reliable identity in any market role. Road underdog success exists historically, but current form has overridden long-term trends.
🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown
| Span | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 1.33 | 5.33 | Breakdown |
| Last 5 | 1.80 | 4.80 | Non-competitive |
| Last 7 | 2.14 | 4.86 | Severe |
| Last 10 | 2.30 | 4.70 | Unsustainable |
| Last 15 | 2.60 | 3.73 | Below league |
This is not variance — this is defensive erosion.
🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)
Despite the collapse, pros are watching totals, not sides:
- 14–4 Over as January road underdogs (last 2 years)
- 12–3 Over on extended road trips after Eastern opponents
- 15–6–1 ATS historically as road underdogs in losing streaks
- 19–10 Over league-wide in similar Tuesday road fatigue spots
👉 Translation: Overs remain the only viable angle, and even those require discipline.
⭐ Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ⭐⭐☆☆☆ (High Risk / Low Trust)
Best Uses:
- Selective Overs in road fatigue spots
- Live betting fades after early Vancouver goals
- Situational ATS fades vs structured opponents
Avoid:
- Blind backing as underdogs
- Parlays involving Vancouver sides
- Assuming regression without proof
📝 Final Report Card + Verdict
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | C | Unstable |
| Cycle Strength | D+ | Negative |
| DMVI | D | Distress |
| Situational Edge | C- | Inconsistent |
| PVI–SOS | C | Neutral |
| Betting Value | D+ | Risk-heavy |
⭐ Final Verdict: SELL / FADE
Vancouver isn’t being unlucky — they’re being exposed.
Until structure returns, the smartest play is restraint.
This is not a team to invest in — it’s a team to manage around.
