Categories: NBA

ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The Houston Rockets– 12/05/25

 

ATS STATS – Team Grading Report

Houston Rockets ($HOU) — Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: BULLISH (30 Days)


🏀 Team Overview

  • Record: 14–5
  • O/U Record: 11–8
  • Current ATS Streak: 1 Win
  • Last 7 Games: 5–2
  • DMVI: –6.67
  • Confidence Index: 71%
  • Market Sentiment: BULLISH (30 Days)
  • Current Game: vs Phoenix Suns (–11 / 222)
  • Next Game: @ Dallas

The Rockets are one of the strongest premium A-type assets in the NBA market.
They are:
✔ winning,
✔ covering spreads,
✔ scoring efficiently, and
✔ beating market expectations over a large sample size.

This +30-day Bullish cycle indicates sustained profitability and a team the books haven’t fully adjusted to.


📊 1. Market Value Index Breakdown

DMVI: –6.67

A powerful signal:

  • The market continues to undervalue Houston’s performance, especially in high-spread situations.
  • Their pace and scoring efficiency outperform expectations.
  • Books are shading totals too high, but Houston’s defense is sharper than advertised.

This is the perfect storm for an A-type Bullish team.

Bullish for 30 Days

A long cycle. Stability. Predictability.

This is a premium team entering peak form.

Confidence Index: 71%

Exactly where elite A-teams land before they hit public saturation.


🔍 2. PVI–SOS System Trends (ATS STATS Exclusive)

Team-Specific Trend

Houston vs B-type opponent off SU win (home):
No sample → neutral indicator.

League-Level Matchup Trend

When ANY A-type team is a home favorite vs B-type off SU win:

  • SU: 15–4
  • ATS: 16–3
  • O/U: 14–5

This is MASSIVE.

Houston fits one of the most reliable system profiles in basketball:

✔ Elite teams at home vs mid-tier opponents
✔ High-cover probability
✔ Overs hit due to pace gap
✔ SU dominance confirmed

This is A-team power.


🧱 3. Situational Identity Breakdown

Home Favorite: 2–1

PF: 119.33 — PA: 108.67
High scoring, strong ATS viability.

Home Underdog: 4–1

PF: 124.4 — PA: 109.6
Houston thrives when undervalued — classic A-team behavior.

Road Favorite: 8–2

PF: 120.9 — PA: 109.7
One of the strongest road-favorite profiles in the NBA.

Road Underdog: 0–1

PF: 124 — PA: 125
Small sample, but still competitive.


🔥 4. Performance Trends

Span PF PA Interpretation
Last 3 125 109.67 Elite scoring
Last 5 118.6 104.2 Offensive balance + strong defense
Last 7 116.57 105.29 Winning formula
Last 10 120.8 107.8 Top-tier team
Last 15 120.13 108.4 Sustained dominance

This is championship-caliber consistency.

Houston is not streaky; they are structurally elite.


🧠 5. System Trend Gold (Your Best Membership Material)

  • 17–3 SU as home favorite on Fridays in December
  • 20–3 SU as home favorite before a division game, after ND game, off SU+ATS win
  • 2–10 O/U when coming off win by 26+ points
  • 45–9 SU league-wide trend for teams in this exact scheduling matrix
  • 18–1 SU as –10 or more home favorite off a win streak (10 years)

These aren’t just good —
they’re market destroyers.

Your members LOVE this stuff.


📘 6. Season Log Breakdown — Why Houston Is Rolling

Houston’s season reveals:

  • Multiple blowouts by 20+
  • Consistent 120+ point performances
  • Rare defensive letdowns
  • Near-perfect performance as road favorite
  • Several ATS wins vs top teams (GSW, Cleveland, etc.)

The Rockets have beaten:

  • Golden State
  • Denver
  • Boston
  • Sacramento
  • Portland
  • Toronto
  • Milwaukee

This is an A-team résumé.


🔥 7. Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: ★★★★★ (Premium A-Team)

Best Markets:

  • ATS as favorite
  • ATS as road favorite (elite 8–2)
  • Overs in high-tempo games
  • Team Total Overs (strongest angle)

Risk Level: Low to Moderate

Houston’s scoring + defense combination = stability.


📝 8. Final Report Card

Category Grade Notes
Market Grade A Elite structure
Cycle Strength A 30-day Bullish run
DMVI A Undervalued in market
Situational Edges A Fantastic home/road splits
PVI–SOS Strength A+ 16–3 ATS system trend
Betting Value A+ Powerful in multiple markets

Final Verdict: STRONG BUY

Houston is one of the most stable, profitable, and mispriced teams in the current NBA market.

This is exactly the kind of A-team that builds long-term bankroll growth.


 

Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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