TNF: Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams 
O/U :38

15.28

Vs.

Date: 2016-12-15
Time: 20:25:00

Generated from 18 Previous Games

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
SIDE :16

27.78 = 43.06

TNF: Seattle Seahawks -16

Is it just us…or is O/U 38 a little bit low for a total in an NFL game? Hmmmm.

More on that later.

Is it just us…or is -16 a little bit high for a spread in an NFL game? Hmmmm.

More on that later too.

Seattle Seahawks lead their division with a record of 8-4-1. Behind them sits the Arizona Cardinals with a 5-7 W/L record.

So being only a few weeks way from the playoffs, the Seahawks have got to be thinking that they can clench their spot and sure up a chance at the playoffs with a win on Thursday.

So that will explain why the Seahawks will win on Thursday…however…we’re tasked with answering whether they’ll win by 16 points. Good question.

On the other hand, we have an entire L.A. Rams roster that’s trying to prove that they’re not the weakest link. Rams started off quite strong this season but haven’t shown that initial spark since the first few weeks. L.A.’s track record is just shy of ‘atrocious’ at 4-9, but does this mean that they’re incapable, or is it a sign that they’ll be stepping up? We would have to lean with “incapable.”

L.A.’s offense all boils down to “out of the frying man, and into the fire.” After inserting Jared Goff as starting QB, L.A. has not been able to mount much of an offense at all. Goff has 4 TDs, and 5 Interceptions. As we all know, any QB with more interceptions than touchdowns, can lose any game at any point. I would be hesitant betting a QB like this in the 2H prop, especially if there were 0 interceptions in the 1H.

Both teams are relatively healthy, but L.A. will have a case to prove, as they’re missing their Cornerback E.J. Gaines, and Safety Maurice Alexander. This is a huge problem, because in 5 of their last 7 games, the Rams scored 10 or less points. So their scoring is offline and they have a couple gaping weaknesses in their defense due to fresh injuries in their backfield.

This is not good and speaks to why the total is so low, and why the spread is well into double digits.

What happens when a team that can *barely* manage to find their way to putting up double-digits…loses 2 crucial instances of defense in their defensive backfield? Gaines with 46 tackles, and Alexander with 45 tackles this season means that Rams could be in desperate times on Thursday.

While we never recommend taking any chalk at double-digits, we gotta give it up to SEA -16 on TNF. There isn’t too much more to analyze, so we’ll leave you with a few sections of atsstats.com

ATSSTATS Matchups would suggest that Seahawks might actually cover:

When LOS ANGELES RAMS team played as a Road team – Last 5 years – Coming off back to back SU loss: 2-8-1 ATS

When LOS ANGELES RAMS team played as a Road team – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off 1 over: 7-14-1 ATS

When LOS ANGELES RAMS team played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Division Opponent – Scored 14 points or less FOR in their last game: 7-18 ATS

When LOS ANGELES RAMS team played as a 10 or more Road Underdog – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off a loss: 3-9-1 ATS

When LOS ANGELES RAMS played as Home or Away Team- On Turf Surface: 7-18-1 ATS

When LOS ANGELES RAMS team played as a Road team – Vs Conference Opponent – Last 5 years: 5-12-1 ATS

 

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – vs. opponent with a 31% to 40% winning %: 10-2-1 ATS

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Home team – Last 5 years – Coming off 1 ATS lost: 8-4-1 ATS

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – After a non division game – Coming off vs National Conference opponent: 9-3 ATS

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS played as Home or Away Team- With Total between 37 and 41: 16-6 -3 ATS

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Home team – Last 4 years – During Week 12 to 16: 8-2 ATS

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Home team – During the month of December – vs. opponent with a 31% to 40% winning %: 9-3 ATS

Instead of continuing on with an in-depth analysis, we decided to insert one of the sections of ATSSTATS that we never disclose…Happy Holidays.

