⭐ ATS STATS — Team Grading Report
Montreal Canadiens ($MTL) — Market Grade: B | Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (2 Days)
🏒 Team Overview
Record: 26–21–0
O/U Record: 27–19–1
Current Streak: 1 SU Loss
Last 7 Games: 4–3
DMVI: -130.5
Confidence Index: 57%
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (2 Days)
Current Game: vs Buffalo Sabres (-111 / 7)
Next Game: at Ottawa
Montreal continues to profile as a B-grade volatility team — competitive, capable, but rarely priced cleanly. The market respects the Canadiens’ effort level but remains cautious due to defensive swings and inconsistent home results.
Translation: priced cautiously, traded opportunistically.
📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)
DMVI: -130.5
This is a negative market displacement, not a collapse:
- Market shading Montreal downward after defensive lapses
- Pricing reflects uncertainty, not deterioration
- Value exists when Montreal leaves home
Confidence Index: 57%
Confidence remains intact due to:
- Strong road ATS history
- Reliable scoring depth
- Ability to rebound quickly after losses
This is functional trust, not conviction.
🔍 PVI–SOS System Read
Montreal-specific sample:
- SU: 0–0
- ATS: 0–0
- O/U: 0–0
League-wide (Current Season):
- SU: 14–11
- ATS: 17–8
- O/U: 11–14
System Read:
Balanced environment with a slight ATS edge to road teams. Totals trend modestly Under, but situational filters matter more than raw system bias.
👉 ATS STATS view: Execution-driven spot, not system-driven.
🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)
| Role | Record | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Favorite | 8–9 | 3.12 | 3.53 | Unstable |
| Home Underdog | 5–2 | 3.71 | 2.86 | Reliable |
| Road Favorite | 4–1 | 2.60 | 2.20 | Efficient |
| Road Underdog | 9–9 | 3.72 | 3.50 | Competitive |
Key Takeaway:
Montreal is far more reliable away from home, especially when priced as an underdog or short favorite.
🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown
| Span | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 2.67 | 3.33 | Slippage |
| Last 5 | 3.60 | 2.60 | Bounce-back |
| Last 7 | 3.14 | 2.57 | Controlled |
| Last 10 | 3.60 | 3.00 | Stable |
| Last 15 | 3.60 | 2.73 | Sustainable |
This is middle-tier playoff hockey — controlled scoring, limited blowouts, and steady pace.
🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)
Professionals are tracking:
- 21–10 ATS as a January road team
- 21–6 ATS as a road team with total 6.5 after allowing 3+ GA
- 9–1 ATS as an underdog after a one-goal loss
- 40–20 ATS league-wide in comparable January road spots
- 13–2 ATS this season as an away team with total set at 6.5
Trend bias strongly favors road ATS value, with totals leaning situational rather than automatic.
⭐ Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (Situational B-Type)
Best Uses:
- Road underdog or short favorite spots
- ATS plays after SU losses
- Totals at 6.5 with defensive regression angles
Avoid:
- Blind home favorite spots
- Chasing Overs after defensive breakdowns
- Emotional rivalry pricing without rest edge
📝 Final Report Card + Verdict
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | B | Competitive |
| Cycle Strength | B | Stable |
| DMVI | C+ | Discounted |
| Situational Edge | B+ | Road-driven |
| PVI–SOS | B | Balanced |
| Betting Value | B+ | Opportunistic |
⭐ Final Verdict: HOLD / SELECTIVE BUY
Montreal isn’t broken — it’s mispriced in the right spots.
This is a team that quietly cashes tickets when conditions align.
And that’s exactly the kind of stock we like tracking at ATSStats.com —
less hype, more edge.
