Categories: NFL

ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The San Francisco 49ers – 12/05/25

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⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report

San Francisco 49ers ($S.F.) β€” Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: BULLISH (1 Day)


🏈 Team Overview

Record: 9–4
O/U Record: 6–5–2
Current ATS Streak: 3 Wins
Last 7 Games: 5–2
DMVI: –3.29
Confidence Index: 100%
Market Sentiment: BULLISH (1 Day)
Current Game: @ Cleveland Browns (–5 / 35)
Next Game: vs Tennessee

The 49ers are a premium A-type asset with a strong market profile and one of the best β€œroad favorite” identities in the NFL. Their consistency, scoring stability, and defensive integrity make them one of the most undervalued elite teams in the league β€” even at 9–4.

They are:
βœ” winning consistently
βœ” outperforming the spread
βœ” strong in high-pressure road environments
βœ” trending upward defensively and offensively

This fresh Bullish cycle signals that the market momentum is shifting back toward their true performance ceiling.


πŸ“Š 1. Market Value Index Breakdown

DMVI: –3.29

Interpretation:

  • San Francisco is slightly undervalued, a major advantage for an elite A-team.
  • Market has not fully priced in their road dominance (6–1 SU).
  • Books are shading totals low in 49ers games β€” but projected scoring remains higher than expected.

BULLISH (1 Day)

  • Early-cycle bullish teams are often the most profitable β€” the public hasn’t caught on yet.
  • Their ATS momentum (3 straight covers) aligns perfectly with this cycle launch.

Confidence Index: 100%
The highest stability rating possible.
The 49ers are a fully trusted asset.


πŸ” 2. PVI–SOS System Trends (ATS STATS Exclusive)

Team-Specific Trend

49ers as a road team vs C-type off a SU win:
No recent sample β†’ neutral indicator.

League-Level Matchup Trend (The TRUE edge)

When ANY A-type team plays road favorite vs C-type off a SU win:

  • SU: 19–4
  • ATS: 14–9
  • O/U: 10–12

This is a clear advantage:

βœ” A-type road favorites dominate outright
βœ” Solid ATS cover probability
βœ” Totals lean slightly Under due to defensive mismatches

San Francisco fits this profile perfectly.


🧱 3. Situational Identity Breakdown

Home Favorite: 1–0

PF: 20 β€” PA: 9
Small sample, but elite defensive performance.

Home Underdog: 2–2

PF: 20.75 β€” PA: 23.25
Balanced, but vulnerable defensively.

Road Favorite: 6–1

PF: 27 β€” PA: 20.14
This is the 49ers’ strongest role and one of the best profiles in the entire NFL.

Road Underdog: 0–1

PF: 15 β€” PA: 26
Unreliable as a road dog β€” avoid.

San Francisco thrives when they dictate the pace and expectations.


πŸ”₯ 4. Performance Trends

Span PF PA Interpretation
Last 3 29.0 24.33 Strong offense, soft defense
Last 5 27.2 24.6 High-scoring profile
Last 7 25.0 23.29 Stable offensive identity
Last 10 23.8 22.7 Balanced + efficient
Last 15 23.42 21.75 Long-term consistency

San Francisco’s scoring patterns show:

βœ” Reliable offensive output
βœ” Defense slightly weaker in short-term samples
βœ” Ideal matchup for Over bettors when total is set low

Overall, very stable team scoring curves.


🧠 5. System Trend Gold (Premium Membership Value)

These ATS STATS database trends are elite:

  • 9–1 SU as road team in November vs 21–30% opponents
  • 27–9 SU as road favorite after NFC opponent + win over NFC South
  • 9–3 SU as road favorite with ≀1 Under coming off win by ≀11
  • 17–5 SU league-wide system for teams in exact same Week 12–16 road-favorite scenario
  • 9–3 O/U as road team after a conference game (last 2 years)

These are A-team system alignments, confirming San Francisco’s premium market structure.


πŸ“˜ 6. Season Log Breakdown β€” What Makes the 49ers Elite

The 49ers’ season rΓ©sumΓ© shows:

  • Multiple key road wins vs playoff opponents
  • High-efficiency offense regardless of venue
  • Strong ATS performance in expected win roles
  • Clear scoring consistency: rarely below 20
  • Increased defensive scoring allowed in last 3–5 games
  • Road dominance (6–1 SU) separating them from the pack

San Francisco represents the perfect blend of stability + upside.


πŸ”₯ 7. Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… (Full Premium A-Team)

Best Markets:

  • ATS as road favorite (6–1 SU)
  • Overs when totals are set abnormally low (like 35 this week)
  • Team Totals Over in dome or warm-weather environments
  • SU market vs below-average teams

Risk Level: Low

This is one of the safest A-teams in the NFL marketplace.


πŸ“ 8. Final Report Card

Category Grade Notes
Market Grade A Elite asset
Cycle Strength A Bullish start
DMVI A– Slight undervaluation
Situational Edges A Road-favorite dominance
PVI–SOS Strength A– Strong system backing
Betting Value A Best-in-class road profile

⭐ Final Verdict: STRONG BUY

San Francisco is a premium A-grade team with undervalued market edges, elite road performance, and high-confidence system alignment. Top-tier investment target.

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Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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