⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Pittsburgh Penguins ($PIT) — Market Grade: C | Market Sentiment: BEARISH (5 Days)
🏒 Team Overview
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Record: 14–18
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O/U Record: 16–15–1
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Current Streak: ❌ 6 Straight SU Losses
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Last 7 Games: 1–6
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DMVI: +161.5
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Confidence Index: 14%
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Market Sentiment: BEARISH (5 Days)
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Current Game: vs Ottawa Senators (+138 / 7)
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Next Game: @ Montreal
This is no longer a “slump.” This is a structural breakdown.
Pittsburgh has officially crossed into C-grade territory, and the market knows it. Pricing is unstable, confidence is gone, and this team is bleeding value faster than the public realizes. The only reason they still show up on betting cards? Brand name inertia.
From an ATS Stats perspective, this is what capital erosion looks like.
📊 1. Market Value Index Breakdown
DMVI: +161.5
This is a major red flag.
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Severe market mispricing
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Public perception ≠ on-ice reality
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Volatility is extreme
A DMVI this high doesn’t mean “value.” It means uncertainty, inefficiency, and danger. Books are adjusting nightly — and still struggling to pin this team down.
Confidence Index: 14%
That’s not low — that’s near zero trust.
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Defensive breakdowns
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Goaltending volatility
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No reliable scoring identity
This team is playing without margin for error — and making plenty of them.
🔍 2. PVI–SOS System Read
C-Type Road Team vs C-Type Opponent (Off SU Loss)
League-wide results:
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SU: 19–28
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ATS: 25–22
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O/U: 22–24
Translation:
This is coin-flip hockey with elevated variance. ATS value exists only if pricing is wrong — not because Pittsburgh is reliable.
👉 These are situational plays, not team-based plays.
🧱 3. Situational Identity
| Role | Record | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Favorite | 2–7 | 2.89 | 4.00 | 🚨 Unreliable |
| Home Underdog | 4–4 | 3.88 | 3.75 | Volatile |
| Road Favorite | 1–1 | 2.00 | 1.00 | Small sample |
| Road Underdog | 7–6 | 3.23 | 2.62 | Only playable role |
Key Takeaway:
Pittsburgh is only usable when the market gives them margin. Any expectation role = danger.
🔥 4. Performance Trend Breakdown
| Span | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 4.33 | 5.67 | Defensive collapse |
| Last 5 | 3.60 | 5.00 | No answers |
| Last 7 | 3.43 | 4.43 | Bleeding goals |
| Last 10 | 3.50 | 4.20 | Negative trend |
| Last 15 | 3.07 | 3.60 | Below-average |
Scoring hasn’t vanished — but defensive structure has. When goals against spike like this, totals and sides both become unstable.
🧠 5. System Trend Gold (ATS STATS Members)
This is where selective value still exists:
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12–1 ATS as Away Underdogs this season
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13–2 ATS as road dogs in December on Thursdays
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7–3 ATS as road dogs with total set at 6.0
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Strong ATS response after low-scoring losses
📌 Important: These are system-driven, not team-driven edges.
📘 6. Season Log Notes
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Heavy recent losses vs Oilers, Sharks, Canadiens
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Defensive lapses late in games
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Totals skew Over due to GA spikes
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Road spots offer better ATS value than home ice
Pittsburgh doesn’t protect leads — they chase games.
⭐ 7. Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ⭐⭐☆☆☆ (Situational Only)
Best Uses:
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Road Underdog ATS
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Short-term bounce-back spots
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Select Overs when totals lag GA trends
Avoid:
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Home favorite roles
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Moneylines
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Blind “name brand” plays
📝 8. Final Report Card
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | C | Structural issues |
| Cycle Strength | D | Losing momentum |
| DMVI | F | Extreme volatility |
| Situational Edge | C+ | Role-dependent |
| PVI–SOS | C | No edge baseline |
| Betting Value | C- | Narrow windows only |
⭐ Final Verdict: SELL / AVOID (Except System Spots)
The Penguins are no longer an asset — they’re a liability unless the market hands you a reason to engage.
This is how disciplined bettors survive cold markets —
and exactly why ATSStats.com exists.
Where bettors become investors.
