Categories: Horse Racing

AQUEDUCT THOROUGHBRED RACING TIPSHEET – Sunday, Nov 16, 2025

Today’s Aqueduct card features a strong mix of maidens, allowances, and two competitive turf stakes. Several races project honest to fast early pace setups, which sets up beautifully for late-running closers and tactical stalkers. Identifying race shape is half the battle, and today’s ticket leans into that advantage.

RACE 1 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $43,000 – 1 Mile Dirt – 12:10 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(1) Momentum Files – K. Carmouche (32%)	Expected lone early speed. If he clears uncontested, he wires this group.
PLACE	(4) Quiet Moon – S. Civaci (28%)	Stalker who sits right behind Momentum Files and gets first run.
SHOW	(3) Dr. Insel – M. Franco (28%)	Strong late kick, will rally if pace gets hot.
JOKER	(5) Party With Smarty – J. Rodriguez	Has closing ability and could blow up the trifecta board at 10-1.

Exacta: 1/4 BOX, 4/3 BOX, 3/5 BOX
Trifecta: 1/4/3 BOX, 5/4/3 BOX

RACE 2 – MAIDEN CLAIMING – $38,000 – 1 Mile Dirt – 12:40 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(8) Good Cop – K. Carmouche	Tactical stalker with speed figures better than this field.
PLACE	(6) Metatron – R. Santana Jr.	Stretching out should help; grinding style fits well.
SHOW	(3) Solo Jim – J. Velazquez	Front-running threat who must be caught late.
JOKER	(1) Smallchangegeep – D. Davis	Sneaky rail-runner who could trip his way into money.

Exacta: 8/6 BOX, 6/3 BOX, 3/1 BOX
Trifecta: 8/6/3 BOX, 1/6/3 BOX

RACE 3 – STAKES – $175,000 – 1 Mile Turf – 1:10 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(1) Paradise City – M. Franco	Big turn of foot, best late closer in a paceless race.
PLACE	(6) Peak Hype – R. Santana Jr.	Consistent stalker always in striking range.
SHOW	(2) It Ain’t Two – J. Velazquez	Improving and well spotted for a top 3 finish.
JOKER	(5) Fast Market – D. Davis	Early burner who could steal it if he gets loose.

Exacta: 1/6 BOX, 6/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX
Trifecta: 1/6/2 BOX, 5/6/2 BOX

RACE 4 – ALLOWANCE OC – $90,000 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf – 1:40 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(4) Starship Titan – K. Carmouche	Stalker who draws perfect mid-pack trip.
PLACE	(7) Spirit Prince – M. Franco	Late closer who will be flying late.
SHOW	(5) Exact Estimate – R. Santana Jr.	Versatile and consistent, fits well.
JOKER	(8) V Cruizer – J. Velazquez	Turf specialist with upset potential.

Exacta: 4/7 BOX, 7/5 BOX, 5/8 BOX
Trifecta: 4/7/5 BOX, 8/7/5 BOX

RACE 7 – STAKES – $150,000 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf – 3:09 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(7) Oversubscribed – M. Franco	Best closer in the field, pace scenario sets up perfectly.
PLACE	(2) Nice as Pie – R. Santana Jr.	Stalker with strong finishing fractions.
SHOW	(5) Spinning Colors – J. Velazquez	Honest runner who always gives effort.
JOKER	(4) Malleymoo – D. Davis	Pace meltdown specialist with big trifecta value.

Exacta: 7/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX, 5/4 BOX
Trifecta: 7/2/5 BOX, 4/2/5 BOX

RACE 9 – ALLOWANCE OC – $88,000 – 1 1/8 Miles Turf – 4:09 PM

PICK	HORSE & JOCKEY	Notes
WIN	(11) Racing Colors – T. Simpson (61%)	Deep closer with a monster stretch kick; pace meltdown play at 30-1.
PLACE	(8) Bobby Jean – K. Carmouche	Strong tactical speed to sit a perfect stalking trip.
SHOW	(12) Curlin’s Girl – S. Civaci	Late-runner who fits well with today’s pace shape.
JOKER	(10) Miss Beethoven – M. Franco	Can sneak into tri at a price.

Exacta: 11/8 BOX, 8/12 BOX, 12/10 BOX
Trifecta: 11/8/12 BOX, 10/8/12 BOX

BEST BET OF THE DAY

Race 7 – (7) Oversubscribed
Perfect pace setup and class edge.

LONGSHOT VALUE PLAY

Race 9 – (11) Racing Colors at 30-1
Closer in a race loaded with early speed. Right trip can shock the pool.

CLOSING NOTE

Winning horse betting is simple:
Skip underlays, hunt overlays, and let the public gamble while you invest.

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Enjoy the races and cash those tickets. 💰🏇

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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