Categories: NFL

ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The Chicago BEARS– 12/26/25

ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Chicago Bears ($CHI)Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (19 Days)


🏈 Team Overview

Record: 11–4–0
O/U Record: 7–6–2
Current Streak: 2 ATS Wins
Last 7 Games: 6–1
DMVI: +6.9
Confidence Index: 66%
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (19 Days)

Current Game: @ San Francisco 49ers (+4 / 53)
Next Game: vs Detroit

Chicago has quietly evolved into a top-tier A-grade asset, but the market still hasn’t crowned them. This is not hype-driven success — it’s production-driven. The Bears are winning, covering, and doing it with balance.

Translation: $CHI is respected… but not fully priced.


📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)

DMVI: +6.9
A positive DMVI indicates controlled market inflation:

  • Chicago is being upgraded gradually, not aggressively

  • Books are respecting results but leaving room

  • Public sentiment has not caught up to form

This is early-to-mid appreciation, not peak pricing.

Confidence Index: 66%
Strong confidence reflects:

  • Consistent ATS performance

  • Defensive reliability

  • Ability to win in multiple roles

This is earned confidence, not speculative.


🔍 PVI–SOS System Read

A-Type Road Team vs A-Type Team (Off SU Win)

Chicago-specific sample:

  • SU: 0–0

  • ATS: 0–0

  • O/U: 0–0

League-wide (Current Season):

  • SU: 10–7

  • ATS: 11–6

  • O/U: 10–6

System Read:
This is a fair but playable A-on-A spot, with ATS results slightly outperforming SU. No automatic edge — execution matters.

👉 ATS STATS view: Lean competitive ATS, totals matchup-dependent.


🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)

Role Record PF PA Read
Home Favorite 5–0 28.6 15.8 Dominant
Home Underdog 1–1 23.0 21.5 Stable
Road Favorite 1–0 47.0 42.0 Explosive
Road Underdog 4–3 21.6 27.1 Competitive

Key Takeaway:
Chicago is elite at home when favored and live on the road when discounted. Market role alignment has been excellent.


🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown

Span PF PA Read
Last 3 24.7 15.7 Sharp
Last 5 25.8 18.0 Strong
Last 7 24.6 18.1 Reliable
Last 10 26.1 21.3 Efficient
Last 15 25.8 23.6 Sustainable

This is playoff-caliber consistency. Chicago isn’t spiking — they’re stacking quality performances.


🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)

Professionals are tracking:

  • 11–6 ATS as road underdogs with a 6–1 SU run in L7

  • 7–4 O/U as road underdogs before division games

  • 3–15 Under as 10+ point road underdogs (long-term)

  • 23–36–1 Under league-wide in similar post-division road spots

Trend bias leans Under in inflated road totals, especially vs elite defenses.


⭐ Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (Strong, Not Maxed)

Best Uses:

  • Home favorite spots

  • Road underdog ATS positions

  • Unders in inflated total environments

Avoid:

  • Chasing spreads after blowout wins

  • Overconfidence in shootout expectations


📝 Final Report Card + Verdict

Category Grade Notes
Market Grade A Legitimate
Cycle Strength A- Rising
DMVI B+ Early inflation
Situational Edge A Role-aligned
PVI–SOS B+ Fair
Betting Value A- Disciplined

Final Verdict: BUY / HOLD

Chicago is no longer rebuilding — they’re performing.
The market hasn’t fully caught up, and that’s where value lives.

You don’t wait for headlines.
You read the numbers.

ATSStats.com
Where bettors become investors.

Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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