Cincinnati Bearcats (57.5) vs. Memphis Tigers (9.5) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Memphis Tigers for Saturday, December 7th, 2019.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Memphis Tigers Game Notes

The Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off a 34-24 lost to the Memphis Tigers . Plus, the Cincinnati Bearcats are currently 10-2 SU on the season and are . Also the Memphis Tigers are currently 10-1 SU on the season, won their last game over the Cincinnati Bearcats.

 

Cincinnati Bearcats 9.5   ( 271 ) Vs. Memphis Tigers Memphis Tigers -9.5  ( -335 ) Vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati Bearcats

Cincinnati Bearcats
O/U :57.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-07
Time: 15:30:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Memphis Tigers

Memphis Tigers
SIDE :9.5

33.38 Forecast
(O/U 76.88 )
43.5
54% C.O.C 30%
70% C.O.G.O 70%
-8.34 MSV -15.55
(A) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.
Raymond Report
Cincinnati Bearcats Memphis Tigers
Season Record : 10-2 Season Record : 10-1
Away Record : 4-2 Away Record : 5-1
Home Record : 6-0 Home Record : 5-0
Line : 9.5 Line : -9.5
O/U : 57.5 O/U : 57.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 24 – 34 vs Memphis Tigers Last game: Win 24 – 34 vs Cincinnati Bearcats
SU: 43-34 ATS: 40-36-1 O/U: 33-43-1
SU: 44-35 ATS: 40-39-0 O/U: 48-29-2
Current game: vs. Memphis Tigers Current game: vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
SU: 3-5 ATS: 7-1-0 O/U: 2-2-4
SU: 5-3 ATS: 1-7-0 O/U: 2-2-4
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 7 (RD) Days Rest : 7 (HF)
(L) SU:  (24.6 %) ATS:  (49.3%) O/U: (51.2%)
(L) SU: (79.2%) ATS: (47.1%) O/U: (47.4%)
(T) SU: (1-1) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
(T) SU: (6-0) ATS: (2-4-0) O/U: (2-4-0)
Streaks : 7 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Under Streaks : 3 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 6 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 33.33%
Home Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost   (PF)29.2 – (PA)11.2 Home Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost   (PF)37 – (PA)24.4
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)24 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)39 – (PA)24.25 Road Favorite: 5 Win -1 Lost   (PF)43 – (PA)24.5
Road Underdog: 0 Win -2 Lost   (PF)12 – (PA)38 Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)19.67 – (PA)21.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)42.67 – (PA)20.33
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)30.6 – (PA)22 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)44.8 – (PA)30
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)30.71 – (PA)20.86 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)42.71 – (PA)28.14
Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)32.9 – (PA)19.7 Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)42.8 – (PA)25.9
Last 15 game: 10 Win 2 Lost   (PF)29.42 – (PA)21.08 Last 15 game: 10 Win 1 Lost   (PF)40.27 – (PA)24.45
Situations (Cincinnati Bearcats) Situations (Memphis Tigers)
Coming off a road underdog lost (Memphis) Coming off a home fav win (Cincinnati)
Coming off 4 unders Coming off a 6 game winning streak
Coming off a game scored 24 points or less Coming off 2 unders
Coming off a game scored 34 points or more against Coming off a game scored 34 points or more
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off a game scored 24 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When Memphis team played as a Home team – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off back to back SU wins 6-11-0 13-4 14-3-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a conference game – During Week 12 to 16 – Playing on Saturday – Allowed 22 – 28 AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Home win 9-7-0 14-2 10-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Home win – Coming off back to back SU wins 127-159-6 244-46 158-129-5
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 3 years – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – Coming off a 5 game winning streak 24-18-3 39-4 23-20-2

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)
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