AQUEDUCT THOROUGHBRED RACING TIPSHEET – Sunday, Nov 16, 2025

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Today’s Aqueduct card features a strong mix of maidens, allowances, and two competitive turf stakes. Several races project honest to fast early pace setups, which sets up beautifully for late-running closers and tactical stalkers. Identifying race shape is half the battle, and today’s ticket leans into that advantage.

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RACE 1 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $43,000 – 1 Mile Dirt – 12:10 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(1) Momentum Files – K. Carmouche (32%)	Expected lone early speed. If he clears uncontested, he wires this group.
PLACE	(4) Quiet Moon – S. Civaci (28%)	Stalker who sits right behind Momentum Files and gets first run.
SHOW	(3) Dr. Insel – M. Franco (28%)	Strong late kick, will rally if pace gets hot.
JOKER	(5) Party With Smarty – J. Rodriguez	Has closing ability and could blow up the trifecta board at 10-1.

Exacta: 1/4 BOX, 4/3 BOX, 3/5 BOX
Trifecta: 1/4/3 BOX, 5/4/3 BOX

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RACE 2 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $38,000 – 1 Mile Dirt – 12:40 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(8) Good Cop – K. Carmouche	Tactical stalker with speed figures better than this field.
PLACE	(6) Metatron – R. Santana Jr.	Stretching out should help; grinding style fits well.
SHOW	(3) Solo Jim – J. Velazquez	Front-running threat who must be caught late.
JOKER	(1) Smallchangegeep – D. Davis	Sneaky rail-runner who could trip his way into money.

Exacta: 8/6 BOX, 6/3 BOX, 3/1 BOX
Trifecta: 8/6/3 BOX, 1/6/3 BOX

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RACE 3 – STAKES – $175,000 – 1 Mile Turf – 1:10 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(1) Paradise City – M. Franco	Big turn of foot, best late closer in a paceless race.
PLACE	(6) Peak Hype – R. Santana Jr.	Consistent stalker always in striking range.
SHOW	(2) It Ain’t Two – J. Velazquez	Improving and well spotted for a top 3 finish.
JOKER	(5) Fast Market – D. Davis	Early burner who could steal it if he gets loose.

Exacta: 1/6 BOX, 6/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX
Trifecta: 1/6/2 BOX, 5/6/2 BOX

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RACE 4 – ALLOWANCE OC – $90,000 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf – 1:40 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(4) Starship Titan – K. Carmouche	Stalker who draws perfect mid-pack trip.
PLACE	(7) Spirit Prince – M. Franco	Late closer who will be flying late.
SHOW	(5) Exact Estimate – R. Santana Jr.	Versatile and consistent, fits well.
JOKER	(8) V Cruizer – J. Velazquez	Turf specialist with upset potential.

Exacta: 4/7 BOX, 7/5 BOX, 5/8 BOX
Trifecta: 4/7/5 BOX, 8/7/5 BOX

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RACE 7 – STAKES – $150,000 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf – 3:09 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(7) Oversubscribed – M. Franco	Best closer in the field, pace scenario sets up perfectly.
PLACE	(2) Nice as Pie – R. Santana Jr.	Stalker with strong finishing fractions.
SHOW	(5) Spinning Colors – J. Velazquez	Honest runner who always gives effort.
JOKER	(4) Malleymoo – D. Davis	Pace meltdown specialist with big trifecta value.

Exacta: 7/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX, 5/4 BOX
Trifecta: 7/2/5 BOX, 4/2/5 BOX

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RACE 9 – ALLOWANCE OC – $88,000 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf – 4:09 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(11) Racing Colors – T. Simpson (61%)	Deep closer with a monster stretch kick; pace meltdown play at 30-1.
PLACE	(8) Bobby Jean – K. Carmouche	Strong tactical speed to sit a perfect stalking trip.
SHOW	(12) Curlin’s Girl – S. Civaci	Late-runner who fits well with today’s pace shape.
JOKER	(10) Miss Beethoven – M. Franco	Can sneak into tri at a price.

Exacta: 11/8 BOX, 8/12 BOX, 12/10 BOX
Trifecta: 11/8/12 BOX, 10/8/12 BOX

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BEST BET OF THE DAY

Race 7 – (7) Oversubscribed
Perfect pace setup and class edge.

LONGSHOT VALUE PLAY

Race 9 – (11) Racing Colors at 30-1
Closer in a race loaded with early speed. Right trip can shock the pool.

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CLOSING NOTE

Winning horse betting is simple:
Skip underlays, hunt overlays, and let the public gamble while you invest.

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