LEAGUE: MLB
DATE: Monday, August 24, 2026
REPORT: Raymond Report MVI Game Matchups
CATEGORY: MLB
DAILY ALERT: MVI SLATE PROFILE
The Monday MLB slate contains 10 Raymond Report MVI matchups. The chart combines C.O.W. : Chance of Winning, forecast runs, home and away records, opponent-category records, Value Index, DMVI, sentiment classification, and BET(U) unit signals.
Washington posts the highest C.O.W. at 63.64%, despite a BEARISH(8) classification and a 0U signal. Minnesota follows at 59.15%, while the Chicago White Sox lead the remaining teams at 55.73%.
The highest forecast belongs to Minnesota at 6.22, followed by Oakland at 5.02. The lowest forecast totals are attached to Seattle, Philadelphia, San Diego, and the LA Angels, creating several lower-run environments.
Highest BET(U) signals: Miami 4U, Chicago White Sox 4U, Arizona 4U, Tampa Bay 3U, Texas 3U, and Chicago Cubs 3U.
BEST MVI SIGNALS
| Rank | Team | Opponent | C.O.W. | Forecast | MVI | DMVI | BET(U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington | Colorado | 63.64% | 4.30 | BEARISH(8) | -123.29 | 0 |
| 2 | Minnesota | Oakland | 59.15% | 6.22 | NEUTRAL(7) | -119.71 | 1 |
| 3 | Chicago White Sox | Texas | 55.73% | 4.54 | NEUTRAL(7) | -106.67 | 4 |
| 4 | Seattle | Philadelphia | 53.81% | 3.67 | NEUTRAL(1) | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Cincinnati | San Francisco | 52.41% | 4.42 | NEUTRAL(2) | -117.43 | 1 |
Directional notes:
- BULLISH: Boston, Cleveland, Philadelphia, San Diego
- BEARISH: Detroit, Colorado, Washington, Oakland, San Francisco
- NEUTRAL: Miami, Tampa Bay, Texas, Chicago White Sox, LA Angels, Chicago Cubs, Arizona, Minnesota, Seattle, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati
GAME 1 : BOSTON @ MIAMI
Market: Boston (-129) | Miami (7.5)
Pitchers: Ranger Suarez (L) vs. Sandy Alcantara (R)
| Metric | Boston | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | B | B |
| C.O.W. | 50.55% | 46.11% |
| Forecast | 4.17 | 3.93 |
| Home Record | 33-32 | 41-25 |
| Away Record | 37-27 | 26-39 |
| MVI | BULLISH(2) | NEUTRAL(3) |
| DMVI | -129.14 | +134.20 |
| BET(U) | 1 | 4 |
Boston carries the higher C.O.W. and the only BULLISH(2) signal in the matchup. Miami has the stronger home record and the highest BET(U) value on the slate at 4U, but its 26-39 away record is the weaker split when compared with Boston’s 37-27 road mark.
MVI read: Boston directional support; Miami higher model-unit exposure with a neutral value classification.
GAME 2 : TAMPA BAY @ DETROIT
Market: Tampa Bay (-130) | Detroit (7.5)
Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen (R) vs. Framber Valdez (L)
| Metric | Tampa Bay | Detroit |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | B | C |
| C.O.W. | 51.77% | 41.03% |
| Forecast | 4.15 | 3.51 |
| Home Record | 43-23 | 32-31 |
| Away Record | 34-30 | 29-37 |
| MVI | NEUTRAL(1) | BEARISH(6) |
| DMVI | -129.94 | +112.50 |
| BET(U) | 3 | 0 |
Tampa Bay leads the C.O.W. comparison by 10.74 percentage points and owns the stronger overall home/away profile. Detroit enters with a 29-37 away record, a lower 3.51 forecast, and a BEARISH(6) classification.
MVI read: Tampa Bay has the matchup-side advantage. Detroit carries no BET(U) signal.
GAME 3 : COLORADO @ WASHINGTON
Market: Colorado (8) | Washington (-182)
Pitchers: Ryan Feltner (R) vs. Cade Cavalli (R)
| Metric | Colorado | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | C | C |
| C.O.W. | 33.33% | 63.64% |
| Forecast | 3.20 | 4.30 |
| Home Record | 27-37 | 27-36 |
| Away Record | 23-42 | 34-35 |
| MVI | BEARISH(3) | BEARISH(8) |
| DMVI | +145.13 | -123.29 |
| BET(U) | 0 | 0 |
Washington has the strongest C.O.W. number on the slate at 63.64%, with a 30.31-point gap over Colorado. The classification remains BEARISH(8), creating the day’s clearest conflict between probability and directional sentiment.
