Alabama Birmingham Blazers (50) vs. Florida Atlantic Owls (7.5) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the Alabama Birmingham Blazers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls for Saturday, December 7th, 2019.

Alabama Birmingham Blazers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls Game Notes

The Alabama Birmingham Blazers are coming off a 26-21 win over the North Texas Mean Green . Plus, the Alabama Birmingham Blazers are currently 8-2 SU on the season and are . Also the Florida Atlantic Owls are currently 8-3 SU on the season, won their last game over the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles.

Alabama Birmingham Blazers 7.5   ( 237 ) Vs. Florida Atlantic Owls Florida Atlantic Owls -7.5  ( -290 ) Vs. Alabama Birmingham Blazers
Alabama Birmingham Blazers

Alabama Birmingham Blazers
O/U :50

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-07
Time: 13:30:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Florida Atlantic Owls

Florida Atlantic Owls
SIDE :7.5

28.29 Forecast
(O/U 49.58 )
21.29
11% C.O.C 30%
60% C.O.G.O 60%
-9.7 MSV -7.89
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.
Raymond Report
Alabama Birmingham Blazers Florida Atlantic Owls
Season Record : 8-2 Season Record : 8-3
Away Record : 3-2 Away Record : 5-1
Home Record : 5-0 Home Record : 3-2
Line : 7.5 Line : -7.5
O/U : 50 O/U : 50
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 26 – 21 vs North Texas Mean Green Last game: Win 17 – 34 vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
SU: 20-54 ATS: 37-37-0 O/U: 35-32-7
SU: 34-27 ATS: 28-34-1 O/U: 28-35-0
Current game: vs. Florida Atlantic Owls Current game: vs. Alabama Birmingham Blazers
SU: 1-2 ATS: 1-2-0 O/U: 3-0-0
SU: 2-1 ATS: 2-1-0 O/U: 3-0-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (22.6 %) ATS:  (49.1%) O/U: (41.1%)
(L) SU: (77.7%) ATS: (48%) O/U: (42.2%)
(T) SU: (13-47) ATS: (32-28-0) O/U: (28-22-10)
(T) SU: (17-8) ATS: (11-13-1) O/U: (12-13-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Under Streaks : 3 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 11.11% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22%
Home Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost   (PF)33 – (PA)12.2 Home Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)32.5 – (PA)18.25
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)14 – (PA)48
Road Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)25.75 – (PA)18.75 Road Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost   (PF)40.4 – (PA)22.2
Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)2 – (PA)37 Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)21 – (PA)45
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)27.67 – (PA)15 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)37 – (PA)16.67
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)24.6 – (PA)19.2 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)37.4 – (PA)15.4
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)27.29 – (PA)18.57 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)35.14 – (PA)18
Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)17.3 Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)34.6 – (PA)23.2
Last 15 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)17.3 Last 15 game: 8 Win 3 Lost   (PF)33.36 – (PA)25.18
Situations (Alabama Birmingham Blazers) Situations (Florida Atlantic Owls)
Coming off a vs Conference USA opponent (North Texas) Coming off a vs Conference USA opponent (Southern Mississippi)
Coming off a road favorite win Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 3 game winning streak Coming off a 5 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 24 points or more Coming off a game scored 34 points or more
Coming off a game scored 21 points or less against Coming off a game scored 17 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When Florida Atlantic team played as a Home team – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Win over Conference USA opponent 8-2-1 8-3 5-6-0
When Florida Atlantic team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a division game – Coming off a Win over Conference USA opponent 7-2-1 8-2 4-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – During the month of December – Coming off a 1 ATS win – Coming off a 5 game winning streak 6-4-1 10-1 4-7-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off 1 under 9-5-0 12-2 5-8-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – With 6 days off – Playing on Saturday – Scored 29 – 35 POINTS FOR in their last game – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – Coming off a 5 game winning streak 7-7-0 12-2 9-5-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – With 6 days off – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off a 1 ATS win 7-4-0 9-1 6-4-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – With 6 days off – During the month of December – Coming off a 1 ATS win – Coming off a Home win 6-5-0 10-1 6-5-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – With 6 days off – Playing on Saturday – Coming off back to back SU wins – Coming off a 14-17 point win 10-20-0 24-5 18-11-1

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)
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