Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators SEC Championship Prediction (12/19/2020)

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators SEC Championship Prediction (12/19/2020)

Ron Raymond Dec 18, 2020 0

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond of the Raymond Report has released his free Preview and Prediction on Saturday’s SEC Championship game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Florida Gators for Saturday, December 18th, 2020.

RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NCAAF)

Alabama Crimson Tide (17) vs. Florida Gators (74.5) Preview (12/19/2020)

Alabama Crimson Tide -17 ( -909 ) Vs. Florida Gators (Total:74.5)

Florida Gators +17 ( +575 ) Vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (Total:74.5)

Alabama Crimson Tide SIDE :17	Vs. Date: 2020-12-19 Time: 21:00:00 Generated from 19 Previous Games	Florida Gators O/U :74.5
41.11	Forecast (O/U 59.81 )	18.7
5-0	L5(SU)	4-1
5-0-0	L5(ATS)	2-3-0
2-3-0	L5(O/U)	2-3-0
88.46%	C.O.W	0%
10%	C.O.C	58%
53%	C.O.G.O	53%
-32.7	MSV	-14.9
(A) BULLISH	PVI	(A) NEUTRAL
0-0	SU	0-0
0-0-0	ATS	0-0-0
0-0-0	O/U	0-0-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators SEC Championship Prediction (12/19/2020)

Alabama Crimson Tide

Florida Gators

Line : -17

Line : 17

MoneyLine : -909

MoneyLine : +575

O/U : 74.5

Season Record :

SU: 10-0

ATS: 8-2-0

O/U: 6-4-0

SU: 8-2

ATS: 5-5-0

O/U: 6-4-0

Home Record :

SU: 5-0

ATS: 5-0-0

O/U: 3-2-0

SU: 4-1

ATS: 3-2-0

O/U: 3-2-0

Away Record :

SU: 5-0

ATS: 3-2-0

O/U: 3-2-0

SU: 4-1

ATS: 2-3-0

O/U: 3-2-0

Last game: Win 52 – 3 vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Last game: Lost 37 – 34 vs Louisiana State Tigers

SU: 14-3

ATS: 10-7-0

O/U: 9-7-1

SU: 32-4

ATS: 20-16-0

O/U: 16-12-8

Current game: vs. Florida Gators

Current game: vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

SU: 2-3

ATS: 3-2-0

O/U: 4-1-0

SU: 3-2

ATS: 2-3-0

O/U: 4-1-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 6 (RF)

Days Rest : 6 (HD)

(L) SU: (81-30-6 )

ATS: (61-49-7 )

O/U: (55-62-0)

(L) SU: ( 31-84-8)

ATS: (51-63-9)

O/U: (60-63-0)

(T) SU: (4-0)

ATS: (3-1-0)

O/U: (2-2-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

Streaks : 10 SU Win – 7 ATS Win – 1 Under

Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Over

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 33.33%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost (PF)47.8 – (PA)12.8

Home Favorite: 4 Win -1 Lost (PF)42 – (PA)24.6

Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost (PF)51.2 – (PA)20.8

Road Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost (PF)39.5 – (PA)28

Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost (PF)44 – (PA)28

Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost (PF)49.67 – (PA)11

Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost (PF)33 – (PA)22

Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)50.6 – (PA)7.2

Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost (PF)40 – (PA)23.6

Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost (PF)48.86 – (PA)11

Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost (PF)40.71 – (PA)23.29

Last 10 game: 10 Win 0 Lost (PF)49.5 – (PA)16.8

Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost (PF)41.2 – (PA)26.3

Last 15 game: 10 Win 0 Lost (PF)49.5 – (PA)16.8

Last 15 game: 8 Win 2 Lost (PF)41.2 – (PA)26.3

Situations (Alabama Crimson Tide)

Situations (Florida Gators)

Coming off a vs Southeastern opponent (Arkansas)

Coming off a vs Southeastern opponent (LSU)

Coming off a road favorite win

Coming off a home fav lost

Coming off a 10 game winning streak

Coming off 1 over

Coming off 1 under

Coming off a game scored 34 points or less

Coming off a game scored 40 points or more

Coming off a game scored 35 points or more against

Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against

Coming off 2 ATS lost

Trends

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When Alabama team played as Road team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – After a division game – vs. opponent with a 80% or more winning %	5-5-0	8-2	5-4-1
When Alabama team played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Scored 40 points or more FOR in their last game	17-12-0	25-4	14-14-1
When Alabama team played as a 10.0 or more Road Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Last 2 years – Coming off a Win over Southeastern win opponent	8-4-0	12-0	7-5-0
When Alabama team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Last 5 years – Coming off a 28-31 point win	6-5-0	11-0	8-3-0
When Alabama team played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Last 5 years – Scored 40 points or more FOR in their last game	10-6-0	15-1	8-8-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – With 6 days off – Last 3 years – Playing on Saturday – Coming off 1 under – Scored 3 points or less AGAINST in their last game	10-11-0	21-0	9-12-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Road team – During Week 12 to 16 – With 6 days off – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Scored more than 50 points in back to back games	7-9-0	13-3	6-9-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a 10.0 or more Road Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Last 5 years – Coming off 1 under – Allowed 0 – 3 AGAINST in their last game	6-6-0	11-1	5-7-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Road team as a Favorite – With 6 days off – Last 3 years – Allowed 0 – 3 AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 5 game winning streak	3-7-0	8-2	3-7-0

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When Florida team played as a Home team – With 6 day off – Playing on Saturday – Coming off 1 over	13-17-0	25-5	13-17-0

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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