Royals at Guardians (-121, O/U 8)
- Days Rest: Both on zero rest.
- Royals drop one in Minnesota but send Ryan Bergert to the hill (C.O.W 52%). Offense has cooled (2-8 O/U last 10).
- Guardians stay hot with 3 straight wins and home field. Slade Cecconi gets the ball, but bullpen fatigue could be an issue.
- Edge: Guardians lean, but total screams Over with both pens stretched.
Nationals at Marlins (-132, O/U 8)
- Nats ride a mini 2-game streak, but Cade Cavalli’s inconsistency looms.
- Marlins trot out Janson Junk after stealing one from Philly — his 57% C.O.W suggests value.
- Edge: Miami chalk looks justified, though Nationals have quietly cashed dogs.
Mets (-126) at Phillies (O/U 9)
- Mets in a funk (2 straight losses), Nolan McLean trying to steady them.
- Phillies counter with Aaron Nola at Citizens Bank, where they’ve been tough.
- Both teams at full rest, both leaning Under lately.
- Edge: Phils live dog at home, Nola vs young McLean a mismatch.
Cubs (-126) at Braves (O/U 8.5)
- Cubs’ offense sputtered vs Nats, but Shota Imanaga’s 49% C.O.W steadies the ship.
- Braves just got lit up 18-2 vs Seattle — pitching staff gassed. Bryce Elder needs to stop the bleeding.
- Edge: Cubs bounce-back spot, Braves on tilt.
Brewers (-126) at Rangers (O/U 8)
- Brewers red-hot (3 wins straight) behind Jose Quintana.
- Rangers send Jacob Latz, backed by a strong 7-3 last 10 run.
- Edge: Toss-up — Brewers’ momentum vs Rangers’ home field. Could be a sneaky Under 8.
Twins at Angels (-127, O/U 9)
- Twins win behind Lorenzen yesterday, but Simeon Woods-Richardson hasn’t been reliable.
- Angels send Caden Dana — team just won vs A’s and looking sharper.
- Edge: Angels slight lean at home, Twins’ bats not traveling well.
Reds at Padres (-144, O/U 7.5)
- Reds fighting for .500, Nick Lodolo (42% C.O.W) draws Yu Darvish (56%).
- Padres off a huge 8-1 win vs Rockies.
- Edge: Padres chalk holds, especially at Petco.
Cardinals at Mariners (-231, O/U 7.5)
- Cards even up record at 72-72, Mikolas on the bump.
- Seattle just pounded ATL 18-2 with Luis Castillo — now Bryan Woo takes the ball.
- Edge: Mariners big chalk, too pricey to back straight.
D-Backs at Giants (-186, O/U 7.5)
- Zona’s Nabil Crismatt gets Logan Webb — mismatch on paper.
- Giants at home off 2 SU losses, should bounce back behind Webb.
- Edge: Giants bounce-back chalk.
Red Sox (-181) at A’s (O/U 8.5)
- Sox heating up, Garrett Crochet on the mound, bullpen steady.
- A’s counter with Luis Morales — not enough juice.
- Edge: Boston chalk + Over 8.5.
Rockies at Dodgers (-302, O/U 9)
- Rockies sink deeper (40-102), Chase Dollander tries to hold down LAD.
- Dodgers get Tyler Glasnow and home field after handling O’s.
- Edge: Dodgers smash spot. Rockies can’t hang with this lineup.
📊 Takeaways
- Chalk spots worth watching: Dodgers, Red Sox, Giants.
- Best dog shots: Phillies with Nola, Nationals sneaky live vs Miami.
- Totals: Royals/Guardians Over, Brewers/Rangers Under, Red Sox/A’s Over.
