ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The Phoenix SUNS – 12/26/25

⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
Phoenix Suns ($PHX) — Market Grade: B | Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (8 Days)

🏀 Team Overview

Record: 16–13
O/U Record: 14–14–1
Current Streak: 2 Overs
Last 7 Games: 3–4
DMVI: −2.5
Confidence Index: 42%
Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL (8 Days)

Current Game: @ New Orleans Pelicans (−5 / 240)
Next Game: at New Orleans

Phoenix remains a mid-cycle B-type asset — capable of strong bursts, but lacking sustained momentum. The market is no longer fading them aggressively, yet it’s not rewarding them either. This is a classic range-bound team living between buy and sell.

Translation: $PHX is tradable — not investable.

📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)

DMVI: −2.5
This near-flat DMVI suggests:

• Minor market deflation, not a selloff

• Oddsmakers holding steady expectations

• No urgency from sharp or public money

Phoenix is priced accurately — which is usually bad news for bettors hunting edges.

Confidence Index: 42%
Low-to-moderate confidence reflects:

• Inconsistent defensive effort

• Poor recent ATS rhythm

• Heavy reliance on game script (pace + shooting)

This is not a conviction profile.

🔍 PVI–SOS System Read

B-Type Road Team vs C-Type Opponent (Off SU Win)

Phoenix-specific sample:

• SU: 0–0

• ATS: 0–0

• O/U: 0–0

League-wide (Current Season):

• SU: 12–9

• ATS: 12–9

• O/U: 10–10

System Read:
This is a neutral-to-slightly-positive structure, offering opportunity only if pricing misaligns. No automatic edge.

👉 ATS STATS view: Situational playable, not a system lock.

🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)

Key Takeaway:
Phoenix struggles defensively on the road when favored. This is where market expectations exceed execution.

🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown

Offense flashes — defense leaks. That combo keeps Phoenix stuck in neutral.

🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)

Professionals are monitoring:

• 14–3 SU as 3.5–6 road favorites vs conference opponents (last 4 years)

• 9–3 SU as road favorites after division games vs West opponents

• 8–2 SU as road favorites after 24+ point wins

• Over 11–1 when playing at New Orleans (last 5 years)

These trends lean situational Over, not side dominance.

⭐ Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: ⭐⭐½☆☆ (Situational Only)

Best Uses:

• Totals when pace aligns

• Short road favorite spots vs weak defenses

• Over plays tied to opponent profile

Avoid:

• Blind ATS trust

• Road favorite spots vs disciplined teams

• Long holding periods

📝 Final Report Card + Verdict

⭐ Final Verdict: HOLD / TRADE

Phoenix is not broken — but it’s not building value either.
They reward timing and context, not loyalty.

That’s why serious players don’t bet teams —
they trade them.

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