Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Iron Bowl Prediction (11/28/2020)

CFB

Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Iron Bowl Prediction (11/28/2020)

Ron Raymond Nov 27, 2020 0

Alabama Auburn Football | Sports Betting Stats

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his free Raymond Report preview and prediction on Saturday’s “Iron Bowl” College Football game between the Auburn Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide for Saturday, November 28th, 2020.

RAYMOND REPORT LITE (Iron Bowl)

Auburn Tigers (62.5) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (24) Preview (11/28/2020)

Auburn Tigers +24 ( +876 ) Vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (Total:62.5)

Alabama Crimson Tide -24 ( -166 ) Vs. Auburn Tigers (Total:62.5)

Auburn Tigers O/U :62.5	Vs. Date: 2020-11-28 Time: 16:30:00 Generated from 54 Previous Games	Alabama Crimson Tide SIDE :24
13.9	Forecast (O/U 46.78 )	32.88
4-1	L5(SU)	5-0
3-2-0	L5(ATS)	4-1-0
2-3-0	L5(O/U)	3-2-0
25%	C.O.W	82.76%
21%	C.O.C	14%
67%	C.O.G.O	67%
-4.84	MSV	-29.09
(A) BULLISH	PVI	(A) BULLISH
0-1	SU	2-0
0-1-0	ATS	2-0-1
0-1-0	O/U	2-0-1

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Iron Bowl Prediction (11/28/2020)

Auburn Tigers

Alabama Crimson Tide

Line : 24

Line : -24

Money Line : +876

Money Line : -166

O/U : 62.5

Season Record :

SU: 5-2

ATS: 4-3-0

O/U: 2-5-0

SU: 7-0

ATS: 5-2-0

O/U: 5-2-0

Home Record :

SU: 4-0

ATS: 3-1-0

O/U: 1-3-0

SU: 4-0

ATS: 4-0-0

O/U: 3-1-0

Away Record :

SU: 1-2

ATS: 1-2-0

O/U: 1-2-0

SU: 3-0

ATS: 1-2-0

O/U: 2-1-0

Last game: Win 17 – 30 vs Tennessee Volunteers

Last game: 0 – 0 vs Jacksonville State

SU: 5-7

ATS: 4-8-0

O/U: 3-7-2

SU: 29-3

ATS: 21-11-1

O/U: 15-13-5

Current game: vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Current game: vs. Auburn Tigers

SU: 5-7

ATS: 5-7-0

O/U: 5-7-0

SU: 7-5

ATS: 6-6-0

O/U: 5-7-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 6 (RD)

Days Rest : 2 (HF)

(L) SU: (25-90-3 )

ATS: (54-58-6 )

O/U: (67-50-1)

(L) SU: ( 0-0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

(T) SU: (0-1)

ATS: (0-1-0)

O/U: (0-1-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

Streaks : 3 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 3 Under

Streaks : 7 SU Win – 4 ATS Win – 1 Over

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.45%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost (PF)29.67 – (PA)19.33

Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost (PF)49.25 – (PA)12.75

Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost (PF)48 – (PA)11

Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost (PF)28.5 – (PA)29

Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost (PF)49.67 – (PA)28

Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost (PF)6 – (PA)27

Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost (PF)37.67 – (PA)18.67

Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost (PF)50.67 – (PA)6.67

Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost (PF)33 – (PA)22.8

Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)51.2 – (PA)18.4

Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost (PF)28.57 – (PA)22

Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost (PF)49.43 – (PA)19.29

Last 10 game: 5 Win 2 Lost (PF)28.57 – (PA)22

Last 10 game: 7 Win 0 Lost (PF)49.43 – (PA)19.29

Last 15 game: 5 Win 2 Lost (PF)28.57 – (PA)22

Last 15 game: 7 Win 0 Lost (PF)49.43 – (PA)19.29

Situations (Auburn Tigers)

Situations (Alabama Crimson Tide)

Coming off a vs Southeastern opponent (Tennessee)

Coming off a vs Southeastern opponent (Jacksonville State)

Coming off a home fav win

Coming off 1 push

Coming off a 3 game winning streak

Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against

Coming off 3 unders

Coming off 3 game home stand

Trends

Query

ATS

O/U

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When Alabama team played as a Home team – Vs Division Opponent – Allowed between 0 to 10 points AGAINST in back to back games	5-7-1	11-2	5-7-0
When Alabama team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Allowed between 0 to 10 points AGAINST in back to back games	5-11-0	16-0	7-8-0
When Alabama team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Allowed between 0 to 10 points AGAINST in back to back games	14-15-0	29-0	17-11-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – During the month of November – Coming off a 0-3 point loss – Coming off a 1 game push	9-24-0	10-9	19-0-14
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – During the month of November – Playing on Saturday – During Week 12 to 16 – Scored 3 points or less AGAINST in their last game – Allowed between 0 to 10 points AGAINST in back to back games	12-9-0	20-0	13-5-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – During Week 12 to 16 – Playing on Saturday – Scored 0 – 3 POINTS FOR in their last game – Coming off a 1 game push – Coming off a 0-3 point loss	6-13-0	8-3	11-0-8
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – During the month of November – During Week 12 to 16 – Scored 3 points or less AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 1 game push	6-13-0	8-3	11-0-8

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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