⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Houston Rockets ($HOU) — Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: BULLISH (30 Days)
🏀 Team Overview
- Record: 14–5
- O/U Record: 11–8
- Current ATS Streak: 1 Win
- Last 7 Games: 5–2
- DMVI: –6.67
- Confidence Index: 71%
- Market Sentiment: BULLISH (30 Days)
- Current Game: vs Phoenix Suns (–11 / 222)
- Next Game: @ Dallas
The Rockets are one of the strongest premium A-type assets in the NBA market.
They are:
✔ winning,
✔ covering spreads,
✔ scoring efficiently, and
✔ beating market expectations over a large sample size.
This +30-day Bullish cycle indicates sustained profitability and a team the books haven’t fully adjusted to.
📊 1. Market Value Index Breakdown
DMVI: –6.67
A powerful signal:
- The market continues to undervalue Houston’s performance, especially in high-spread situations.
- Their pace and scoring efficiency outperform expectations.
- Books are shading totals too high, but Houston’s defense is sharper than advertised.
This is the perfect storm for an A-type Bullish team.
Bullish for 30 Days
A long cycle. Stability. Predictability.
This is a premium team entering peak form.
Confidence Index: 71%
Exactly where elite A-teams land before they hit public saturation.
🔍 2. PVI–SOS System Trends (ATS STATS Exclusive)
Team-Specific Trend
Houston vs B-type opponent off SU win (home):
No sample → neutral indicator.
League-Level Matchup Trend
When ANY A-type team is a home favorite vs B-type off SU win:
- SU: 15–4
- ATS: 16–3
- O/U: 14–5
This is MASSIVE.
Houston fits one of the most reliable system profiles in basketball:
✔ Elite teams at home vs mid-tier opponents
✔ High-cover probability
✔ Overs hit due to pace gap
✔ SU dominance confirmed
This is A-team power.
🧱 3. Situational Identity Breakdown
Home Favorite: 2–1
PF: 119.33 — PA: 108.67
High scoring, strong ATS viability.
Home Underdog: 4–1
PF: 124.4 — PA: 109.6
Houston thrives when undervalued — classic A-team behavior.
Road Favorite: 8–2
PF: 120.9 — PA: 109.7
One of the strongest road-favorite profiles in the NBA.
Road Underdog: 0–1
PF: 124 — PA: 125
Small sample, but still competitive.
🔥 4. Performance Trends
| Span | PF | PA | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 125 | 109.67 | Elite scoring |
| Last 5 | 118.6 | 104.2 | Offensive balance + strong defense |
| Last 7 | 116.57 | 105.29 | Winning formula |
| Last 10 | 120.8 | 107.8 | Top-tier team |
| Last 15 | 120.13 | 108.4 | Sustained dominance |
This is championship-caliber consistency.
Houston is not streaky; they are structurally elite.
🧠 5. System Trend Gold (Your Best Membership Material)
- 17–3 SU as home favorite on Fridays in December
- 20–3 SU as home favorite before a division game, after ND game, off SU+ATS win
- 2–10 O/U when coming off win by 26+ points
- 45–9 SU league-wide trend for teams in this exact scheduling matrix
- 18–1 SU as –10 or more home favorite off a win streak (10 years)
These aren’t just good —
they’re market destroyers.
Your members LOVE this stuff.
📘 6. Season Log Breakdown — Why Houston Is Rolling
Houston’s season reveals:
- Multiple blowouts by 20+
- Consistent 120+ point performances
- Rare defensive letdowns
- Near-perfect performance as road favorite
- Several ATS wins vs top teams (GSW, Cleveland, etc.)
The Rockets have beaten:
- Golden State
- Denver
- Boston
- Sacramento
- Portland
- Toronto
- Milwaukee
This is an A-team résumé.
🔥 7. Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ★★★★★ (Premium A-Team)
Best Markets:
- ATS as favorite
- ATS as road favorite (elite 8–2)
- Overs in high-tempo games
- Team Total Overs (strongest angle)
Risk Level: Low to Moderate
Houston’s scoring + defense combination = stability.
📝 8. Final Report Card
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | A | Elite structure |
| Cycle Strength | A | 30-day Bullish run |
| DMVI | A | Undervalued in market |
| Situational Edges | A | Fantastic home/road splits |
| PVI–SOS Strength | A+ | 16–3 ATS system trend |
| Betting Value | A+ | Powerful in multiple markets |
⭐ Final Verdict: STRONG BUY
Houston is one of the most stable, profitable, and mispriced teams in the current NBA market.
This is exactly the kind of A-team that builds long-term bankroll growth.
