Calgary Stampeders (-4.5) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (52.5) Game Day Predictions

Raymond Report CFL Game Preview for Thursday, July 31st, 2025, as the Calgary Stampeders (-4.5) head to Ottawa to take on the struggling RedBlacks (+180 ML). The Total sits at 52.5.

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🏈 Game Forecast

Projected Score:
Calgary: 28.41
Ottawa: 23.92
Edge: Calgary by 4.49 points (Line: -4.5)
Total Forecast: 52.33 (very close to posted total of 52.5)

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🔥 Current Form & Momentum

Category	Calgary	Ottawa
SU Record	5-2 (3-0 Road)	1-6 (0-3 Home)
ATS Record	5-2 ATS	2-5 ATS
Streaks	1 SU Loss, 1 ATS Loss	4 SU Losses, 1 ATS Loss
Last Game	Lost 23-21 vs MTL	Lost 30-15 vs HAM
Confidence Index	66% – Neutral	0% – Bearish
Last 3 Games	2-1 SU (Avg PF: 28.67, PA: 17.67)	0-3 SU (PF: 22.67, PA: 30.67)

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📊 Market Indicators

• DMVI (Value Index):
  Calgary: -6 (Fading slightly)
  Ottawa: +3.56 (False hope?)
• C.O.W. (Chance of Winning):
  Calgary: 56.76%
  Ottawa: 43.24%
• C.O.G.O. (Chances of Game Going Over):
  Both at 62%, suggesting the Over may be live if Ottawa can chip in enough points.

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🧠 Situational Insights

• Calgary is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS on the road, averaging 31.33 PPG and only allowing 16.33 PAPG.
• Ottawa is winless at home (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS), scoring just 16 PPG and allowing 29 PAPG.
• Ottawa has played 10 days rest while Calgary is on a typical 6-day cycle.

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📈 Historical Angles

• Calgary vs Ottawa (Last 10): 5-5 SU | 6-4 ATS
• Unders dominate:
  🔻 Under is 11-5-1 lifetime in Ottawa-Calgary matchups.
  🔻 Ottawa is 4-6 O/U this season.
  🔻 Calgary is 3-4 O/U this season.

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🛠️ Raymond Report Tools Say…

• Power Rating & SOS:
  Calgary has played a softer recent schedule (44.45% SOS last 3), while Ottawa has faced tougher competition (77.78%).
  Still, Calgary handled their business while Ottawa collapsed.
• Performance Margins (Last 3):
  🔺 Calgary: +11 P/M
  🔻 Ottawa: -8 P/M

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💰 Investor Angle

This is a classic “buy the dip” on a good team (Calgary off a 2-point loss) and “fade the noise” on a sinking asset (Ottawa, 1-6, low morale, QB instability). Calgary has consistently covered as a road favorite, while Ottawa hasn’t protected home field or bettors’ bankrolls.

Recommendation:

• Side: Calgary -4.5 ✅
• Lean: UNDER 52.5 ✅
• If you trust Raymond Report data and trends, Calgary should bounce back and cash as a confident road investment.

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🔎 Read the Full Report & More CFL Insights:
👉 www.atsstats.com

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