⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Memphis Grizzlies ($MEM) — Market Grade: C | Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (6 Days)
🏀 Team Overview
Record: 14–16–0
O/U Record: 11–19–0
Current Streak: 1 ATS Win
Last 7 Games: 4–3
DMVI: −4.86
Confidence Index: 57%
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (6 Days)
Current Game: vs Milwaukee Bucks (+5 / 226)
Next Game: at Washington
Memphis is the definition of a C-grade volatility asset. The win–loss record says mediocrity, but the underlying scoring profile tells a different story: this team can score in bunches, defend in spurts, and swing games wildly depending on matchup and pace.
Translation: $MEM is dangerous — but unreliable.
📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)
DMVI: −4.86
A slightly negative DMVI suggests mild market discounting:
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Memphis is not being chased by bettors
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Pricing remains reactionary, not predictive
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The market is unsure how to value their offense-heavy profile
This is not a value spike — it’s uncertainty pricing.
Confidence Index: 57%
Moderate confidence reflects:
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Competitive recent form (6–4 last 10)
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Defensive lapses that prevent trust
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High variance game-to-game results
This is conditional confidence, not conviction.
🔍 PVI–SOS System Read
C-Type Home Team vs C-Type Team (Off SU Win)
Memphis sample (Last 10):
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SU: 0–0
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ATS: 0–0
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O/U: 0–0
League-wide C-Type results (Current Season):
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SU: 13–12
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ATS: 19–6
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O/U: 15–9
System Read:
This is a quietly strong ATS environment for C-type home teams. Memphis fits structurally — execution becomes the deciding factor.
👉 ATS STATS view: Undervalued ATS profile, matchup dependent.
🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)
| Role | Record | PF | PA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Favorite | N/A | — | — | No sample |
| Home Underdog | 6–8 | 117.2 | 115.6 | Competitive |
| Road Favorite | 8–8 | 113.1 | 116.8 | Leaky |
| Road Underdog | N/A | — | — | No sample |
Key Takeaway:
Memphis competes best when expectations are low. As soon as pricing rises, defensive cracks appear.
🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown
| Span | PF | PA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 120.7 | 125.7 | Chaotic |
| Last 5 | 119.8 | 118.0 | High variance |
| Last 7 | 120.6 | 116.6 | Offense-led |
| Last 10 | 118.5 | 114.7 | Slight edge |
| Last 15 | 118.9 | 113.3 | Sustainable offense |
The trend is clear: Memphis games are pace-driven. Defense does not dictate outcomes — shot volume does.
🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)
Professionals are monitoring these home-focused edges:
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11–1 SU as −3.5 to −6.0 home favorites with 2 days rest (last 5 years)
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11–2 ATS at home before a non-division game after a conference win
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12–2 SU as home favorites with L7 SU = 4–3 (last 3 years)
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93–39 SU league-wide in similar December home rest spots
These trends highlight situational upside, not baseline strength.
⭐ Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ (Situational / ATS Only)
Best Uses:
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Home ATS plays with rest advantage
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Overs in pace-positive matchups
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Short-term buy-low spots vs slower teams
Avoid:
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Blind road support
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Expecting defensive consistency
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Back-to-back fatigue spots
📝 Final Report Card + Verdict
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | C | Volatile |
| Cycle Strength | C+ | Inconsistent |
| DMVI | C | Fairly priced |
| Situational Edge | B- | Spot driven |
| PVI–SOS | B | ATS-friendly |
| Betting Value | C+ | Selective |
⭐ Final Verdict: HOLD / SELECTIVE PLAY
Memphis is not a team you trust — it’s a team you time.
When conditions align, they deliver. When they don’t, they burn bankrolls.
That’s exactly why ATSStats.com exists.
Where bettors become investors.