Colorado has the lowest C.O.W. at 33.33%, a 3.20 forecast, and a 23-42 away record.
MVI read: Washington leads the raw probability and forecast comparison, but the bearish label requires caution. No unit signal is assigned to either team.
GAME 4 : TEXAS @ CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Market: Texas (8.5) | Chicago White Sox (-136)
Pitchers: Kumar Rocker (R) vs. Jose Urquidy (R)
| Metric | Texas | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | B | B |
| C.O.W. | 46.72% | 55.73% |
| Forecast | 4.26 | 4.54 |
| Home Record | 36-29 | 39-26 |
| Away Record | 29-37 | 29-36 |
| MVI | NEUTRAL(4) | NEUTRAL(7) |
| DMVI | +125.43 | -106.67 |
| BET(U) | 3 | 4 |
The White Sox lead in C.O.W., forecast, and home performance. Their 4U signal is tied for the highest on the slate. Texas has a stronger DMVI gap on the positive side and a 3U signal, but its 29-37 away record is below the White Sox home mark.
MVI read: Chicago has the quantitative edge in the core matchup metrics. Both teams remain NEUTRAL.
GAME 5 : CLEVELAND @ LA ANGELS
Market: Cleveland (-158) | LA Angels (7.5)
Pitchers: Parker Messick (R) vs. George Klassen (L)
| Metric | Cleveland | LA Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | B | C |
| C.O.W. | 51.61% | 46.53% |
| Forecast | 4.18 | 3.81 |
| Home Record | 31-33 | 29-36 |
| Away Record | 34-32 | 23-43 |
| MVI | BULLISH(2) | NEUTRAL(5) |
| DMVI | -130.80 | +113.70 |
| BET(U) | 1 | 1 |
Cleveland holds the higher C.O.W., forecast, and away record. The Guardians are classified BULLISH(2), while the Angels are NEUTRAL with a 23-43 away record and the lower 3.81 forecast.
MVI read: Cleveland has the stronger directional and statistical profile. Both teams carry a 1U signal.
GAME 6 : CHICAGO CUBS @ ARIZONA
Market: Chicago Cubs (-144) | Arizona (9)
Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (R) vs. Merrill Kelly (R)
| Metric | Chicago Cubs | Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | B | B |
| C.O.W. | 49.15% | 46.88% |
| Forecast | 4.65 | 4.26 |
| Home Record | 38-27 | 38-28 |
| Away Record | 36-29 | 31-34 |
| MVI | NEUTRAL(1) | NEUTRAL(5) |
| DMVI | -121.73 | +128.67 |
| BET(U) | 3 | 4 |
The Cubs lead C.O.W. by 2.27 percentage points and have the stronger away record. Arizona carries the higher BET(U) signal at 4U and a positive DMVI of +128.67. Both teams have comparable home records, but Arizona’s 31-34 away mark is less efficient than Chicago’s 36-29 road record.
MVI read: Cubs lead the probability and road-split metrics; Arizona leads the unit signal.
GAME 7 : MINNESOTA @ OAKLAND
Market: Minnesota (-153) | Oakland (10.5)
Pitchers: Zebby Matthews (R) vs. Jeffrey Springs (L)
| Metric | Minnesota | Oakland |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | C | C |
| C.O.W. | 59.15% | 38.67% |
| Forecast | 6.22 | 5.02 |
| Home Record | 35-31 | 23-40 |
| Away Record | 28-37 | 28-40 |
| MVI | NEUTRAL(7) | BEARISH(7) |
| DMVI | -119.71 | +125.00 |
| BET(U) | 1 | 0 |
Minnesota owns the second-highest C.O.W. on the slate at 59.15% and the highest forecast at 6.22. Oakland is at 38.67%, with a 23-40 home record and a BEARISH(7) classification.
The combined forecast profile is the strongest over-leaning environment in the report, with 11.24 projected runs between the two teams.
MVI read: Minnesota leads every primary matchup metric. Oakland receives no unit signal.
GAME 8 : PHILADELPHIA @ SEATTLE
Market: Philadelphia (-120) | Seattle (6.5)
Pitchers: Zack Wheeler (R) vs. Logan Gilbert (R)
| Metric | Philadelphia | Seattle |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | B | C |
| C.O.W. | 47.47% | 53.81% |
| Forecast | 3.71 | 3.67 |
| Home Record | 38-30 | 35-30 |
| Away Record | 35-28 | 27-39 |
| MVI | BULLISH(8) | NEUTRAL(1) |
| DMVI | -149.10 | 0 |
| BET(U) | 1 | 1 |
Seattle has the higher C.O.W. by 6.34 percentage points, while Philadelphia owns the bullish classification and the stronger away record. The combined forecast of 7.38 runs is the lowest among the 10 matchups.
