Air Force Falcons (21) vs. New Mexico Lobos (56.5) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos for Saturday, November 9th, 2019.

Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos Game Notes

The Air Force Falcons are coming off a 17-13 win over the Army Black Knights . Plus, the Air Force Falcons are currently 6-2 SU on the season and are coming off 2 unders. Also the New Mexico Lobos are currently 1-7 SU on the season, lost their last game to the Nevada Wolf Pack.

Air Force Falcons -21   ( -1600 ) Vs. New Mexico Lobos New Mexico Lobos 21  ( 912 ) Vs. Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons (21) vs. New Mexico Lobos (56.5) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Air Force Falcons
SIDE :21

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 14:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Air Force Falcons (21) vs. New Mexico Lobos (56.5) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

New Mexico Lobos
O/U :56.5

40.72 Forecast
(O/U 65.09 )
24.37
42% C.O.C 71%
62% C.O.G.O 62%
-10.13 MSV 13.57
(A) BULLISH MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Air Force Falcons New Mexico Lobos
Season Record : 6-2 Season Record : 1-7
Away Record : 2-2 Away Record : 0-5
Home Record : 4-0 Home Record : 1-2
Line : -21 Line : 21
O/U : 56.5 O/U : 56.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 13 – 17 vs Army Black Knights Last game: Lost 10 – 21 vs Nevada Wolf Pack
SU: 31-46 ATS: 35-41-1 O/U: 40-37-0
SU: 29-46 ATS: 30-45-0 O/U: 42-29-4
Current game: vs. New Mexico Lobos Current game: vs. Air Force Falcons
SU: 3-7 ATS: 4-6-0 O/U: 7-2-1
SU: 7-3 ATS: 6-4-0 O/U: 7-2-1
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (RF) Days Rest : 6 (HD)
(L) SU:  (72.8 %) ATS:  (49.2%) O/U: (40%)
(L) SU: (26.6%) ATS: (48.5%) O/U: (41.2%)
(T) SU: (28-9) ATS: (17-20-0) O/U: (17-10-10)
(T) SU: (10-36) ATS: (20-26-0) O/U: (24-13-9)
Streaks : 3 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Under Streaks : 5 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)33 – (PA)17 Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)55 – (PA)52
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -2 Lost   (PF)26 – (PA)40
Road Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)40.5 – (PA)30 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)24.5 – (PA)26.5 Road Underdog: 0 Win -5 Lost   (PF)13 – (PA)31.8
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)34.67 – (PA)15.33 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (PF)17 – (PA)29.67
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)34.4 – (PA)20.8 Last 5 game: 0 Win 5 Lost    (PF)18.6 – (PA)31.2
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)33.14 – (PA)22.57 Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (PF)22.57 – (PA)32.14
Last 10 game: 6 Win 2 Lost   (PF)32.75 – (PA)22.63 Last 10 game: 1 Win 7 Lost   (PF)21.5 – (PA)36.38
Last 15 game: 6 Win 2 Lost   (PF)32.75 – (PA)22.63 Last 15 game: 1 Win 7 Lost   (PF)21.5 – (PA)36.38
Situations (Air Force Falcons) Situations (New Mexico Lobos)
Coming off a vs Independents IA opponent (Army) Coming off a vs Mountain West opponent (Nevada)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a road underdog lost
Coming off a 4 game winning streak Coming off a 6 game losing streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 17 points or more Coming off a game scored 13 points or less
Coming off a game scored 13 points or less against Coming off a game scored 21 points or more against
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 2 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Playing on Saturday – During the month of November – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a 2 game Home stand – Coming off a game scored 17 points or more 55-54-2 98-12 53-53-3
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – After a non division game – Last 4 years – Coming off a 2 game Home stand – Scored 13 points or less AGAINST in their last game 17-18-0 32-2 16-18-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a 10.0 or more Road Favorite – After a non division game – With 6 days off – Coming off a 1 ATS lost – Coming off a 4-7 point win 14-7-0 19-2 9-11-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – During Week 8 to 12 – Playing on Saturday – Vs Division Opponent Coming off back to back SU Home wins – Scored 13 points or less AGAINST in their last game 34-32-0 58-7 31-34-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – After a non division game – During Week 8 to 12 – Scored 14 – 21 POINTS FOR in their last game – Coming off a Win over Independents IA opponent 6-5-0 10-1 5-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Road team as a Favorite – During the month of November – With 6 days off – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – Coming off a 4 game winning streak 20-16-1 31-6 21-15-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a 10.0 or more Road Favorite – During Week 8 to 12 – With 6 days off – Allowed 8 – 13 AGAINST in their last game – vs. opponent with a 11% to 20% winning % 17-9-0 23-3 11-14-1
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – After a division game – Playing on Saturday – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a game scored 10 points or less – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a Loss over Mountain West opponent 5-7-0 4-8 1-9-1

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