Cleveland Browns (56.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9.5) Preview (01/17/2021)

Professional Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his free NFL Preview and Prediction on Sunday’s NFL Playoff game between the Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs for Sunday, January 17th, 2021 at Arrowhead Stadium.

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LEAGUE:-RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NFL)

Cleveland Browns (56.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9.5) Preview (01/17/2021)

Cleveland Browns +9.5 ( +330 ) Vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Total:56.5)

Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 ( -417 ) Vs. Cleveland Browns (Total:56.5)

Cleveland Browns O/U :56.5	Vs. Date: 2021-01-17 Time: 15:05:00 Generated from 3 Previous Games	Kansas City Chiefs SIDE :9.5
37	Forecast (O/U 72.25 )	35.25
3-2	L5(SU)	4-1
2-3-0	L5(ATS)	0-4-1
3-2-0	L5(O/U)	3-2-0
100%	C.O.W	44.44%
61%	C.O.C	79%
40%	C.O.G.O	40%
-0.16	MSV	-6.94
(A) NEUTRAL	PVI	(A) NEUTRAL
2-2	SU	1-0
2-2-0	ATS	1-0-0
2-2-0	O/U	0-1-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Types of Teams – When you look at League Standings, you have 3 types of teams.
Tier 1 Teams (A): 60% or higher (Above Average Teams = High Public Confidence = Low Rewards)
Tier 2 Teams (B): 50% to 59.9% (Average Teams = Moderate Public Confidence = Medium Rewards)
Tier 3 Teams (C): 49.9% or Lower (Below Average Teams = Low Public Confidence = High Rewards)

NFL Market Condition Chart

Cleveland Browns

Kansas City Chiefs

Line : 9.5

Line : -9.5

MoneyLine : +330

MoneyLine : -417

O/U : 56.5

Season Record :

SU: 12-5

ATS: 7-9-1

O/U: 10-7-0

SU: 14-2

ATS: 6-8-2

O/U: 8-8-0

Home Record :

SU: 6-2

ATS: 3-5-0

O/U: 5-3-0

SU: 6-2

ATS: 3-5-0

O/U: 3-5-0

Away Record :

SU: 6-3

ATS: 4-4-1

O/U: 5-4-0

SU: 8-0

ATS: 3-3-2

O/U: 5-3-0

Last game: Win 48 – 37 vs PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Last game: Lost 38 – 21 vs LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

SU: 6-8

ATS: 7-5-2

O/U: 7-6-1

SU: 28-11

ATS: 22-15-2

O/U: 17-20-2

Current game: vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Current game: vs. Cleveland Browns

SU: 1-3

ATS: 3-1-0

O/U: 3-1-0

SU: 3-1

ATS: 1-3-0

O/U: 3-1-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 6 (RD)

Days Rest : 13 (HF)

(L) SU: (27-66-0 )

ATS: (46-46-1 )

O/U: (48-44-1)

(L) SU: ( 7-5-0)

ATS: (5-7-0)

O/U: (6-6-0)

(T) SU: (3-1)

ATS: (3-1-0)

O/U: (3-1-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 Over

Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Over

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 5 Win -1 Lost (PF)21.83 – (PA)18.67

Home Favorite: 6 Win -1 Lost (PF)28.43 – (PA)20

Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost (PF)37 – (PA)35

Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost (PF)21 – (PA)38

Road Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost (PF)25 – (PA)22

Road Favorite: 7 Win -0 Lost (PF)31.29 – (PA)23.43

Road Underdog: 3 Win -2 Lost (PF)30.2 – (PA)37.2

Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost (PF)34 – (PA)20

Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost (PF)29.33 – (PA)27.33

Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost (PF)23.33 – (PA)27

Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost (PF)30 – (PA)27

Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost (PF)25 – (PA)24.8

Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost (PF)31.14 – (PA)27.86

Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost (PF)26.71 – (PA)25.57

Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost (PF)25.6 – (PA)23.5

Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost (PF)29.8 – (PA)23.5

Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost (PF)27.67 – (PA)25.87

Last 15 game: 13 Win 2 Lost (PF)29.27 – (PA)22.8

Situations (Cleveland Browns)

Situations (Kansas City Chiefs)

Coming off a vs AFC North opponent (PIT)

Coming off a vs AFC West opponent (LA)

Coming off a road underdog win

Coming off a home underdog lost

Coming off a 2 game winning streak

Coming off 1 over

Coming off 2 overs

Coming off a game scored 21 points or less

Coming off a game scored 40 points or more

Coming off a game scored 38 points or more against

Coming off a game scored 38 points or less against

Coming off 2 game home stand

Coming off 1 ATS win

Coming off 2 ATS lost

Trends

Query

ATS

O/U

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – After 12 to 15 days off – Coming off vs American Conference opponent	8-4-0	9-3	2-10-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite – After a division game – Coming off vs American Conference opponent	12-13-1	22-4	15-11-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Home Favorite – After a conference game – Coming off vs American Conference opponent	11-12-1	20-4	13-11-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite – After a conference game – Coming off vs American Conference opponent	16-16-1	28-5	22-11-0

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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