Eight weeks into the NFL season and the betting markets are reacting like investors on earnings day.
The Raymond Report Market Value Index (MVI) tells the real story — who’s outperforming their odds, who’s trading at fair value, and who’s sliding into the red zone of no-return.
Here’s the state of the NFL on Monday, October 27, 2025, and where each team stands heading into Week 9.
🚀 A-Teams: Bullish Market Leaders
Indianapolis Colts (7-1, 4-game win streak)
No one’s moving the market like the Colts. With 100% confidence and 4 straight wins, Indy’s sitting at the top of the MVI chart like a blue-chip stock. They’ve been crushing spreads and cashing tickets, riding a red-hot defense that keeps bettors smiling.
Green Bay Packers (5-1-1, 3W)
The Packers are back — and their MVI reflects it. A near-perfect .833 win % and a –250 market value tag show total confidence. Jordan Love and that defense are rewarding anyone who’s stayed long on the Packers stock.
New England Patriots (6-2, 5W)
New coach, same winning culture. The Patriots have ripped off five straight, earning 100% confidence and a bullish A-grade. They’re executing cleanly, controlling pace, and turning value bettors into believers.
Denver Broncos (6-2, 5W)
The Broncos’ five-game heater has vaulted them into the “buy” column. With 100% confidence, they’ve gone from a mid-tier hold to a legit MVI darling. The public’s still hesitant, which makes them even more profitable for sharp bettors.
Philadelphia Eagles (6-2, 2W)
Still perched high with a 66% confidence score, but showing signs of volatility. Their offense keeps them in the green, but late-game execution needs tightening. MVI says neutral, but they’re trending bullish.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2, 1W)
Same MVI story as Philly — neutral rating, solid fundamentals. Bettors are starting to trust the Bucs again, but the –210 line suggests the market’s nearly caught up to them.
Buffalo, Seattle, LA Rams, Detroit, LA Chargers
All hovering around 5-2 or 5-3 and marked neutral by the MVI. That’s the market saying: “we like you, but don’t overpay.”
Buffalo’s the riskiest of the bunch (33% confidence), while Seattle and L.A. have earned cautious respect.
⚖️ B-Teams: Market Adjusters (Hold Zone)
These are your swing stocks — strong upside if they hit a run, but no safety net if they stumble.
Jacksonville, Kansas City, Chicago, and Pittsburgh all sit at 4-3 with neutral ratings.
- The Chiefs are the only one trending upward (2W streak, 66% confidence) — classic Andy Reid October surge.
- Jacksonville and Pittsburgh? Losing two of three and flirting with market downgrades.
- Chicago is the surprising riser — quietly profitable ATS with improving efficiency metrics.
Carolina Panthers (4-4) are the only even-money team in the group — neutral but stable. They’re not lighting it up, but they’re not tanking either.
📉 C-Teams: Bearish or Oversold Assets
This is the NFL’s bargain bin — and sometimes, that’s where sharp bettors find hidden value.
Houston, Washington, Minnesota, Dallas, Atlanta (3-4 range)
Every one of these clubs is neutral in the MVI, but there’s a theme — inconsistency.
- Houston is trending up with 66% confidence — quietly improving and might soon be upgraded.
- Dallas (3-4-1) is officially in “overvalued” territory. They’re playing average football with a premium brand price tag.
- Minnesota and Washington are holding neutral, but confidence is fading fast.
Cincinnati Bengals (3-5)
This looks like a broken stock. The market still respects them, but that .375 win % and short-term slide say stay away until further notice.
Arizona Cardinals (2-5, 5L)
Dead last in momentum, 0% confidence, and a bearish flag on the MVI. The Cards have become a classic fade — all risk, no return.
Ravens, Raiders, Dolphins, Browns, Giants (2-5 / 2-6)
Different names, same market story: neutral tags but no consistency. Each of these teams flashes potential one week and tanks the next.
Bettors chasing “buy-low” spots here are gambling, not investing.
Jets (1-7)
They at least show 33% confidence and finally broke through with a win — but they’re still a penny stock in a blue-chip league.
Saints and Titans (1-7, 3L)
Bottom of the barrel with 0% confidence and bearish ratings. Both franchises look lost and continue to drain bankrolls weekly.
📊 MVI Summary Snapshot
| Market Group | Teams | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|
| A – Bullish | Colts, Packers, Patriots, Broncos | 🔥 Elite value, money-making form |
| A – Neutral | Eagles, Bucs, Bills, Rams, Seahawks, Lions, Chargers | ⚖️ Solid but priced fairly |
| B – Neutral | Chiefs, Jags, Bears, Steelers, Panthers | 📈 Trend-watch candidates |
| C – Neutral/Bearish | Texans, Cowboys, Vikings, Raiders, Dolphins, Giants, Browns | 📉 Mid-tier mediocrity |
| C – Bearish | Cardinals, Titans, Saints | 🚨 Fading fast |
💡 Raymond Report Takeaway
The NFL MVI is crystal clear this week:
- Buy: Indianapolis, Green Bay, Denver — all printing profits.
- Hold: Philly, Tampa, and Seattle — playing solid but priced tight.
- Sell: Dallas, Arizona, and Tennessee — poor value and low confidence.
If you’re betting the NFL like the stock market, this is your cheat sheet. Ride the hot stocks, fade the hype, and treat every game like a market opportunity — not a gamble.
Get the full daily NFL MVI Chart at ATSStats.com — where market movement meets money management.