LOS ANGELES RAMSTeam Name: LOS ANGELES RAMS(Road Team)
Line: LOS ANGELES RAMS —– SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
O/U: LOS ANGELES RAMS (OVER ) —– SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (UNDER )
Game Date: Thursday,December 15 2016 8:25 PM
Last Game: lost 42 – 14 vs ATLANTA FALCONS
Current Game: Seattle Seahawks
Next Game: Vs. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Stats & Trends: LOS ANGELES RAMS vs. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
PVI Rating on Winning: %
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: %
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 65.3%
Streaks: 4 SU Lost – 4 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams % covering the spread: 45%
Road Teams % of this game going UNDER: 56%
Road Teams Predicted Points For: 15.64
Road Teams Predicted Points Against: 22.77
Road Team
(LOS ANGELES RAMS)
When LOS ANGELES RAMS is a Road Team When Any NFL Team is a Road Team Differential % When LOS ANGELES RAMS is a Road Team,the O/U When Any NFL Team is a Road Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential % Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential %
ATS ATS O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 38 (since 1996) 6-8-1 1-1-0 0.45 7-8-0 1-1-0 0.52
vs Division opponent (since 1996) 30-41-2 130-108-12 0.47 28-45-0 115-131-4 0.57
vs Conference opponent 7-9-1 257-254-21 0.45 6-11-0 257-270-5 0.58
Playing in the month of December (since 1996) 34-43-0 81-69-3 0.49 34-43-0 62-89-2 0.57
Playing on Thursday (since 1996) 0-2-0 22-26-2 0.22 1-1-0 21-27-2 0.53
Played as road Team 9-12-2 351-337-29 0.44 7-16-0 338-371-8 0.61
After a Non-Division Game 8-5-2 214-210-16 0.51 5-10-0 206-228-6 0.6
After a Conference Game 5-9-1 229-228-21 0.41 3-12-0 227-246-5 0.66
Before a Division Game (since 1996) 90-117-10 104-130-6 0.42 111-105-1 116-120-4 0.5
Before a Conference Game 6-6-1 228-241-20 0.46 4-9-0 231-253-5 0.61
vs NFC West Division Opponent (since 1996) 30-41-2 43-41-3 0.45 28-45-0 37-50-0 0.6
vs National Conference Opponent 7-9-1 172-173-8 0.45 6-11-0 163-188-2 0.59
Coming off vs NFC South Division Opponent (since 1996) 31-32-2 39-49-1 0.46 31-34-0 40-49-0 0.54
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 5-9-1 153-173-10 0.39 3-12-0 151-181-4 0.67
Coming off a 4 losing streak (since 1996) 3-6-1 7-7-0 0.4 5-5-0 2-12-0 0.68
Coming off 1 over (since 1996) 27-38-5 73-96-6 0.4 37-33-0 79-93-3 0.51
Coming off a lost 4-6-2 185-175-15 0.41 4-8-0 183-189-3 0.59
Coming off a Home Lost as a Underdog (since 1996) 20-19-3 42-44-5 0.47 23-19-0 43-47-1 0.49
With 3 days off (since 1996) 1-1-0 20-23-1 0.48 1-1-0 18-25-1 0.54
Coming off a 1 home stand 5-3-2 155-145-14 0.5 6-4-0 145-165-4 0.47
Coming off a 28 points loss (since 1996) 5-2-0 2-4-0 0.52 4-3-0 3-3-0 0.46
Coming off a score 14 points FOR in last game (since 1996) 6-4-0 8-7-0 0.57 5-5-0 7-7-1 0.5
Coming off a score 42 points AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 1-0-0 2-0-0 1 0-1-0 0-2-0 1
Before Playing SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (since 1996) 11-19-1 12-8-2 0.45 13-18-0 13-8-1 0.48
After Playing ATLANTA FALCONS (since 1996) 9-7-0 5-18-1 0.39 9-7-0 11-13-0 0.49
vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (since 1996) 7-11-0 9-13-1 0.39 6-12-0 14-9-0 0.53
Coming off a 4 ATS Lost (since 1996) 2-4-1 6-6-0 0.39 5-2-0 3-9-0 0.52
Coming off a Home ATS lost (since 1996) 35-43-6 116-101-11 0.46 41-43-0 102-123-3 0.53
Coming off a Lost over NFC South division opponent (since 1996) 15-15-0 25-22-0 0.52 12-18-0 20-27-0 0.59
During week 15 (since 1996) 3-5-0 15-13-2 0.44 5-3-0 12-18-0 0.49
Coming off Back to Back SU Lost (since 1996) 25-34-4 73-73-5 0.44 28-35-0 73-77-1 0.53
Coming off Back to Back ATS Lost 3-6-1 128-134-9 0.39 4-6-0 136-133-2 0.55
TEAM: LOS ANGELES RAMS
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 14.92 23.38
Home Games Avg 12 19.83
Road Games Avg 17.43 26.43
Last 3 Games Avg 15 39
Last 5 Games Avg 12.8 27.4
Last 10 Games Avg 14.8 24.1
vs. Division Games Avg 8.67 14.67
vs. Conference Games Avg 16.22 25.33
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 12 19
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 11 23.67
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 22 28.67
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 7.25 15.25
After a Win Games Avg 20.75 22.25
After a Lost Games Avg 13.88 23.38
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 15.33 19
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 10.75 22
