ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The Dallas Stars – 12/26/25

⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Memphis Grizzlies ($MEM) — Market Grade: C | Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (6 Days)

🏀 Team Overview

Record: 14–16–0
O/U Record: 11–19–0
Current Streak: 1 ATS Win
Last 7 Games: 4–3
DMVI: −4.86
Confidence Index: 57%
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (6 Days)

Current Game: vs Milwaukee Bucks (+5 / 226)
Next Game: at Washington

Memphis is the definition of a C-grade volatility asset. The win–loss record says mediocrity, but the underlying scoring profile tells a different story: this team can score in bunches, defend in spurts, and swing games wildly depending on matchup and pace.

Translation: $MEM is dangerous — but unreliable.

📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)

DMVI: −4.86
A slightly negative DMVI suggests mild market discounting:

• Memphis is not being chased by bettors

• Pricing remains reactionary, not predictive

• The market is unsure how to value their offense-heavy profile

This is not a value spike — it’s uncertainty pricing.

Confidence Index: 57%
Moderate confidence reflects:

• Competitive recent form (6–4 last 10)

• Defensive lapses that prevent trust

• High variance game-to-game results

This is conditional confidence, not conviction.

🔍 PVI–SOS System Read

C-Type Home Team vs C-Type Team (Off SU Win)

Memphis sample (Last 10):

• SU: 0–0

• ATS: 0–0

• O/U: 0–0

League-wide C-Type results (Current Season):

• SU: 13–12

• ATS: 19–6

• O/U: 15–9

System Read:
This is a quietly strong ATS environment for C-type home teams. Memphis fits structurally — execution becomes the deciding factor.

👉 ATS STATS view: Undervalued ATS profile, matchup dependent.

🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)

Key Takeaway:
Memphis competes best when expectations are low. As soon as pricing rises, defensive cracks appear.

🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown

The trend is clear: Memphis games are pace-driven. Defense does not dictate outcomes — shot volume does.

🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)

Professionals are monitoring these home-focused edges:

• 11–1 SU as −3.5 to −6.0 home favorites with 2 days rest (last 5 years)

• 11–2 ATS at home before a non-division game after a conference win

• 12–2 SU as home favorites with L7 SU = 4–3 (last 3 years)

• 93–39 SU league-wide in similar December home rest spots

These trends highlight situational upside, not baseline strength.

⭐ Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ (Situational / ATS Only)

Best Uses:

• Home ATS plays with rest advantage

• Overs in pace-positive matchups

• Short-term buy-low spots vs slower teams

Avoid:

• Blind road support

• Expecting defensive consistency

• Back-to-back fatigue spots

📝 Final Report Card + Verdict

⭐ Final Verdict: HOLD / SELECTIVE PLAY

Memphis is not a team you trust — it’s a team you time.
When conditions align, they deliver. When they don’t, they burn bankrolls.

That’s exactly why ATSStats.com exists.
Where bettors become investors.