⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Philadelphia Flyers ($PHI) — Market Grade: B | Market Sentiment: BEARISH (2 Days)
🏒 Team Overview
Record: 16–15–0
O/U Record: 14–15–2
Current Streak: 3 SU Losses
Last 7 Games: 2–5
DMVI: +153.33
Confidence Index: 28%
Market Sentiment: BEARISH (2 Days)
Current Game: @ Montreal Canadiens (+105 / 6)
Next Game: @ Buffalo
Philadelphia is currently trading in a short-term bearish pocket, but this is not a collapse scenario. The Flyers remain a B-type team whose market value is being temporarily discounted due to recent losses and declining confidence.
This is the kind of profile that punishes casual fades and rewards disciplined situational bettors.
📊 1. Market Value Index Breakdown
DMVI: +153.33
This number stands out — and not by accident.
It tells us:
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The Flyers are materially undervalued
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Market sentiment has swung faster than performance
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Sharp money begins paying attention here
High DMVI + Bearish sentiment = mispricing risk for sportsbooks.
Confidence Index: 28%
Low confidence reflects:
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Recent SU losses
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Inconsistent scoring
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Public hesitation
But low confidence does not equal low ATS value — especially for a B-type team.
🔍 2. PVI–SOS System Read
B-Type Road Team vs B-Type Opponent (Off SU Loss)
League-wide:
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SU: 7–4
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ATS: 9–2
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O/U: 3–8
This is a quietly strong ATS profile.
When similar teams meet after a loss, the market consistently over-penalizes the road side.
👉 Translation: this is a buy-low system, not a stay-away.
🧱 3. Situational Identity
| Role | Record | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Favorite | 7–2 | 3.00 | 2.11 | Reliable |
| Home Underdog | 3–7 | 3.00 | 3.20 | Volatile |
| Road Underdog | 6–6 | 2.92 | 3.08 | Competitive |
Key Takeaway:
Philadelphia is far more stable on the road than the market assumes, especially when priced as an underdog.
🔥 4. Performance Trend Breakdown
| Span | GF | GA | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 2.33 | 3.33 | Slumping |
| Last 5 | 2.60 | 2.80 | Competitive losses |
| Last 7 | 2.71 | 3.00 | Slight regression |
| Last 10 | 3.20 | 2.90 | Balanced |
| Last 15 | 3.20 | 3.13 | Stable |
The Flyers are not getting blown out — they’re losing margin games, which is exactly where ATS value is born.
🧠 5. System Trend Gold (ATS STATS Members)
This is where Philadelphia quietly shines:
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22–5 ATS as Road Underdogs in December (last 4 years)
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16–3 ATS as Road Dogs vs Non-Division Opponents in December
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8–2 ATS after losing by exactly 1 goal
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36–20 ATS in multi-game road fatigue spots league-wide
These are investor-grade trends, not public narratives.
📘 6. Season Log Notes
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Competitive games vs Carolina, Vegas, Florida
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Strong road scoring stretches despite losses
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Totals lean Under during losing streaks
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Flyers respond well after short losing runs
This team does not spiral — it resets.
⭐ 7. Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (Situational Buy)
Best Uses:
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Road Underdog ATS
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December road spots
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Bounce-back games after 1-goal losses
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Totals Under during bearish sentiment windows
Avoid:
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Home Underdog roles
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Chasing SU wins
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Overconfidence in short-term form
📝 8. Final Report Card
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | B | Still viable |
| Cycle Strength | B– | Short-term dip |
| DMVI | A | Strong mispricing |
| Situational Edge | A– | Road value |
| PVI–SOS | B+ | System-friendly |
| Betting Value | A– | Buy low |
⭐ Final Verdict: BUY (Selective)
Philadelphia is not broken — it’s discounted.
This is a team that rewards patience, situational discipline, and bettors who understand market cycles.
Exactly the kind of edge ATSStats.com is built to exploit.
Where bettors become investors.
