⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
San Francisco 49ers ($S.F.) — Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: BULLISH (1 Day)
🏈 Team Overview
Record: 9–4
O/U Record: 6–5–2
Current ATS Streak: 3 Wins
Last 7 Games: 5–2
DMVI: –3.29
Confidence Index: 100%
Market Sentiment: BULLISH (1 Day)
Current Game: @ Cleveland Browns (–5 / 35)
Next Game: vs Tennessee
The 49ers are a premium A-type asset with a strong market profile and one of the best “road favorite” identities in the NFL. Their consistency, scoring stability, and defensive integrity make them one of the most undervalued elite teams in the league — even at 9–4.
They are:
✔ winning consistently
✔ outperforming the spread
✔ strong in high-pressure road environments
✔ trending upward defensively and offensively
This fresh Bullish cycle signals that the market momentum is shifting back toward their true performance ceiling.
📊 1. Market Value Index Breakdown
DMVI: –3.29
Interpretation:
- San Francisco is slightly undervalued, a major advantage for an elite A-team.
- Market has not fully priced in their road dominance (6–1 SU).
- Books are shading totals low in 49ers games — but projected scoring remains higher than expected.
BULLISH (1 Day)
- Early-cycle bullish teams are often the most profitable — the public hasn’t caught on yet.
- Their ATS momentum (3 straight covers) aligns perfectly with this cycle launch.
Confidence Index: 100%
The highest stability rating possible.
The 49ers are a fully trusted asset.
🔍 2. PVI–SOS System Trends (ATS STATS Exclusive)
Team-Specific Trend
49ers as a road team vs C-type off a SU win:
No recent sample → neutral indicator.
League-Level Matchup Trend (The TRUE edge)
When ANY A-type team plays road favorite vs C-type off a SU win:
- SU: 19–4
- ATS: 14–9
- O/U: 10–12
This is a clear advantage:
✔ A-type road favorites dominate outright
✔ Solid ATS cover probability
✔ Totals lean slightly Under due to defensive mismatches
San Francisco fits this profile perfectly.
🧱 3. Situational Identity Breakdown
Home Favorite: 1–0
PF: 20 — PA: 9
Small sample, but elite defensive performance.
Home Underdog: 2–2
PF: 20.75 — PA: 23.25
Balanced, but vulnerable defensively.
Road Favorite: 6–1
PF: 27 — PA: 20.14
This is the 49ers’ strongest role and one of the best profiles in the entire NFL.
Road Underdog: 0–1
PF: 15 — PA: 26
Unreliable as a road dog — avoid.
San Francisco thrives when they dictate the pace and expectations.
🔥 4. Performance Trends
| Span | PF | PA | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 29.0 | 24.33 | Strong offense, soft defense |
| Last 5 | 27.2 | 24.6 | High-scoring profile |
| Last 7 | 25.0 | 23.29 | Stable offensive identity |
| Last 10 | 23.8 | 22.7 | Balanced + efficient |
| Last 15 | 23.42 | 21.75 | Long-term consistency |
San Francisco’s scoring patterns show:
✔ Reliable offensive output
✔ Defense slightly weaker in short-term samples
✔ Ideal matchup for Over bettors when total is set low
Overall, very stable team scoring curves.
🧠 5. System Trend Gold (Premium Membership Value)
These ATS STATS database trends are elite:
- 9–1 SU as road team in November vs 21–30% opponents
- 27–9 SU as road favorite after NFC opponent + win over NFC South
- 9–3 SU as road favorite with ≤1 Under coming off win by ≤11
- 17–5 SU league-wide system for teams in exact same Week 12–16 road-favorite scenario
- 9–3 O/U as road team after a conference game (last 2 years)
These are A-team system alignments, confirming San Francisco’s premium market structure.
📘 6. Season Log Breakdown — What Makes the 49ers Elite
The 49ers’ season résumé shows:
- Multiple key road wins vs playoff opponents
- High-efficiency offense regardless of venue
- Strong ATS performance in expected win roles
- Clear scoring consistency: rarely below 20
- Increased defensive scoring allowed in last 3–5 games
- Road dominance (6–1 SU) separating them from the pack
San Francisco represents the perfect blend of stability + upside.
🔥 7. Betting Value Assessment
Value Rating: ★★★★★ (Full Premium A-Team)
Best Markets:
- ATS as road favorite (6–1 SU)
- Overs when totals are set abnormally low (like 35 this week)
- Team Totals Over in dome or warm-weather environments
- SU market vs below-average teams
Risk Level: Low
This is one of the safest A-teams in the NFL marketplace.
📝 8. Final Report Card
| Category | Grade | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Grade | A | Elite asset |
| Cycle Strength | A | Bullish start |
| DMVI | A– | Slight undervaluation |
| Situational Edges | A | Road-favorite dominance |
| PVI–SOS Strength | A– | Strong system backing |
| Betting Value | A | Best-in-class road profile |
⭐ Final Verdict: STRONG BUY
San Francisco is a premium A-grade team with undervalued market edges, elite road performance, and high-confidence system alignment. Top-tier investment target.
