Categories: NHL

ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The Dallas Stars โ€“ 12/04/25

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โญ ATS STATS โ€“ Team Grading Report

Dallas Stars ($DAL) โ€” Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: BULLISH (20 Days)


๐Ÿ’ Team Overview

  • Record: 18โ€“10
  • O/U Record: 12โ€“15โ€“1
  • Current SU Streak: 1 Loss
  • Last 7 Games: 5โ€“2
  • DMVI: 117 (Massive undervaluation signal)
  • Confidence Index: 71%
  • Market Sentiment: BULLISH (20 Days)
  • Current Game: @ New Jersey Devils (-111 / 6)
  • Next Game: vs San Jose

Dallas is one of the most dangerous A-type teams in the NHL right now because their analytics and betting value profile match their results.

They score in bunches, play structured hockey, and dominate in underdog roles โ€” the kind of team pros love but casual bettors still undervalue.


๐Ÿ“Š 1. Market Value Index Breakdown

DMVI: 117

This is astronomically strong.
A DMVI above 80 is rare โ€” Dallas is at 117.

It means:

โœ” The market continues to undervalue their dominance
โœ” The Stars outperform their price
โœ” Sentiment + performance + pricing = convergence zone

This is the ideal A-team profile.

20-Day Bullish Cycle

Long Bullish cycles in the NHL mean:

  • Sustained profitability
  • No sharp regression signals
  • Books havenโ€™t adjusted fast enough

Dallas is in full control of its market health.

Confidence Index: 71%

One of the highest of all teams youโ€™ve graded so far.


๐Ÿ” 2. PVIโ€“SOS System Trends (ATS STATS Exclusive)

Team-Specific Trend

Dallas as Road Team vs A-type Opponent off SU Loss:
No sample โ†’ neutral.

League-Level Trend

Any A-type Road Team vs A-type Opponent off SU Loss:

  • SU: 4โ€“0
  • ATS: 3โ€“1
  • O/U: 2โ€“2

Thatโ€™s strong.
Dallas fits a trend that suggests:

โœ” Elite teams bounce back
โœ” Road A-teams are excellent in these spots
โœ” Predictable, structured hockey emerges

Exactly what Dallas plays.


๐Ÿงฑ 3. Situational Team Identity

Dallas has one of the most balanced situational profiles of any NHL team.

Home Favorite: 8โ€“5

GF: 3.31 โ€” GA: 2.77
Stable, controlled, and profitable.

Road Favorite: 4โ€“3

GF: 2.86 โ€” GA: 2.71
Lower scoring but extremely reliable.

Road Underdog: 6โ€“2

GF: 4.38 โ€” GA: 2.38

This is their superpower.

Dallas is the best elite underdog team in hockey.
They score more, allow less, and dominate pace.


๐Ÿ”ฅ 4. Performance Trend Breakdown

Sample GF GA Interpretation
Last 3 4.0 2.33 Top-tier form
Last 5 4.6 2.4 Elite offense zone
Last 7 4.14 2.43 Sustainable production
Last 10 4.3 2.1 Peak dominance
Last 15 4.13 2.53 Long-term reliability

Dallas is extremely rare โ€” their scoring consistency hardly ever drops off.

This is exactly what creates:

  • High SU reliability
  • High ATS reliability
  • High ML parlay dependability

This is an A+ team profile.


๐Ÿง  5. Elite System Trends for Dallas

  • 14โ€“4 ATS as road underdog before a conference game (last 3 years)
  • 9โ€“3โ€“2 O/U as road team, total 6, after scoring โ‰ค2 goals
  • 19โ€“6 ATS as underdog with 4โ€“1 SU in last 5
  • 16โ€“7 ATS in complex road underdog fatigue scenario (league-wide)
  • 9โ€“2 ATS as December road underdog (last 6 years)

These are powerhouse trends.
Dallas thrives as a dog and remains profitable as a favorite.

This flexibility is extremely rare.


๐Ÿ“˜ 6. Season Log Analysis โ€” Why Dallas Is Special

The game log shows:

โœ” No long-term slump
โœ” No extended scoring drought
โœ” Minimal injury-related volatility

Theyโ€™ve beaten quality teams:

  • Ottawa (6โ€“1)
  • Edmonton (8โ€“3)
  • Calgary (3โ€“2)
  • Vancouver (4โ€“2)
  • Rangers, Devils, Flyers

Their road performances are especially dominant, which is unusual for NHL teams.

This is why Dallas maintains A-grade status.


๐Ÿ”ฅ 7. Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜… (Premium A-Team)

Best Markets:

  • ATS as underdog
  • SU/ML parlay anchor
  • Overs in road games
  • Team Total Over

Risk Level:

Low to moderate โ€” depending on goalie matchup, but overall stable.

Bottom Line:

Dallas is one of the highest-value teams in the NHL.


๐Ÿ“ 8. Final Report Card

Category Grade Notes
Market Grade A Elite price-to-performance
Cycle Strength A Long Bullish trend
DMVI A+ Top 1% undervalued signal
Situational Edges A Dominant as underdog
PVIโ€“SOS Strength A- Strong league-level alignment
Betting Value A+ Fire emoji team

โญ Final Verdict: BUY AGGRESSIVELY

Dallas is an A++ market health team.
Their scoring, consistency, road dominance, and underdog profile make them one of the most profitable teams in hockey right now.

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Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ronโ€™s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ronโ€™s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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