ATS STATS Team Grading Report: The San Francisco 49ers – 12/22/25

⭐ ATS STATS – Team Grading Report
San Francisco 49ers ($S.F.) — Market Grade: A | Market Sentiment: BULLISH (22 Days)

🏈 Team Overview

Record: 10–4–0
O/U Record: 7–5–2
Current Streak: 4 ATS Wins
Last 7 Games: 5–2
DMVI: −4.86
Confidence Index: 100%
Market Sentiment: BULLISH (22 Days)

Current Game: at Indianapolis Colts (−6 / 46)
Next Game: vs Chicago

San Francisco is operating at peak efficiency. This is a fully priced A-grade asset in a sustained bullish cycle, driven by dominant two-way play and relentless consistency against the number. The market isn’t speculating here — it’s confirming.

Translation: $S.F. is commanding respect, not chasing it.

📊 Market Value Index (DMVI + Confidence)

DMVI: −4.86
A modestly negative DMVI indicates controlled appreciation:

• The market has adjusted without overheating
• Numbers remain efficient, not bloated
• San Francisco still clears spreads through execution

This is healthy pricing in a mature uptrend.

Confidence Index: 100%
Maximum confidence reflects:

• Elite defensive suppression
• Reliable scoring in favored roles
• Strong close-out ability late in games

This is institutional trust, not public hype.

🔍 PVI–SOS System Read

A-Type Road Team vs B-Type Team (Off SU Win)

San Francisco sample (Last 10):

• SU: 0–0
• ATS: 0–0
• O/U: 0–0

League-wide A-Type results (Current Season):

• SU: 7–5
• ATS: 8–4
• O/U: 4–7

System Read:
This profile favors road A-types against the number, while totals lean Under. San Francisco fits the structural side edge cleanly.

👉 ATS STATS view: System-aligned for the side; totals require discipline.

🧱 Situational Identity (Summary)

Key Takeaway:
San Francisco is elite as a road favorite — efficient scoring, disciplined defense, and minimal variance.

🔥 Performance Trend Breakdown

This is controlled dominance. Defense anchors the floor; offense raises the ceiling.

🧠 Key System Trends (ATS STATS Angles)

Professionals are tracking:

• 9–1 SU as 3.5–6.5 road favorites before a conference game
• 13–2–1 ATS as −3.5 to −6.5 favorites with 7 days rest allowing ≤24 last game
• 10–3 SU as favorites after winning by 13+
• 20–9 SU league-wide in December for −3.5 to −6.5 favorites vs non-division opponents
• 16–1 SU historically as 3.5–6.5 away favorites after a non-conference game (since 1996)

These trends reinforce win probability and ATS reliability.

⭐ Betting Value Assessment

Value Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (High-Confidence Favorite)

Best Uses:

• Road favorites in the −3.5 to −6.5 range
• ATS plays with rest advantage
• Unders when protecting a lead profile

Avoid:

• Overexposure at inflated late-week prices
• Totals without pace confirmation

📝 Final Report Card + Verdict

⭐ Final Verdict: BUY / HOLD

San Francisco remains a blue-chip contender with repeatable edges.
You don’t guess with the 49ers — you align with them.

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