Detroit is stuck in the mud — not sinking, but spinning. Their offense can explode for 40+ one week and score 16 the next. Their defense lets opponents hang around, increasing volatility and turning them into a high-risk, high-reward B-team.
The market has been Neutral for almost two months because books can’t reliably price Detroit — and neither can the public.
This is where ATS Stats provides the edge.
A –4 score usually indicates:
✔ Strong ATS potential when undervalued
✖ Declining performance when asked to cover bigger spreads
This tracks perfectly with Detroit’s 3-game ATS losing streak. They’re no longer sneaking up on anybody.
Neutral cycles scream uncertainty — not necessarily bad, but unreliable.
Public bettors lose the most money on Neutral teams because they don’t identify the pattern. Your members will.
This is a yellow flag.
The team is in an identity transition.
Detroit as Home Team vs B-Type Opponent Coming Off a SU Loss (Last 10):
Neutral indicator.
Any B-Type Home Team vs B-Type Opponent Coming Off a SU Loss:
This is the key takeaway:
B-vs-B games trend Under at extreme levels.
Combine that with Detroit’s defensive volatility and Dallas’ physical style?
This trend matters.
Detroit’s situational profile is a tale of two teams:
PF: 26.5 — PA: 23.5
Not reliable, nearly coin-flip ATS.
PF: 43 — PA: 15.5
Elite in the dog role — they play looser, more aggressive.
PF: 27.75 — PA: 25.75
High scoring, low stability.
PF: 23.5 — PA: 23
Neutral — fits their market sentiment.
| Sample | PF | PA | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| L3 | 22.33 | 24.67 | Getting outscored — ATS risk |
| L5 | 27 | 24.6 | Offense producing, defense leaking |
| L7 | 25.14 | 23.14 | Slight positive scoring margin |
| L10 | 28.5 | 22.6 | Peak Detroit — big-scoring windows |
| L15 | 29.17 | 22.83 | Highest scoring profile of any B-team |
Detroit remains a top-tier scoring offense, but their defense creates ATS inconsistency. They can beat anyone — or melt your ticket — depending on game state.
These trends are gold for bettors:
Their biggest historical Over trend contradicts the PVI–SOS Under trend.
This creates a rare market conflict, and bettors will trip over it without proper guidance.
Detroit opened 3–1 with high-scoring blowouts (52 vs CHI, 37 vs CIN).
The offense looked unstoppable.
Losses vs Minnesota & Philadelphia exposed defensive leaks.
Detroit is 2–3 SU and 1–4 ATS in their last 5.
Scoring remains strong, but defensive reliability has dropped sharply.
They are becoming a public favorite with declining ATS value — the most dangerous category in sports betting.
This is not a team to trust blindly.
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | B | High ceiling, low ATS reliability |
| Cycle Strength | C | 53-day Neutral cycle |
| DMVI | A- | Strong value when undervalued |
| Situational Edges | B | Dog role strong; fav role shaky |
| PVI–SOS Strength | A | Heavy Under in B-vs-B |
| Betting Value | C+ | Good in specific situations only |
Detroit is a volatile, high-scoring B-team whose defensive inconsistency makes them unreliable against the spread.
Great in the dog role.
Avoid as chalk.
Target totals strategically.
⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report Houston Texans ($HOU) — Market Grade: B…
⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report Denver Broncos ($DEN) — Market Grade: A…
⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report New England Patriots ($NE) — Market Grade: A…
The NHL schedule offers a strong slate of games today, defined by a distinct market…
The NBA slate is small today, but the injury reports are huge, creating massive situational…
The NFL ATS market continues to tilt in favor of the underdog (62.5% DOG last…