MVI read: Seattle leads the probability signal; Philadelphia leads the directional-value signal. This is a low-forecast, high-separation matchup.
GAME 9 : PITTSBURGH @ SAN DIEGO
Market: Pittsburgh (7.5) | San Diego (-111)
Pitchers: Braxton Ashcraft (R) vs. Robbie Ray (L)
| Metric | Pittsburgh | San Diego |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | C | B |
| C.O.W. | 48.19% | 46.11% |
| Forecast | 4.27 | 3.88 |
| Home Record | 34-32 | 40-26 |
| Away Record | 28-37 | 31-34 |
| MVI | NEUTRAL(3) | BULLISH(1) |
| DMVI | -112.94 | +104.13 |
| BET(U) | 1 | 2 |
Pittsburgh holds a narrow C.O.W. advantage, but San Diego has the superior home record at 40-26 and the higher grade. The Padres are classified BULLISH(1), while Pittsburgh remains NEUTRAL.
MVI read: Pittsburgh leads C.O.W.; San Diego leads grade, home record, and BET(U).
GAME 10 : CINCINNATI @ SAN FRANCISCO
Market: Cincinnati (-162) | San Francisco (7.5)
Pitchers: Chase Burns (R) vs. Carson Whisenhunt (L)
| Metric | Cincinnati | San Francisco |
|---|---|---|
| Grade | C | C |
| C.O.W. | 52.41% | 47.89% |
| Forecast | 4.42 | 3.51 |
| Home Record | 32-36 | 29-33 |
| Away Record | 30-33 | 22-45 |
| MVI | NEUTRAL(2) | BEARISH(4) |
| DMVI | -117.43 | +105.14 |
| BET(U) | 1 | 0 |
Cincinnati leads C.O.W. by 4.52 percentage points and has the higher forecast. San Francisco has the lowest away record in the matchup set at 22-45 and carries a BEARISH(4) classification with no BET(U) signal.
MVI read: Cincinnati controls the probability and forecast metrics. San Francisco remains the weaker directional profile.
MLB MVI SUMMARY TABLE
| Matchup | C.O.W. Edge | Forecast Edge | Bullish/Neutral/Bearish Signal | Highest BET(U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston @ Miami | Boston | Boston | Boston bullish; Miami neutral | Miami 4U |
| Tampa Bay @ Detroit | Tampa Bay | Tampa Bay | Tampa neutral; Detroit bearish | Tampa 3U |
| Colorado @ Washington | Washington | Washington | Both bearish | None |
| Texas @ White Sox | White Sox | White Sox | Both neutral | White Sox 4U |
| Cleveland @ LA Angels | Cleveland | Cleveland | Cleveland bullish | 1U each |
| Cubs @ Arizona | Cubs | Cubs | Both neutral | Arizona 4U |
| Minnesota @ Oakland | Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota neutral; Oakland bearish | Minnesota 1U |
| Philadelphia @ Seattle | Seattle | Philadelphia | Philadelphia bullish; Seattle neutral | 1U each |
| Pittsburgh @ San Diego | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh neutral; San Diego bullish | San Diego 2U |
| Cincinnati @ San Francisco | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati neutral; San Francisco bearish | Cincinnati 1U |
KEY MVI TAKEAWAYS
- Washington: highest C.O.W. at 63.64%, but BEARISH(8) and 0U. Probability and sentiment diverge.
- Minnesota: 59.15% C.O.W. and 6.22 forecast. Highest projected scoring profile.
- Chicago White Sox: 55.73% C.O.W., 4.54 forecast, and 4U.
- Seattle–Philadelphia: lowest combined forecast at 7.38 runs.
- Miami, Chicago White Sox, and Arizona: tied for the highest BET(U) value at 4U.
- Detroit, Colorado, Oakland, and San Francisco: bearish classifications with 0U.
- Bullish teams in the slate: Boston, Cleveland, Philadelphia, and San Diego.
- Market review: use the ATS Stats MLB Betting Stats & ATS Reports hub for team-level MVI, DMVI, streak, O/U, and situational data. Deep-dive pages are also available for Boston, Cleveland, Philadelphia, and San Diego.
The Raymond Report MVI chart identifies where C.O.W., forecast, pricing, and market sentiment align or separate. Monday’s primary signal is Washington’s high probability against a bearish classification, while Minnesota and the White Sox offer the strongest combination of forecast and unit indicators.
For entertainment and informational purposes only : not betting advice. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
