AQUEDUCT PICKS & RACE PREVIEW – Saturday, November 15, 2025

Thoroughbred Racing Tipsheet powered by ATSstats.com
Smart money deserves smart picks, and today’s Aqueduct card delivers a juicy lineup of maiden specials, allowances, and two stakes events. Pace dynamics, surface pedigree, and jockey efficiency are key edges today, along with identifying closers vs. early burners in races loaded with speed.

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RACE 1 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $48,000 – 1 Mile (Dirt) – 11:40 AM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(7) Cathedral Aisle – F. Prat (32%)	Tactical stalker who should sit just off the early speed and pounce late. Improving form and top jock up.
PLACE	(2) Ivy Girl – M. Franco (28%)	Early foot, projects to control tempo if not pressured. Dangerous on the lead.
SHOW	(4) Catholic Vice – R. Santana Jr. (25%)	Stretching out, late-running style could pick up tired rivals.
JOKER	(1) Delver – L. R. Rivera Jr.	Rail draw and potential pace meltdown plays to his closer profile.

Exacta: 7/2 BOX, 2/4 BOX, 4/1 BOX
Trifecta: 7/2/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

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RACE 2 – CLAIMING – $31,000 – 6.5 Furlongs (Dirt) – 12:10 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(3) Take Me to Londyn – F. Prat	Stalker who should sit behind a fast projected early duel and slingshot off the turn.
PLACE	(7) Ragtime Sizzle – S. Civaci	Closer who will love a pace collapse. Bullet work signals readiness.
SHOW	(5) Tough Love Torres – K. Carmouche	Strong early speed, but risk of tiring late.
JOKER	(4) Auroralinna – C. Hiraldo	Lightly raced filly improving each start. Upset potential.

Exacta: 3/7 BOX, 7/5 BOX, 5/4 BOX
Trifecta: 3/7/5 BOX, 4/7/5 BOX

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RACE 3 – ALLOWANCE – $88,000 – 7 Furlongs (Dirt) – 12:40 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(2) Ican – F. Prat	Big late kick, perfect for setup with multiple need-the-lead types here.
PLACE	(4) Pass the Hat – S. Civaci	Tactical runner who keeps grinding; always in the frame.
SHOW	(5) Buttah – K. Carmouche	Sharp early pace, could take them a long way.
JOKER	(6) My Mitole – R. Santana Jr.	Wild card with improving figures.

Exacta: 2/4 BOX, 4/5 BOX, 5/6 BOX
Trifecta: 2/4/5 BOX, 6/4/5 BOX

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RACE 7 – STAKES – $350,000 – 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) – 2:39 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(4) Fionn – F. Prat	Powerful closer with the best finishing kick in the field. Loves distance.
PLACE	(1) Scythian – S. Civaci	Going gate-to-wire is the blueprint. Lone speed threat.
SHOW	(2) Hereforagoodtime – J. Velazquez	Stalker getting perfect trip behind pace.
JOKER	(3) National Archive – M. Franco	Late closer who could light up the board if pace melts.

Exacta: 4/1 BOX, 1/2 BOX, 2/3 BOX
Trifecta: 4/1/2 BOX, 3/1/2 BOX

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RACE 9 – STAKES – $150,000 – 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) – 3:39 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(4) Ohana Honor – F. Prat	Class edge and closing kick built for finishing stretch drive.
PLACE	(6) Signator – J. Hernandez	Versatile and improving. Stalking style fits perfect.
SHOW	(3) Trikari – J. Velazquez	Consistent speed figure runner always around the money.
JOKER	(8) Naptown – M. Franco	If the pace blows up, he is the live bomb.

Exacta: 4/6 BOX, 6/3 BOX, 3/8 BOX
Trifecta: 4/6/3 BOX, 8/6/3 BOX

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Best Bet of the Day

Race 7 – (4) Fionn
Deep closer in a race projected with hot early fractions. Ideal setup.

Value Play

Race 1 – (4) Catholic Vice at 10-1
Perfect setup to clunk up into the exacta or trifecta.

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Final Note

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Winning is not luck, it is math and discipline.

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