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 37 32
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg 17 24.75
After an Over Games Avg 16.25 21.75
After an Under Games Avg 16.13 23.63
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
15.64 22.77
TEAM: LOS ANGELES RAMS
Line: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS —– LOS ANGELES RAMS
O/U: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (UNDER ) —– LOS ANGELES RAMS (OVER )
Game Date: Thursday,December 15 2016 8:25 PM
Last Game: lost 10 – 38 vs GREEN BAY PACKERS
Current Game: Los Angeles Rams
Next Game: Vs. ARIZONA CARDINALS
Stats & Trends: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS vs. LOS ANGELES RAMS
PVI Rating on Winning: 45.45%
PVI Rating on game going UNDER: 46.15%
Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Streaks: 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Home Teams % covering the spread: 53%
Home Teams % of this game going UNDER: 49%
Home Teams Predicted Points For: 22.51
Home Teams Predicted Points Against: 18.02
Home Team
(SEATTLE SEAHAWKS)
When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS is a Home Team When Any NFL Team is a Home Team Differential % When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS is a Home Team,the O/U When Any NFL Team is a Home Team,the O/U Differential % on game going UNDER
Situations Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential % Last 3 season Last 3 season Differential %
ATS ATS O/U/P O/U/P
Total is 38 (since 1996) 6-6-1 2-1-0 0.56 11-2-0 2-1-0 0.24
vs Division opponent (since 1996) 34-20-1 107-130-11 0.52 25-28-2 113-131-4 0.53
vs Conference opponent 11-7-0 252-260-20 0.54 11-7-0 262-265-5 0.45
Playing in the month of December (since 1996) 49-22-1 67-83-3 0.56 37-35-0 62-89-2 0.54
Playing on Thursday (since 1996) 2-1-0 26-23-2 0.59 3-0-0 22-27-2 0.28
Played as home Team 14-10-1 337-352-28 0.52 15-10-0 346-363-8 0.46
After a Non-Division Game 8-9-1 213-230-16 0.45 10-8-0 227-227-5 0.47
After a Conference Game 9-6-1 237-249-18 0.52 11-5-0 238-261-5 0.42
Before a Division Game (since 1996) 12-10-0 106-128-8 0.49 8-14-0 117-122-3 0.57
Before a Conference Game 8-7-0 239-245-22 0.5 7-8-0 251-251-4 0.52
vs NFC West Division Opponent (since 1996) 34-20-1 48-32-4 0.59 25-28-2 43-41-0 0.51
vs National Conference Opponent 11-7-0 168-173-11 0.54 11-7-0 175-174-3 0.44
Coming off vs NFC North Division Opponent (since 1996) 13-7-0 45-35-2 0.6 6-14-0 33-49-0 0.65
Coming off vs National Conference Opponent 9-6-1 159-154-10 0.53 11-5-0 153-168-2 0.42
Coming off 2 over (since 1996) 17-14-0 33-48-4 0.47 19-12-0 37-48-0 0.48
Coming off a lost 7-3-1 178-195-13 0.55 7-4-0 190-192-4 0.43
Coming off a Road Lost as a Favorite (since 1996) 14-12-2 25-23-2 0.5 14-13-1 27-22-1 0.47
With 3 days off (since 1996) 2-1-0 23-21-1 0.59 2-1-0 19-25-1 0.45
Coming off a 1 road stand 7-3-0 145-134-9 0.6 5-5-0 139-143-6 0.5
Coming off a 28 points loss (since 1996) 0-1-0 4-1-0 0.4 0-0-1 2-3-0 0.3
Coming off a score 10 points FOR in last game (since 1996) 5-8-0 13-11-0 0.46 6-7-0 12-12-0 0.52
Coming off a score 38 points AGAINST in last game (since 1996) 4-1-0 6-7-0 0.63 4-1-0 5-8-0 0.41
Before Playing SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (since 1996) 9-3-0 8-10-0 0.6 6-6-0 9-9-0 0.5
After Playing GREEN BAY PACKERS (since 1996) 5-2-0 14-8-0 0.68 2-5-0 9-13-0 0.65
vs LOS ANGELES RAMS (since 1996) 11-7-0 11-7-2 0.58 6-12-0 5-15-0 0.71
Coming off a 1 ATS Lost (since 1996) 34-33-2 76-92-8 0.46 37-31-1 82-91-3 0.49
Coming off a Road ATS lost (since 1996) 45-44-3 108-101-9 0.49 46-43-3 101-113-4 0.51
Coming off a Lost over NFC North division opponent (since 1996) 5-4-0 20-20-1 0.52 2-7-0 15-26-0 0.71
During week 15 (since 1996) 8-3-0 13-17-2 0.57 8-3-0 13-19-0 0.43
TEAM: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
All Games Avg 21.08 17.85
Home Games Avg 28.67 16.5
Road Games Avg 14.57 19
Last 3 Games Avg 18.33 19.67
Last 5 Games Avg 22.4 19.6
Last 10 Games Avg 22.2 19.5
vs. Division Games Avg 15.33 11
vs. Conference Games Avg 19.22 17.33
vs. Non Conference Games Avg 25.25 19
vs. Top Ranked Games Avg 28.5 24
vs. Middle Ranked Games Avg 16.33 20.5
vs. Bottom Ranked Games Avg 23.8 12.2
After a Win Games Avg 16.75 18.38
After a Lost Games Avg 36 16.67
After a SU Road Win Games Avg 26 19.5
After a SU Road Lost Games Avg 36 16.67
After a SU Home Win Games Avg 13.67 18
After a SU Home Lost Games Avg N/A N/A
After an Over Games Avg 21 20.67
After an Under Games Avg 22.67 16.33
After a Push Games Avg N/A N/A
22.51 18.02