Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game #5 Betting Preview (10/09/2020)

NBA

Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game #5 Betting Preview (10/09/2020)

Ron Raymond Oct 9, 2020 0

NBA Finals Lakers Heat Basketball | Sports Betting Stats

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his NBA Finals Game #5 preview and prediction on tonight’s game between the Miami Heat and the Los Angeles Lakers for Friday, October 9th, 2020. Bookmaker Sportsbook has the Lakers as a -7.0 neutral court favorite with the total listed at 216.5. Bet tonight’s basketball game at Bookmaker here.

LEAGUE:-RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NBA)

Miami Heat (216.5) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (7) Preview (10/09/2020)

Miami Heat +7 ( +260 ) Vs. Los Angeles Lakers (Total:216.5)

Los Angeles Lakers -7 ( -323 ) Vs. Miami Heat (Total:216.5)

Miami Heat O/U :216.5	Vs. Date: 2020-10-09 Time: 21:00:00 Generated from 19 Previous Games	Los Angeles Lakers SIDE :7
102.28	Forecast (O/U 213.59 )	111.31
5-5	L10(SU)	8-2
7-3-0	L10(ATS)	4-5-1
6-4-0	L10(O/U)	5-5-0
29.17%	C.O.W	80%
22%	C.O.C	74%
58%	C.O.G.O	58%
-3.01	MSV	-6.02
() BEARISH	PVI	() BEARISH
0-0	SU	0-0
0-0-0	ATS	0-0-0
0-0-0	O/U	0-0-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game #5 Betting Preview (10/09/2020)

Miami Heat

Los Angeles Lakers

Line : 7

Line : -7

MoneyLine : +260

MoneyLine : -323

O/U : 216.5

Season Record :

SU: 57-35

ATS: 51-39-2

O/U: 52-39-1

SU: 67-23

ATS: 46-41-3

O/U: 42-48-0

Home Record :

SU: 35-10

ATS: 29-15-1

O/U: 28-17-0

SU: 34-12

ATS: 24-21-1

O/U: 20-26-0

Away Record :

SU: 22-25

ATS: 22-24-1

O/U: 24-22-1

SU: 33-11

ATS: 22-20-2

O/U: 22-22-0

Last game: Lost 102 – 96 vs Los Angeles Lakers

Last game: Won 102 – 96 vs Miami Heat

SU: 12-12

ATS: 13-9-2

O/U: 12-10-2

SU: 8-4

ATS: 6-6-0

O/U: 4-7-1

Current game: vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Current game: vs. Miami Heat

SU: 9-16

ATS: 11-14-0

O/U: 9-16-0

SU: 16-9

ATS: 14-11-0

O/U: 9-16-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 2 (+6.5/+9.0 RD)

Days Rest : 2 (-6.5/-9.0 HF)

(L) SU: (6-16-0 )

ATS: (9-13-0 )

O/U: (12-10-0)

(L) SU: ( 13-6-0)

ATS: (11-8-0)

O/U: (10-9-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

(T) SU: (1-0)

ATS: (1-0-0)

O/U: (0-1-0)

Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 3 ATS Win – 2 Under

Streaks : 1 SU Win – 3 ATS Lost – 2 Under

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 59.19%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 28 Win -3 Lost (PF)116.19 – (PA)106.35

Home Favorite: 34 Win -12 Lost (PF)113.91 – (PA)106.22

Home Underdog: 7 Win -7 Lost (PF)112.29 – (PA)108.5

Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 12 Win -10 Lost (PF)109.91 – (PA)107.64

Road Favorite: 26 Win -9 Lost (PF)112.46 – (PA)108.74

Road Underdog: 10 Win -15 Lost (PF)107.72 – (PA)113.36

Road Underdog: 7 Win -2 Lost (PF)114.78 – (PA)108

Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost (PF)108.33 – (PA)110

Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost (PF)110 – (PA)108.33

Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (PF)109.6 – (PA)111.8

Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost (PF)112.6 – (PA)106

Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost (PF)109.71 – (PA)112.71

Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost (PF)111.86 – (PA)107.43

Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost (PF)109.7 – (PA)112.1

Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost (PF)113.3 – (PA)106.5

Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost (PF)110.73 – (PA)110.07

Last 15 game: 12 Win 3 Lost (PF)113.33 – (PA)107.33

Situations (Miami Heat)

Situations (Los Angeles Lakers)

Coming off a vs. Pacific Opponent. (LAL)

Coming off a vs. Southeast Opponent. (MIA)

Coming off a home underdog lost

Coming off a road underdog win

Coming off a 1 game losing streak

Coming off a 1 game winning streak

Coming off 2 unders

Scored 100 or less points FOR in their last game

Scored 100 or more points FOR in their last game

Allowed 100 or more points AGAINST in their last game

Allowed 100 or less points AGAINST in their last game

Coming off 2 game home stand

Coming off 2 game road stand

Coming off 3 ATS win

Coming off 3 ATS lost

After 2 days off

Trends

Query

ATS

O/U

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When LA LAKERS team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Southeast opponent – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite	9-6-0	13-2	5-10-0
When LA LAKERS team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite	14-3-0	16-1	6-11-0
When LA LAKERS team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is between 215 to 220 – Allowed 100 or less points AGAINST in their last game	13-6-0	18-1	6-12-1
When LA LAKERS team Played as Home team as a Favorite – with 2 days off – After a non conference game – Allowed 100 or less points AGAINST in their last game	12-8-0	16-4	15-5-0
When LA LAKERS team played as a -6.5 to -9.0 Home Favorite – After a non division game – Coming off 2 game road stand	10-11-1	20-2	8-13-1
When LA LAKERS team Played as Home team as a Favorite – playing on Friday – Coming off vs Eastern conference opponent – Coming off a 1 game win	6-5-0	10-1	3-6-2
When ANY NBA Team played as a -6.5 to -9.0 Home Favorite – playing on Friday – with 2 day off – Scored 100 or more points FOR in their last game – Coming off a Road win	10-8-1	16-3	12-7-0
When ANY NBA Team played as a -6.5 to -9.0 Home Favorite – Last 3 years – Coming off a 2 game road stand – Coming off a Road win – Coming off a 4-7 point win	8-8-0	15-1	9-7-0
When ANY NBA Team played as a -6.5 to -9.0 Home Favorite – playing on Friday – Last 5 years – Coming off a Road win – Coming off a 1 game win	8-10-1	17-2	11-8-0

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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