⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Buffalo Bills ($BUF) — Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (17 Days)
🏈 Team Overview
Record: 13–5–0
O/U Record: 9–8–1
Current Streak: 2 ATS Wins
Last 7 Games: 6–1
DMVI: +1.5
Confidence Index: 66%
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (17 Days)
Current Game: vs Denver Broncos (-2 / 46)
Buffalo is operating in a classic A-grade equilibrium. Strong results, elite scoring ceilings, and consistent ATS performance — but without the market frenzy that inflates pricing too quickly.
In ATS terms:
$BUF isn’t cheap — but it isn’t overpriced either.
This is a blue-chip holding, not a meme stock.
📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)
DMVI: +1.5
This is controlled optimism.
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Market has adjusted upward — but gently
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No runaway inflation
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No panic buying from the public
Buffalo is being priced as a legitimate contender, not an automatic cover machine.
Confidence Index: 66%
Confidence is supported by:
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Sustained ATS success
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Strong scoring margins
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Ability to win both shootouts and structured games
This is earned trust, not hype-driven confidence.
🔍 PVI–SOS System Read
A-Type Road Team vs A-Type Team (Off SU Win)
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Buffalo-specific sample:
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SU: 0–0
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ATS: 0–0
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O/U: 0–0
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League-wide (Current Season):
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SU: 14–7
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ATS: 15–6
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O/U: 10–9
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System Interpretation:
A-on-A matchups reward execution, not perception. ATS edges exist, but they come from game flow and matchup efficiency — not raw power ratings.
👉 ATS STATS Read: Buffalo remains competitive ATS in elite matchups, with totals tightening as defenses dictate pace.
🧱 Situational Identity Snapshot
| Role | Record | PF | PA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Favorite | 5–2 | 29.3 | 23.3 | Reliable |
| Home Underdog | 2–0 | 38.0 | 24.0 | Explosive |
| Road Favorite | 5–3 | 25.0 | 19.3 | Disciplined |
| Road Underdog | 1–0 | 27.0 | 24.0 | Composed |
Key Takeaway:
Buffalo adapts. They don’t rely on one script — they win fast or slow, loud or quiet.
🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown
| Span | PF | PA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 24.7 | 15.0 | Sharp |
| Last 5 | 26.4 | 19.2 | Efficient |
| Last 7 | 28.1 | 19.6 | Dominant |
| Last 10 | 27.3 | 22.2 | Consistent |
| Last 15 | 27.1 | 21.2 | Sustainable |
This is playoff-ready production — controlled offense, pressure defense, and limited volatility.
🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)
Professionals are watching:
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8–2 SU as road favorites vs non-division opponents (Totals 44.5–47)
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9–2 Over as road team after AFC matchups with recent SU momentum
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15–5 ATS when favored after a narrow SU win
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Under lean in Saturday road spots after AFC matchups with defensive success
The data points to selective Overs, but only when pace is forced — otherwise totals compress.
⭐ Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (Stable A-Type)
Best Uses:
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ATS positions in competitive spreads
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Overs when total is suppressed below true scoring ceiling
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Structured favorites, especially outside division play
Avoid:
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Blind Overs in high-profile matchups
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Overpaying in inflated public spots
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Treating Buffalo like an automatic cover
📝 Final Report Card + Verdict
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | A | Legitimate |
| Cycle Strength | A | Healthy |
| DMVI | B+ | Controlled |
| Situational Edge | A | Adaptive |
| PVI–SOS | A- | Competitive |
| Betting Value | A- | Disciplined |
⭐ Final Verdict: BUY / HOLD
Buffalo doesn’t need market noise to cash tickets.
This is a team that wins within the number — and that’s exactly how long-term bettors stay profitable.
