American Athletic Conference Market Value Report – Week 2 (NCAAF)

 

The 2025 college football season is only a week old, but the Raymond Report Market Value Index (MVI) is already flashing some early signals out of the American Athletic Conference. Week 1 brought plenty of fireworks – and for bettors, the AAC showed us exactly where the momentum is building, and where the market is punishing underperformers.

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🚀 Bullish Teams (A-Grade, 1-0, 100% Confidence)

Nine teams opened the season with victories and carry a Bullish tag into Week 2:

• South Florida (1-0) – Sitting at the top with confidence maxed out at 100%. Market has them fairly priced at -110, but momentum is clearly on their side.
• Temple (1-0) – A program that bettors typically fade in early-season spots, Temple looked sharp in Week 1 and has earned bullish status.
• Alabama Birmingham (1-0) – UAB gets the same treatment as the conference’s hot starters. Market is still neutral at -110, leaving value for sharp money.
• Memphis (1-0) – Always dangerous in the AAC. Their MVI suggests they’re fairly priced, but confidence is sky-high for now.
• Rice (1-0) – Often overlooked in betting markets, Rice’s Week 1 win has them riding momentum.
• Tulane (1-0) – No surprise here. The Green Wave are expected to contend in this conference and looked the part opening weekend.
• Tulsa (1-0) – Bettors should watch closely; Tulsa is volatile, but for now, the market confidence is perfect.
• North Texas (1-0) – The Mean Green start strong and bring plenty of value early, especially in underdog spots.
• Navy (1-0) – A big win out of the gate has the Midshipmen showing early discipline and control.

All nine of these teams are riding 1-game winning streaks with 100% confidence in their current MVI cycle. For bettors, that means the lines are tightening, and sportsbooks are unlikely to offer discounts on these squads moving forward.

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📉 Bearish Teams (C-Grade, 0-1, 0% Confidence)

On the other side of the spectrum, six programs stumbled in Week 1 and enter Week 2 with a Bearish signal:

• Army (0-1) – Market value swings to +110, signaling their drop after a disappointing opener.
• Florida Atlantic (0-1) – The Owls were outclassed in Week 1, carrying a losing streak into Week 2.
• Charlotte (0-1) – Confidence is at rock bottom after an ugly debut.
• East Carolina (0-1) – The Pirates are another “fade until proven otherwise” team after a sluggish start.
• UTSA (0-1) – Perhaps the most surprising bearish entry; UTSA was expected to compete but is now staring at a confidence rating of 0%.

All of these teams have 1-game losing streaks and are priced at +110, signaling the market has already corrected their early failures.

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📌 Raymond Report Takeaway

• Betting Angle: The AAC is a conference of extremes right now – nine undefeateds on a Bullish tear, six squads in full Bearish retreat.
• Value Play: Early winners like Rice, Tulsa, and North Texas might offer sneaky value as the market hasn’t fully priced their upside yet.
• Fade Alert: Programs like UTSA and Army are flashing early warning signs. Until they show life, they remain risky plays for Week 2.

With a full slate of action ahead, the AAC is already shaping up to be one of the most intriguing betting conferences in college football. Stick with the Raymond Report to stay ahead of the market swings and keep your bankroll on the bullish side of the action.

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👉 Want the full Raymond Report breakdown for every conference?
Check out the ATS STATS NCAAF Reports and get all the inside numbers before you bet Week 2.

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